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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Friday Estimates by Klady

Jackass Number Two will open about 25% ahead of Jackass, which is pretty good, but not sensational. It suggests that the core for this franchise remains about the same, while it probably got some expansion via Home Entertainment and a lack of product in the theaters for audiences that you might not expect to be rushing to Jackass (

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27 Responses to “Friday Estimates by Klady”

  1. anghus says:

    Wow. Jackass #2 is just clobbering the competition.
    Gridiron Gang holds on nicely. A drop of less than 50%, if it holds, would be a win. Little Miss Sunshine closing in on 50 million. All the King’s Men tanking horribly.
    Congrats to Focus for pusinhg Fearless so effecively.

  2. Jimmy the Gent says:

    I saw All the King’s Men yesterday. I believe there is a good movie rumbling around in there. Does anyone know how much was edited out? I presume major edits because there whole scenes that don’t make any sense unless something came immeditely before or after the scene. I remember hearing how Gandolfini had a lock on a Supporting Actor Oscar. As it stands he barely has a role in the movie. The Winslet storyline doesn’t come in until almost an hour has passed. Willie Stark’s womanizing comes out of left field. There’s no indication that he’s amn of large appetites. And there’s never a sense of Stark getting corrupted. As i see him he’s just a smart politician who knows how to use people. The whole business of the Law character losing his sense of idealism is on him. At one point Stark tells him if he doesn’t want to dig up dirt on the Hipkins character he’ll get someone else. And the Hopkins character is a smug man who NEEDS to be brought down a few pegs. The big family secret is a joke. Why didn’t anyone tell the Law character the truth when he became old enough to handle it? Again, none of this gothic-family horror is Stark’s fault. He’s just wnating to get things done. The parallels between Stark and Bill Clinton are a joke. Clinton was never this much a bumpkin. Clinton was a master of knowing how to act depending on what kind of company were around him. Clinton could read people like no other politician had ever done before. Stark is a fast learner but he’s still learning even at the end of the movie.

  3. wholovesya says:

    Fearless and Jackass have the same audience. Rogue should have opened Fearless at the end of August or last week.

  4. abba_70s says:

    Saw J2 yesterday..still think 1 was better..not as mean spirited..maybe I’m hjust getting older..sigh..

  5. EDouglas says:

    Weird, I kind of agree with everything David says this weekend… I must be coming down with something. 🙂 (Sorry, David…I just can’t help the sarcasm…you’ve lived in NY… you know what it’s like.)
    Just one correction, Fearless isn’t Jet Li’s last movie…it might not even be his last action movie, but it’s his last “martial arts epic”… it’s the last movie which he does the kind of crazy wushu moves that he’s been doing for the last 25 years because it’s taken a toll on his body.
    I do think that Jackass and Fearless split the male audience and didn’t leave much for the other movies. Not sure if leaving Flyboys where it was (next week) would have helped, especially since I expect to see two movies making $20 million next week.

  6. martindale says:

    Adult dramas continue to bomb during this early fall season. Last year you had In Her Shoes, North Country, and An Unfinished Life. This year Hollywoodland, The Black Dahlia, and All The Kings’ Men have all bombed. Note to studios: This is not the right time of the year to release these kinds of movies. Seems like the only types of films that work during this season are genre flicks and movies aimed at teenagers.
    Still, it looks like the box office is back on track. Next weekend should be a stronger one.

  7. martindale says:

    Gridiron Gang has strong WOM among its core audience.

  8. Ju-osh says:

    I saw J2 last night, too. I think I agree with abba_70s that I preferred the original. The new film isn’t bad — not at all — it just feels less organic in its approach to the stunts and pranks.
    If, against the tear-stained pleas of Bam Margera in the film’s closing credits, there ever is a Jackass 3, I hope it marks a return to the simpler sort of death-defying acts of perverse genius that separated the original series and film from every other Tom Green, Dick and Harry downloading their hi-jinx onto YouTube.
    The old clips showcase a charismatic group of guys with a truly subversive and alternative way of looking at/approaching/ingesting modern, everyday life. This extraordinary approach to ordinary living gave the viewer the (false) impression that they too could do this shit, which in turn made the inevitable pain/gag reflex all the more relatable — and therefore that much funnier.
    The new film has its share of these moments, but it seems a bit more slanted towards elaborately staged, exotically themed pranks. While still a hell of a lot of fun to watch (particularly in a packed theatre), the imagined pain that once caused viewers to cover their crotch is not nearly as frequent this time around. (That said, the gag-reflex quotient has been increased ten-fold!)
    The comparison is full of holes, but I guess it reminds me of the difference between David Blaine’s old street magic (the levitation, tossing cards through a store’s front window, etc) and his more recent tricks. Yeah, sitting in a ball of water for days on end is still sorta full of rock n roll spectacle, it’s just not punk rock.

  9. EDouglas says:

    martindale, I’m not sure that it’s word of mouth that is helping Gridiron Gang as much as their being an R-rated movie that would appeal to teen boys who wouldn’t be able to get into it unless they buy a ticket to something PG-13. (I guess they’re too embarassed to ask for a ticket to “Flyboys”)

  10. Lota says:

    I didn’t go to see anything on that list this weekend, I went to see HAVEN which is only in ~20 cities I think.
    I was very impressed with it, and I confess I am mystified by the thrashing it got at Toronto last year by critics. The middle bit could have been a little tighter but then made sense by the end. I even managed to like Orlando Bloom and boy i can;t really tolerate him very well. He was a mensch for a change.
    Yeah Haven was thrashed & trashed and it puzzles me given all the crap there is out there…But then I was mystified by the thrashing DOLLS got in Venice a few years ago too.
    Go see HAVEN…it isn’t getting enough exposure. It’s a pretty original and authentic story about a place (Grand Cayman) that not many people know about except as a vacation resort.

  11. MovieFan says:

    Nothing in wide release interests me right now. It’s that in-between time of year that just has me searching for some little gems. I enjoyed HAVEN, as well as a little film called AURORA BOREALIS. It’s only in NYC and LA right now, but if you’re in the area check it out–if for no other reason than an award-worthy performance by Donald Sutherland.

  12. Lota says:

    i want to see Aurora Borealis. I like Sutherland alot, even when he’s scary.

  13. Lota says:

    so DAVE…now that the other King is likely to be soon forgotten about…what think you the chances of The Last King of Scotland to make a big splash?

  14. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    “I saw All the King’s Men yesterday. I believe there is a good movie rumbling around in there.”
    Yeah, it’s called the original. This movie stank of narcisism from the very start. I called this in May last year.
    I can’t believe people are still watching Jackass. How strange.

  15. Tofu says:

    It is strange that a movie that literally delivers a laugh a minute found an audience?

  16. filmkr says:

    I just saw FLYBOYS and really liked it. I wish there was more of a publicity machine behind it because the action scenes almost play like star wars. It is a fun and sweeping story, it is no wonder that they spent 60 million on this movie — because it shows on screen and is much better than some other summer fare. But why would they think that they could recoup such a huge investment since this was financed independently. It’s a great movie and more people should see it.
    Favorite movies so far: Little miss sunshine, the last kiss.
    Hated: Black dahlia

  17. jeffmcm says:

    Flyboys is awful and everyone should avoid it.

  18. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    “It is strange that a movie that literally delivers a laugh a minute found an audience?”
    When stuff like Snakes on a Plane doesn’t, yes. Yes it is. How do people say “nah, I’ll skip Snakes on a Plane” yet will spend money to see something they can watch on tv and dvd?

  19. T.H.Ung says:

    Lota, I’d see THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND even though I agree with DP’s comments about it… cuz it’s SOOOOO WELL MADE, craft is everywhere on the screen, everything looks real and afro-groovy 70’s and the director shot transitions for scenes, which always gets me really excited, and Idi makes a grand entrance that had me believing.

  20. Hopscotch says:

    I have no desire to see Flyboys, but my father saw it yesterday and loved it. He called it an old adventure movie. He admitted there is nothing in the movie you haven’t seen before character-wise and plot-wise (Jean Reno plays a French Capt. for god’s sake), but he likes that sort of stuff.
    in front of it was a trailer for “Home of the Brave”. Now…I’m REALLY curious how a movie set in the Iraq War will play. My dad, a conservative, can’t wait to see it and says it’ll be a huge hit. I think it’ll play like any other feel good story released during Christmas, but not great. what do you guys think? the trailer is available on apple.com/trailers.

  21. jeffmcm says:

    They’re still letting Irwin Winkler direct movies?
    The trailer looks interesting, but I don’t see this movie as a ‘huge hit’. I get the American movie-going public would prefer to pretend like Iraq isn’t happening at all.

  22. Stella's Boy says:

    The material is interesting and the trailer had me for a while, but it gets too melodramatic and when that awful Space Between song started playing, I barfed all over my keyboard.

  23. Hopscotch says:

    I’ve heard friends of mine who lean right complain that there haven’t been any positive movies about Iraq, and if there were they’d all see it. Will they all rush to see this movie called “Home of the Brave”? They all saw Passion of the Christ, will they line up to see Apocolypto now that Gibson has made it crystal clear that this movie is a reaction to the Iraq War?? But we can all agree on one thing. That trailer is awful.

  24. jeffmcm says:

    Well to my knowledge the only movies made about Iraq in the last three years have been documentaries like Gunner Palace and The Ground Truth. They should see those movies if they want to hear real stories and they’ll see Home of the Brave if they want comforting platitudes.

  25. Hopscotch says:

    Well, according to my father anyway, when a conservative person hears the word “documentary” and “war”, then the words “LIBERAL BIAS” immediately enters the brain.
    I told my father, a conservative, to see Gunner Palace. “Is it positive or negative?” he asked. “Neither, really”. “It has to be one or the other, right?” he persisted. I’m not claiming my father has access to the brain of his fellow right-wingers and knows how they analyze movies. But since Michael Moore hit big, anything that is a documentary must be completely biased. My only bias is if it’s a bad movie.

  26. jeffmcm says:

    He has a point, reality has a well-known liberal bias.

  27. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    Let’s not forget that Roberto Benigni has his Iraq War comedy(?) Or has that already been released?

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon