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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Box Office Hell – 7/28

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15 Responses to “Box Office Hell – 7/28”

  1. Hopscotch says:

    I think MV will do more than $30M, but that should be about that. I actually think John Tucker Must Die will do better than some think, high teens. Girls in my office (who are all above 25) say they can’t wait to see it. Which I thought was interesting. I mentioned MV and they all shrugged with “not for me” expression.
    And just one final kick to the beaten up artist. What’s Lady In the Water’s drop going to be? 60%? 70%?

  2. RDP says:

    My wife has also been interested in “John Tucker Must Die”, and she’s presumably outside the target demographic, as well (at age 30).

  3. Rob says:

    JTMD also has the gay male contingent locked up. The trailer kills for some reason. I think it’s going to surprise.

  4. Sandy says:

    No, all the girls want to see JTMD because of THAT guy who plays him – Jesse Metcalf! He was Eva Longoria’s teenage lover in Desperate Housewives and got plenty of exposure in more ways than one.

  5. Stella's Boy says:

    Damn. Good day for celebrity gossip. Mel Gibson gets a DUI and James G. Robinson sends a letter to Lindsey Lohan stating that her partying is causing problems and that she better get her shit together.

  6. jeffmcm says:

    That explains the over-30 appeal. Plus it has teenage guys wearing women’s underwear, which also appeals to multiple segments of the audience.

  7. jeffmcm says:

    Mel Gibson! That’s a stunner, since he had a high-profile battle with alcohol in the 1980s and has supposedly abstained every since.
    This is more sad than anything. Lindsay Lohan’s problems are merely stupid.

  8. martin says:

    well, at least Mel now has something to talk about during his Apocalypto promotion. Lets hope he doesn’t go all “Paparazzi” on em.

  9. Cadavra says:

    The matinees are running MIAMI, TUCKER, MONSTERS, PIRATES, ANT, LADY and PRADA in that order.

  10. jeffmcm says:

    Monster Pirate Ant Lady, coming Summer 2007.

  11. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    …Attacks Miami?
    I too think John Tucker will do decent numbers. I think Dave has the right number, looking at the table. I’m shocked about the fact that ASHANTI is in it playing a high school student. They have GOT to be kidding, with that one.
    Ant Bully… wow, does anyone care about this movie?
    I predict about $33mil for Miami. It’s multi-ethnic cast could certainly help it.

  12. EDouglas says:

    Hey, David, just so you know, I update on Thursday nights once I have actual screen counts. It’s not that different except I’m slightly higher on John Tucker Must Die. Early word seems to point to Miami Vice not making $20 million this weekend, which means it might be fighting for #1 with PIrates. Also John TUcker is going to make more than Ant BUlly unless it’s really frontloaded or the latter really makes up the difference on Sunday. This has not been a good summer for Warner Bros.

  13. EDouglas says:

    As a matter of fact, here are my final #s:
    New Miami Vice $28.8
    1 Pirates: Dead Man’s Chest $19.4
    New The Ant Bully $14.3
    2 Monster House $13.8
    New John Tucker Must Die $12.7
    3 The Lady in the Water $9.2

  14. EDouglas says:

    Even better than the DUI… this is interesting (don’t know anything about this site):
    http://www.tmz.com/2006/07/28/gibsons-anti-semitic-tirade-alleged-cover-up/

  15. Chucky in Jersey says:

    To top it all off Focus seems to be silent on “Scoop”. That’s what happens when you have a new Woody Allen picture and promote it as “from the director of ‘Match Point’.” LAME!

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon