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David Poland

By David Poland

Friday Estimates

It will be a bit of a black weekend for The Oscars

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11 Responses to “Friday Estimates”

  1. EDouglas says:

    Totally agree with everything you said, David. I figured that the three movies (16 Blocks, Dave Chappelle, and Ultraviolet) would be splitting up the audience of younger males, but the fact that they all did poorly just makes it obvious that they’re no longer the strongest moviegoing demographic like they once were.

  2. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    Block Party, if it had a better release, could’ve been an easy $50mil hit. Maybe an early Summer release? I dunno.
    Ultraviolet was probably stung by Underworld 2. Too soon after a movie that was too awful. I feel bad for Kurt Wimmer who seems to be languishing.
    I must say though, I think Ice Age 2 will open bigger than V For Vendetta. I hate the first, but it was veeery popular.

  3. sky_capitan says:

    don’t bring Underworld Evolution into the failure of Ultraviolet… I saw Evolution and I thought it was very good (60 million $ plus boxoffice is decent too).
    Aside from having the hot chick Milla Jovovich, I have no idea what Ultraviolet is about and was never interested in seeing it.

  4. cullen says:

    Not surprised at all with the failure of ULTRAVIOLET…it looks mentally retarded and like a total videogame. I enjoyed Wimmer’s last movie EQULIBRIUM but even that flick needed another $40 million added to it’s budget.
    I saw 16 BLOCKS last night and I am sort of surprised with how low it did. It’s not the best action movie in the world (and compared to something like the brilliant RUNNING SCARED, it’s a laugh) but it’s an old-fashioned beat-the-clock cop-action flick and it should have done better. It just proved yet again that while he’s got a little fan base left, Willis is not what he used to be.
    I really want to see BLOCK PARTY, and will try to get there today. I agree with the above poster…should have been released in the summer. Would have cleaned up then.
    THE HILLS HAVE EYES is going to rake it in next weekend…

  5. Nicol D says:

    That Rocky Balboa teaser is quite good. Classy.
    I still have doubts but I was quite impressed.

  6. Chucky in Jersey says:

    “Block Party” had a per-theater average almost equal to “Madea” this week. The fact that “Madea” is still the national #1 has a lot to do with the crappy pictures out there.
    Spring season starts next week per EDI. How well it will do depends on “Ice Age 2” as Kami hinted. “V for Vendetta” opens opposite the 1st weekend of the NCAA men’s basketball tournament.

  7. Crow T Robot says:

    Yeah, what’s everyone gonna say if Stallone actually pulls it off and makes the Unforgiven of boxing movies?
    I’m kinda rootin’ for the old lug.

  8. martin says:

    rocky teaser is cool, but who fuckin knows with a stallone movie anymore. I don’t think block party was ever going to do very well, it didn’t look funny and who wants to watch rap performances in a movie theaters. ultraviolet is certainly doing better than equilibrium. not sure what the budget on it is, but a $10 mill opening for UV seems OK to me.

  9. Joe Leydon says:

    OK, I asked for this last year, and didn’t get much of a response. But I’ll try again: Could Dave please start a thread so we can post running commentaries on the Oscarcast? Or should we just hijack THIS thread?

  10. Bruce says:

    I didn’t like Ultraviolet the first time I saw it when it was called Aeon Flux.

  11. PandaBear says:

    Good to see Mr Balboa back in action. Help us all forget the disaster that Rocky 5 is.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon