Sunday Estimates by Klady – Oscar Weekend
/ 3-Day Estimates / Friday / % Change / Cume
1 / Madea’s Family Reunion / 12.7m / -58% / 47.8m
2 / 16 Blocks / 11.6m / new / 11.6m
3 / Eight Below / 10.2m / -36% / 58.7m
4 / Ultraviolet / 8.9m / new / 8.9m
5 / Aquamarine / 7.5m / new / 7.5m
6 / The Pink Panther / 7m / -37% / 69.6m
7 / Chapelle’s Block Party / 6.7m / new / 6.7m
8 / Date Movie / 5.2m / -43% / 40.8m
9 / Curious George / 4.4m / -38% / 49.2m
10 / Firewall / 3.6m / -46% / 42.5m
_
13 / Brokeback Mountain / 2.5m / -11% / 78.9m
15 / Capote / 1.6m / -55% / 25.5m
16 / Transamerica / 1.5m / +77% / 6.7m
22 / Good Night & Good Luck / .76m / +16% / 31.3m
26 / Munich / .53m / +6% / 46.8
Tyler Perry,
Congratulations.
Welcome to the $100 million club.
Madea will top out at $80 million at this rate. It’s tracking almost completely evenly with Dukes of Hazzard. Still pretty impressive for such a cheap movie, unlike Dukes.
Yep. 48M after two weeks with a drop of nearly 60% from week 1 to week 2 says it’s getting nowhere near 100M. However, a true sleeper hit is Eight Below, which, to me, looked like a huge stink bomb and is headed for at least 80. (After Mad Black Woman, everyone was expecting big things from Tyler Perry.)
Also, as I recall, Perry has said that he has no plans to do another Madea movie. The question is can Perry sell tickets without Madea.
Finally, a refreshing and insightful piece on the Oscars:
http://www.anncoulter.com/cgi-local/welcome.cgi
15 / Capote / 1.6m / -55%
Yowza! Massive theatre drop? I suppose I could just look this up..
Spacesheik, are you combining both of his movies?
Next weekend figures to be much stronger than this one. All three major releases could finish with grosses of over $15 mil.
“Hills HAve Eyes” is a 20-30M opener for sure. “Shaggy Dog” strikes me as a risky proposition, since I’m not sure it’s getting any traction outside of young kids, and “Failure to Launch” doesn’t seem to be getting any traction of any kind.
Tyler Perry. A full fledged star now. Let’s see if he ca capitalize on it.
Coulter can be abrasive sometimes and I do not agree with some of the crass things she says about Islam, but when it comes to the Oscars…she hit that puppy out of the park.
I laughed real hard.
Especially when you see how they are all so full of self importance on the red carpet.
Fun.
Lowest grossing #1 movie since The Fog… that’s sad.
EIGHT BELOW is holding up really well. Impressive BO so far.
You can pencil in HILLS HAVE EYES for 30$ million.
CRASH: The only one of the five nominees about the way we live now. Remember what I said a few weeks ago? Maybe people want to honor those kinds of films.
I don’t know. I think Failure to Launch will be fairly successful due to the lack of movies that appeal to the date crowd/older females out there right now.
Coulter shows how divorced from reality she is when she says how secretive the grosses are. There are only about a zillion places where one can find them…including this one.
You have to credit Coulter for being able to combine several incorrect statements, a total lack of interest in actually seeing any of the nominated movies, and hateful stereotypes into an article. Yet somehow, it doesn’t result in comic gold! I don’t understand it.
Whoa. What happened to Block Party?
This weeks films just all looked so “so what?” more movies that just looked like ones you could see on DVD and it wouldn’t matter.
Nice touch about the Oscars? Constantly being told that there’s nothing like sitting a movie theatre watching a movie.
Oh, Brokeback was $1.1 mil away from $80mil. That’s impressive. I wonder how it will hold up next week after it’s disappointing Oscar night.
“Brokeback” was losing theaters even before Oscar Night. I don’t see much more box office for that picture or any Oscar winner given the product flow this month.
[Next week there are 3 wide releases plus “The Libertine”, an upmarket title opening semi-wide. If that title sounds familiar it’s because it got a 1-week Oscar Bait run in December.]
What was there freakin’ wait on THE LIBERTINE?
I thought it was an Oscar type movie? And it has Johnny Depp starring in it.
Seems like it is just getting dumped here.
Apparently there’s an underground movement to have everyone go out see Brokeback again this weekend. lol, it probably won’t happen but that’d be mighty swell.