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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Box Office Hell – June 22

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19 Responses to “Box Office Hell – June 22”

  1. LexG says:

    Whoa, how is “1408” tracking that low? I’ve been pegging it as a sleeper surprise amidst all the tentpole pics– absolutely the kind of thing that’ll bring out teens, young adults, and date night couples in droves. Maybe not a “Sixth Sense”-level opening, but the word of mouth should give it legs. 8-20 mil seems WAAAAAY low. Why, I can practically already imagine the packed theater of multi-ethnic teens who’ll be talking and screaming all the way through it tonight.

  2. Hoju says:

    I don’t think $20 mil is a bad projection for “1408.” At all the big theaters where I live, it’s only one screen. But yeah, $8-12 mil is fairly low.

  3. jeffmcm says:

    $8m is probably too low, but I wouldn’t expect 1408 to open bigger than low or mid teens, this isn’t a teenagers-in-jeopardy movie so that blunts the appeal, plus (to my eyes) the marketing has made the movie look particularly cruddy.
    What’s this ‘Nikki’s Pals’ thing?

  4. The Carpetmuncher says:

    1408 seems like it should have pretty good legs even if it doesn’t open huge. I doesn’t seem like the TV campaign has been strong enough and a lot of people just don’t know it’s out there yet…but yeah, I agree, it’s the type of film that could catch a wave, especially with the very likeable Cusack…

  5. JohnBritt says:

    1408 was fairly crowded when I went, even on a matinee. It was a good movie, so expect good word of mouth. Evan Almighty was sold out on the matinee, so expect that movie to maybe open bigger than projected.

  6. Jimmy the Gent says:

    It looks as the Weinsteins think 1408 will have legs and that will help with Grace is Gone. I doubt it’ll work, but good for ’em for trying.
    Is anyone surprised by the lack of a “big” movie not opening this weekend? It would seem this would’ve been an ideal slot for Pixar to drop Ratatouille. I mean, Evan Almighty isn’t exactly a franchise.

  7. The Carpetmuncher says:

    Evan Almightly might not seem like a franchise but it was sure financed like one.

  8. Joe Straat says:

    Evan Almighty will likely get a push from all those folk that none of us have conversations with about movies. However, I doubt it’ll be nearly enough to settle that $200 million bill. Plus, it doesn’t have that crisp, clean, sellable concept like “Jim Carrey as God.” My guess: $50 mil and it’ll drop like a rock. Of course, I’ll probably be wrong because families who don’t go opening weekend will go and provide some legs. Still not enough to make them think twice about rejecting “Bland Jennifer Aniston Character Almighty,” but they’ll survive.
    Anyway, even though it’s doomed for a mid-teens opening, hoping for the best with 1408 as far as quality and finding an audience, since it’s the first horror movie in a year-and-a-half I actually WANT to see!

  9. Blackcloud says:

    Is it just me, or does it seem as though the summer movies have fallen silent as a tomb? There’s no hype, no buzz, nothing. I guess it’s July to the rescue.

  10. Cadavra says:

    Oh, I dunno. “Steve Carell as Moses” seems pretty crisp, clean and sellable.

  11. Cadavra says:

    Oh, Christ, it’s late. I meant Noah, of course.

  12. Evan Almighty feels awfully similar to Night at the Museum if you ask me. Museum was terrible, and Almighty is apparently just as bad. Obviously, it won’t make as much, but I can see it’s PG rating and all those cute animals getting it to a decent number. Of course, what makes a “decent number” is debatable considering the budget was $200mil+
    Also, is there any mention in the movie (for those who have seen it) as to how Steve Carrel’s character (Evan, I presume) managed to become a politician? Wasn’t he a news anchor last time?

  13. Chucky in Jersey says:

    Is it just me, or does it seem as though the summer movies have fallen silent as a tomb?
    “Pirates of the Caribbean 3” is already out of the Hamptons — 4 weeks and gone.

  14. anghus says:

    “Is it just me, or does it seem as though the summer movies have fallen silent as a tomb? There’s no hype, no buzz, nothing. I guess it’s July to the rescue.”
    It’s all frontloading.
    The summer was completely frontloaded with the ‘Threes’. I think everyone is just tired. Plus, all the hype equaled nothing more than stories of ‘underperforming’ (whether true or not), so now hype is becoming a bad word.
    It’s probably a good thing that May kicked the shit out of everyone, and now the movies can just come out and be judged on there merits, or lack thereof.
    To me, i think a lot of the malaise comes from the sequels. I can’t remember a summer with so few original concepts hitting the theater. Everything’s a number this year. Even the film i want to see this weekend is a number: 1408.
    but i digress

  15. The Pope says:

    What a drop for the Fnatastic Four. 72%. I know it is only for Friday, but that has got to be one of the biggest ever falls for the second weekend.

  16. Joe Leydon says:

    Meanwhile, Knocked Up continues to plug away, like the Energizer Bunny…

  17. The Pope says:

    To answer my own question, it would appear not. Nowhere near it in actual fact. That accolade goes to Undiscovered with an 86.4% drop
    (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/drops.htm).
    If things continue over the weekend, Fantastic Four will be way down the last at about number 22 or 25.
    But all the other films opened small, nowehere near as big as it did last weekend. An embarrassment for everyone except the marketing department.

  18. jeffmcm says:

    Joe, why are you happy about plugging Knocked Up?

  19. ErinQ says:

    Anderson Jones was wild, outrageous (one of his favorite words), sincere, and like no one else will ever be. He was one of my Best Friends.
    Tentatively, his memorial service will be on June 30th, in Long Beach. There are people that posted comments here who have known him a long time, who I do not have contact information for – if you would like to attend the service, please email me at erin_quill@hotmail.com
    And please – at this time, I’d prefer no obnoxious comments from the peanut gallery. This is a man who will genuinely be missed and who I held in very high regard – despite and because of all his foibles.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon