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David Poland

By David Poland

Box Office Hell – August 18


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17 Responses to “Box Office Hell – August 18”

  1. MASON says:

    Last week was tough for you. Will going low on Snakes make it two weeks in a row you look even more out of touch than the rest of us?

  2. EDouglas says:

    I have a feeling I’m going to regret increasing my prediction after seeing the movie… never a good idea. 🙂
    THR pretty much runs the whole gamut on Snakes.

  3. martin says:

    Snakes is a huge crapshoot, like these guesses indicate. It could go anywhere from disappointing ($20) to gigantic ($40). The tracking isn’t helpful here either.
    BTW, the yellow background is making me insane.

  4. Blackcloud says:

    The yellow has to go.

  5. palmtree says:

    Not until after Little Miss Sunshine finishes the weekend…or am I reading it incorrectly?

  6. Telemachos says:

    Early early guesses by World of KJ have SOAP coming in around $7-8 million for Friday (BOM is reporting $1.4 million from midnight screenings).

  7. jeffmcm says:

    Which would mean what, $22-24 for the weekend?

  8. Wrecktum says:

    ^ That’s right.
    Show of hands…who actually thought that this B-movie could make $40 to $50 million this weekend?

  9. Lota says:

    It seems impossible to predict.
    I am tempted to guess 20M then I start thinking it could hit 40M. All because there isn;t a single person over the age of 3 who doesn;t know what Snakes on a Plane is. But It doesn;t mean the endless media attention will get translated to people paying for seats.
    It could be people are webisode-ed/blogged out from the parodies etc. on MySpace…Like I’m not going to see it this weekend, I’ll wait until I am in a better mood 🙁
    Maybe I should watch something with William Holden or Jean Gabin in it to cheer up, then I can go get “Reptiled” with the masses.

  10. Lota says:

    Dave, yellow is the color of anger and Martin and several others appear susceptible so please change the Box office Hell to soothing lavender or spring green. Merci.

  11. jeffmcm says:


  12. jsnpritchett says:

    jeff and wrecktum: even on the off-chance Snakes does make 7-8 mil tonight, it won’t get anywhere near 22-24 for the weekend. That would be a great multiplier for a kids/family movie. A movie like Snakes is going to be massively frontloaded. Even if it does make 8 tonight, it still probably won’t get to 20 for the weekend.

  13. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    No matter what number it makes on Friday (how can anyone know what it’s Friday number is yet? It’s STILL Friday over on your side of the world, right?) it’ll still be impossible to predict what’s its entire weekend number will be.
    It’s Friday could compare absolutely woefully to its entire weekend number.

  14. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    BTW, who else thinks they missed the boat entirely on Accepted? I thought after the success of Wedding Crashers and 40-Year-Old Virgin that they wouldn’t be so fearsome of making an R-rated movie? Instead it’s a PG-13 movie. Won’t guys wanna get tits, gore and swearing from Snakes on a Plane instead then. Those are some high numbers being predicted.

  15. MASON says:

    Nikki F is saying it made 5.2 mil last night. That means it will open at under 20. Looks like you’re the champ this week, Dave.

  16. MASON says:

    I spoke to soon — Wells predicted mid-teens.

  17. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    I knew Accepted wouldn’t do more more than $10mil.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon