MCN Blogs
David Poland

By David Poland

Friday estimates by Klady – 11/25

Happy Feet + Casino Royale + D

Be Sociable, Share!

30 Responses to “Friday estimates by Klady – 11/25”

  1. The Carpetmuncher says:

    I got them Happy Feet, yee haw…fun times…

  2. martin says:

    So did Tenacious D and The Fountain bomb?

  3. Direwolf says:

    HF and CR combined are about $6 million ahead of Potter alone last year. Nice to have something in theatres for everyone. Both these films are performing very well.

  4. Mr. Muckle says:


  5. martin says:

    Deja Vu joke would have been subtle had DP repeated that line only once. Would have been.

  6. Wrecktum says:

    It’s a real deja vu for Deja Vu’s box office; Denzel always opens to the same range of $20m-30m. Remarkably consistant.

  7. Tofu says:

    Casino Royale is hanging in great, and Happy Feet is increasing business. Scary.

  8. jeffmcm says:

    Dear lord, let us all hope that Jason Bateman can find something better to do than pick up Tim Allen’s cinematic leavings.
    So I see DP now thinks that Borat will only make it to around $125m, I guess he now agrees that his earlier predictions of $150m+ were overly enthusiastic.

  9. jeffmcm says:

    Oh, and I’m surprised and dismayed to see that two years ago, Christmas with the Kranks made almost $74m.

  10. Joe Leydon says:

    Jeff: That really is a surprise. I’d somehow gotten it into my head that Christmas with the Kranks had stiffed the box-office. Once again, it just goes to show you: Some movies that you may assume were flops actually earned nice chunks of change. Which makes me wonder about how many of Altman’s movies have been characterized (in terms of their financial success). For example: Was Gosford Park really (as I have read) Altman’s biggest hit since MASH?

  11. Tofu says:

    More along the lines of $96.5 million after overseas. I would cheer for the movie-going public this year if I didn’t know the marketplace is simply too crowded to allow Deck The Halls to equal that take.

  12. James Leer says:

    Jason Bateman??? Where did that come from?
    Hard to draw a favorable comparison between the opening weekends of Deja Vu and Inside Man without acknowledging that the latter made that money in a 3-day weekend, not a 5-day. Or to compare neophyte Sacha Baron Cohen’s Oscar chances to ultra-honored veteran Meryl Streep just because their films made the same amount of money.

  13. Wrecktum says:

    Remember that the Thanksgiving 5-day is nothing like a summer 5-day. I can’t imagine anyone criticizing Deja Vu’s weekend considering it’ll be well within projections and totally consistent with Denzel’s previous openings.

  14. Wrecktum says:

    Just for comparison, here are the top 20 Thanksgiving 5-day openings of all time:
    Toy Story 2 — $80,102,784
    Unbreakable — $46,010,629
    A Bug’s Life — $45,820,335
    101 Dalmatians — $45,073,479
    Back to the Future Part II — $43,016,225
    Toy Story — $39,071,176
    Flubber — $35,892,031
    The Haunted Mansion — $34,046,111
    Rocky IV — $31,770,105
    End of Days — $31,509,775
    Christmas with the Kranks — $30,818,212
    Spy Game — $30,566,960
    Mrs. Doubtfire — $27,558,032
    102 Dalmatians — $26,236,096
    Alien: Resurrection — $25,789,455
    Star Trek IV — $25,402,366
    Aladdin — $25,172,444
    The Bodyguard — $24,402,567
    Yours, Mine and Ours — $24,321,341
    Alexander — $21,837,517

  15. Wrecktum says:

    Taking a quick look at the above list, two things stand out:
    1) Nearly half the movies listed are Disney released
    2) Over half the movies are abashedly “family” movies. Non-family movies litter the bottom half of the list.
    So, as I said, Deja Vu’s opening is entirely within projections and totally consistent with Denzel’s past openings. And I’ll add that it’s also totally consistent with adult-oriented movies opening in this frame.
    OK, I’m done with Deja Vu. Not worth talking about so much, really, but I think it’s important to note the reality of the numbers before people start inevitably start spinning the film as a “disappointment” or “underperformer.” Because it’s not.

  16. ThriceDamned says:

    One thing I’ve been wondering about is the supposed budget of Casino Royale and what would be the break-even point for it. I see that BOM lists it at a $150m, while most everywhere else, I see it listed at &60m, equalling $102m. The latter number makes much more sense to me, as it has
    a) Craig taking $2.5m rather than Brosnan with his $20m+ and
    b) A much lower quotient of explosions, gadgets and CGI (if in fact there was any. I didn’t notice at least)

  17. jeffmcm says:

    There are three massive action set pieces in Casino Royale (Madagascar, Miami, Venice) which could have easily eaten up $150m – ‘invisible’ CGI like wire-removal and the Venice building collapse exteriors are more expensive than obvious CGI, like Bond surfing or fighting lasers.

  18. scarper86 says:

    Deja Vu sucked. Deja Vu sucked.

  19. Tofu says:

    $150 million is the new $100 million, as Batman, Potter, and Ethan Hunt all can confirm. Wouldn’t want Bond to feel left out, now would we?
    I had heard that the Die Another Day budget was more along the lines of $182 million, but all the adverts cut it down to $142 million.

  20. Spacesheik says:

    “I had heard that the Die Another Day budget was more along the lines of $182 million”
    Apparently they ran out of money before the infamous, audience-howling-in-the-aisles CGI parasailing shot of Brosnan gliding off the iceberg.
    That scene right there fucked many people’s ultimate perception of the movie. Wretched, wretched, wretched…like something out of STAR TREK V with Bill Shatner falling off the mountain.

  21. ThriceDamned says:

    If they’re beginning the new reboot at a $150m, and can only go up from there (with escalating salary demands if nothing else), then how do they remain profitable. The $207m Kong was “disappointing” at $550m, while the biggest Bond to date, DAD, topped out at $430m worldwide. Even with the healty Bond afterlife in ancillary, I’m still having trouble reconciling these numbers.
    I know it’s an expectations game, with CR exceeding them, and Kong failing to meet them…but still

  22. Why are people talking about Deja Vu? That movie bugs me.
    $150mil doesn’t sound right for Bond.

  23. EDouglas says:

    jeff, not to spoil the magic of movies but that Venice building was a model.

  24. Chucky in Jersey says:

    “The Fountain” is nowhere near an awards hopeful. UA/Regal isn’t playing it in the Hamptons!
    “Bobby” opening Thanksgiving Day was a major mistake as I predicted. Not to mention using a pull-quote from longtime Weinstein apparatchik Liz Smith.
    “Bobby” also got hurt by news of a BBC report that says the CIA whacked RFK.

  25. jeffmcm says:

    You mean the Venice building was a live-action miniature? Cool, no wonder it looked so realistic. Overreliance on CGI sucks.
    “”‘Bobby’ also got hurt by news of a BBC report that says the CIA whacked RFK.”
    Nobody saw this report and I can’t imagine it making a difference to those who saw it. If anything it would help the movie.

  26. Those are stupid reasons for Bobby not making much money.

  27. Chucky in Jersey says:

    Harvey Weinstein said “Bobby” didn’t go national on 11/22 out of respect for JFK. Kennedy nostalgia is a lame excuse. Most of the intended audience barely remembers RFK and thinks the Kennedy family are big-time troublemakers.
    That 11/23 national release date was pure genius. It caused a UA/Regal in the Hamptons to drop its 2nd print of “Happy Feet”. It also prompted at least one arthouse to not open “Bobby”.

  28. jeffmcm says:

    Huh? The 11/23 release date is genius because some arthouse somewhere didn’t open the movie? What?

  29. Jeśli tak, ten test jest dla Ciebie. Przeznaczony jest on do zbadania różnego rodzaju zdolności składających się na inteligencję. Bada między innymi szybkość procesów myślowych, zdolności werbalne, przestrzenne i rozumowanie logiczne. Test został skonstruowany dla

  30. Joe Leydon says:

    Kittie, I really think it’s a bit late to bring that up.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon