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David Poland

By David Poland

Weekend Estimates by Klady

Last year at this time, Hostel opened to $19.6 million and the first four holdovers were off 39.1%, 49%, 27.9% (adding screens), and 41.8%. So this year

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19 Responses to “Weekend Estimates by Klady”

  1. anghus says:

    Kudos to both Children of Men and Freedom Writers.
    Children of Men, despite a real marquee name had a great word of mouth opening, and Freedom Writers just goes to show you the teen skewed early year trend continues.
    Hillary Swank anchoring a film to almost a 10 million dollar opening… that was a bit of a surprise.

  2. Rob says:

    Yeah, Swank’s career thus far has alternated between home runs and strikeouts. It’s good to see her hit a solid single. (End of baseball metaphor.)

  3. eugenen says:

    Someone was asleep at the wheel with “Perfume.” It’s a bit of a tough sell, sure, but it’s tremendously entertaining and seems like it would have a lot of arthouse appeal, at least. $2K PSA on 280 screens? What happened?

  4. Eric says:

    Perhaps theater selection was a problem for Perfume. Its one screen here in Milwaukee is definitely not the first choice of the likely audience for the movie.

  5. David Poland says:

    For all the people whining about how Universal handled Children of Men, The F-ed Up Release Of The Year was Perfume.
    Strong book, strong appeal to women, an absolute mess of a release.
    The film needed tender care and instead got ramrodded in with Dreamgirls and Charlotte’s Web. Maybe they had a 2006 obligation to release, but they should have held for March and grossed no less than $30 million on publicity efforts and $15 million in P&A alone.

  6. jeffmcm says:

    Whoa, what makes you think a movie about an illiterate serial killer of women where the biggest star is Dustin Hoffman has ‘strong appeal to women’?
    I love the movie but…?

  7. Aladdin Sane says:

    Look at Rocky motoring on to $60 Mill…is 70 or 75 out of reach? Good to see it performing well.
    I saw Curse of the Golden Flower, and Children of Men this weekend. Liked both, although Children of Men is growing on me more and more. Maybe it will sneak in some surprise nominations. Too bad Clive Owen wasn’t touted as Best Actor earlier on. His is one of the best performances of the year. Hopefully more people see it in the coming weeks.

  8. Zac Bertschy says:

    Apparently the Children of Men fans are trying to persuade academy voters to at least see the pic:
    Kinda sad when the fans have to market the film instead of the company that’s releasing it, no?

  9. Chicago48 says:

    Did anyone notice that DG had $10,000 per screen? Huh? It’s leading the pack right now and I keep running into people who saw it and more who are going back a 2nd and 3rd time to see it (moi).

  10. martin says:

    True, but it also had a significant dropoff from last weekend, bigger than the top 2 movies. Everything points to a slowdown around 85-90 then pick up another 30 post-nominations. Not as big as Chicago, but very big nonetheless.

  11. martindale says:

    Both Blood Diamond (which is doing well after just an $8 mil dollar start) and The Good Shepherd would be considered solid performers if they didn’t cost so damn much to make!

  12. iowabeef says:

    I saw Dreamgirls a second time last night…even better than the first! I even caught some nuance in Beyonce’s perfomance this time around. Jennifer Hudson is amazing. It’s not just the singing, it’s her whole presence. She’s the electric spark of the whole film.

  13. Melquiades says:

    It’s funny… I really enjoyed Dreamgirls but it has faded fast in my memory. And after seeing Children of Men, I don’t think it’s even in the same league.

  14. Chicago48 says:

    Notice the legs of Pursuit of Happyness – wow! that’s a movie that should have fallen off the planet by now…but it keeps on ticking…good word of mouth?

  15. Chicago48 says:

    Notice the legs of Pursuit of Happyness – wow! that’s a movie that should have fallen off the planet by now…but it keeps on ticking…good word of mouth?
    To Melquiades – I have the DG soundtrack, so it doesn’t fade from my memory….I just use my imagination to revisit it. (lol)

  16. Tofu says:

    Saw Children of Men and Dreamgirls on the same night. The directing made one, and the editing made another. You just can’t get any more different in tone than those two.

  17. I always knew Pursuit would make a lot of cash. That’s why I thought it’d be a BP contender until the reviews came it. It seemed to fit the Kramer vs Kramer sort of slot they used to adore.
    Looks like that $40mil mark I guessed for Children of Men was right.

  18. martin says:

    Pursuit has definitely over-performed. Esp. considering reasonably strong adult competition from Rocky to Good Shepherd, to Dreamgirls to Marshall. As well as lack of Awards talk. So people are just going to it because of a strong Will Smith appeal, story, and word of mouth.

  19. Cadavra says:

    Well, apart from DREAMGIRLS, none of the other titles you cite have strong appeal to women, which PURSUIT has to spare.

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4