MCN Blogs
David Poland

By David Poland

Klady's Friday Estimates


Be Sociable, Share!

29 Responses to “Klady's Friday Estimates”

  1. EDouglas says:

    After Dark’s Horror Fest did around $800k according to BOM…not bad considering that’s just for two or three of the 8 movies… and there are 5 others over the next two days.

  2. Sam says:

    Die Another Day’s opening weekend was 2.84 times its Friday take. If Casino Royale performs like that, it falls just short of $42 million for the weekend. Where is it going to get that extra $5+ to beat the Bond record? Word of mouth won’t kick in until next weekend.

  3. David Poland says:

    I think you stopped reading a paragraph short, Sam

  4. Wrecktum says:

    “Flushed Away and Santa Clause 2 both kidded themselves by not getting to $50 million before being hit by the Happy Feet tsunami.”
    Not really. Santa Clause 3 was on that 11/3 date forever, which gave them plenty of time to get to $50m before Happy Feet opened. It’s when Dreamworks decided to inexplicably go head-to-head with Disney that sealed both movies’ fate.

  5. MattM says:

    The quietier indie story is that Fast Food Nation is tanking HARD, while For Your Consideration is a bit of a disappointment.
    Flushed Away was a problem for Dreamworks/Paramount. They clearly wanted it released in the calendar year so it could compete for the Oscar (and it’s better than Over The Hedge and Cars), but after the disappointing results from W&G in the September-October timeframe last year, they didn’t want it there, and pushing it later into December runs it straight into Charlotte’s Web and Eragon (which is going to be an ugly faceoff on 12/15) and Night At The Museum.

  6. Tofu says:

    Waiting for Martin S to reply to these numbers.
    Sure, the Playstation 3 was released yesterday, but that is the same demographic that will still find time to see Bond. Sure, there are massive college football games today (GO BUCKS), but that is for today only. Sure, the Nintendo Wii is released tomorrow, but that is the same demographic that will see Happy Feet today.
    My question is just how close CR & HF will come to each other. I’m expecting another Harry Potter & Die Another Day roller coaster in the works here.

  7. Tofu says:

    Also, are Casino Royale’s midnight showings added into that total?

  8. Wrecktum says:

    ^ They usually are in cases like this.

  9. EDouglas says:

    Shame about The Aura…loved the movie and I’m a big fan of the late Bielinksy, but what can anyone expect when IFC just throws these movies out there with absolutely no marketing or promotion? *sigh*

  10. Sam says:

    David: No, I just didn’t phrase my response well. I get that you think $43 is more likely. What I’m saying is, I don’t even see how the record “could” fall.

  11. jeffmcm says:

    Sucks for the Horrorfest people that even with three brand-new films, they couldn’t outgross the dreadful Saw III.

  12. Tofu says:

    I was turned off by the HorrorFest by their terrible timing (November!?!) and their AWFUL AWFUL flash ads, littered all over YouTube and countless movie sites. They ran for six weeks, and wouldn’t SHUT… UP…

  13. EDouglas says:

    Jeff, one of the two (three?) movies that played yesterday was from the director of “The Grudge” (actually, I wanted to see it, too, but I blew my chance)

  14. jeffmcm says:

    I know, it’s the only title of the 8 that I want to see.

  15. Nick Rogers says:

    > Jeff, one of the two (three?) movies that played yesterday was from the director of “The Grudge” (actually, I wanted to see it, too, but I blew my chance)
    After the masterwork that was “The Grudge 2,” I’m sure you didn’t miss much. You can always catch “Snoop Dogg’s Hood of Horror.” It might be better than “Bones.”

  16. EDouglas says:

    I might go see The Hamiltons on Sunday if I can use my pass, but I’m sure these will be released on DVD by Lionsgate soon enough. (Kind of surprised they didn’t throw Catacombs in there.) I actually have Hood of Horror on DVD that I haven’t had a chance to watch.

  17. jeffmcm says:

    I think most of Shimizu’s original Ju-On movies are very good, and The Grudge 2 is certainly the best horror movie to come out in the last couple of months.
    And I like Bones as well.

  18. Jimmy the Gent says:

    Does anyone have any love for Tales from the Hood? A good horror anthology that was overlooked by the (mostly white) critical community. It came out around the same time as Friday, another smart comedy that didn’t get a fair chance by critics.
    I actually thought the tailer for Penny Dreadful looked interesting. I’ve always thought Mimi Rogers was a underrated actress. (I can’t believe Cruise divorced her.) She was amazing in The Rapture. She was unbelievably sexy in Bulletproof Heart. I also liked her in The Door in the Floor.

  19. Martin S says:

    Tofu – when I see 40M+ on Monday, I’ll believe it. It’s either 14M for 3 days or a big jump on Saturday to make up for the Sunday. I just don’t see the Saturday pop, but I guess if the fanboy audience can push a superhero film to near 30…

  20. Tofu says:

    Well, at least it went over the 30+ estimates.
    Now I know why I love this blog… The color scheme!
    //See you at the National Championship!

  21. J says:

    >>always thought Mimi Rogers was a underrated actress. (I can’t believe Cruise divorced her.)
    Screw Borat. THIS is comedy gold.

  22. “The Grudge 2 is certainly the best horror movie to come out in the last couple of months.”
    I can’t quite tell if you’re being serious or sarcastic.
    Glad to see great numbers for Casino Royale and Happy Feet. Box Office Guru says Flushed Away, Open Season, Over the Hedge and Chicken Little all had their Friday numbers accounting for between 26-29% of their weekend total, so that definitely bodes well.
    Nobody seems to have mentioned that Stranger than Fiction dropped 54%! Ummm… ouch? Babel fell 50% as well. Best Picture keeps slipping further out of it’s grasp.

  23. Cadavra says:

    Loved TALES FROM THE HOOD. Shoulda been much, much bigger than it was. (And if it had, a lotta people wouldn’t have been quite so surprised by the ending of a certain $300 million dollar grosser a few years later.)

  24. jeffmcm says:

    I’m being serious, just keep in mind that the competition has been Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Prequel, Saw 3, The Covenant, The Wicker Man, and The Return. To be fair, I haven’t seen all of those.

  25. EDouglas says:

    Jeff: you obviously didn’t see Feast. But yeah, this hasn’t been a good year for horror films. Of the ones I’ve seen above (3), only Saw 3 was slightly entertaining… there were even worse abominations like When A Stranger Calls and See No Evil. (If we consider Hary Candy horror, that would be my top movie in that genre this year.)

  26. Nate says:

    Borat comes out in a week in Poland, can’t wait.

  27. jeffmcm says:

    I did not, and you’re basically right except that I refuse to credit Saw 3 was anything other than annoying and puerile. Speaking of abominations, you probably never saw Abominable?

  28. EDouglas says:

    Abominable… Yeah, I have that on DVD somewhere… worth watching?

  29. jeffmcm says:

    Let’s just say that it holds your attention.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon