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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Friday Estimate by Klady

As is so often the case, both tracking and box office weight guessers underestimate the junk and overestimate the quality stuff. If there is anything consistent about tracking and its misuse, it is this.
Look for the Resident Evil sequel to open a bit better than the last sequel, assuring

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25 Responses to “Friday Estimate by Klady”

  1. EthanG says:

    Wow…looks like Across the Universe went with the right expansion idea…not Eastern Promises=( Too bad, because though I like both, “Eastern” is far better.
    The real stunner, however, has to be the killing Into the Wild made yesterday. Are we looking at a $40,000 per theatre average?! And what the hell happened to Jesse James.

  2. Crow T Robot says:

    “Jesse James” is heavy. The images are heavy. The acting is heavy. The pacing is heavy. And that would all be fine if the material wasn’t so light. But there’s not a lot going on here… at least not enough for three hours. Even the “visual poetry” wears thin after 90 minutes (“Days of Heaven” was very short film for a reason).
    Anyway, the heavy-handedness reminded me more of post-Sixth Sense Shyamalan than Malick. The movie establishes a comfort zone and stays right in it to the end.

  3. David Poland says:

    I wish the best for Into The Wild, but don’t go too crazy about a 4 screen opening. The film is terrific and could become a $100 million plus phenom. But the coasts have been carpetbombed with good word for weeks now and what else could a film lover looking for something that isn’t a downer go see right now? Getting “the kids” to take this ride is the real challenge and Vantage should be using the MTV relationship for all its worth for a wider launch. This movie is The Real Road Rules, writ huge.

  4. BNick says:

    Wait, was Jesse James on 15 screens or 5? Nikki Finke and Boxofficemojo are both saying 5, which give sit a per screen average of around $8,800 for Friday alone.
    Also, at least in NY, Into the Wild is playing at the Landmark Sunshine, while Jesse James is playing at the Angelika, so the size of the theaters, as well as the relative lengths of the films (not sure how long Into the Wild is) may be skewing things a bit. Both films are playing at Lincoln Square as well in large theaters.

  5. jeffmcm says:

    Julie Taymor could also use a screenplay that’s better than either Frida or Across the Universe.

  6. psf says:

    Across the Universe had a screenplay? 👿

  7. Sean Penn was in Oprah promoting “Into the Wild” on Friday….just sayin’…

  8. David Poland says:

    According to Len, JJ is on 10 Canadian screens… he is one of the few to properly count Canada… and of course, those numbers do turn up in the “finals.”

  9. jeffmcm says:

    More screens in Canada than in the U.S.?

  10. I would think a gross of about $2.5mil and an average of just under $10k is pretty good for the sort of movie Across the Universe is. It certainly ain’t made for mass consumption that’s for sure.
    Other sites are recording a debut of $9.3mil for Resident Evil, which is the exact same number that the second Resident film opened to and only something like 400 more screens. Of all the franchises from this year (bar Bourne) I never thought that Resident Evil would be the one to keep it’s audience so well.
    And Jane Austen Book Club makes the second 2007 film after Windchill to star Emily Blunt that has gone down the odd limited release path when it seems like it was made for multiplexs. Does that confuse anyone else?

  11. Oh, and also, they’re apparently developing the fourth Resident Evil film around the Ali Larter character. At Moviehole she’s quoted as saying “we’ll see come Monday, right”…
    http://www.moviehole.net/news/20070921_a_hero_for_resident_evil_4.html

  12. jeffmcm says:

    It’s a bad sign when Milla Jovovich decides a franchise might be beneath her talents.

  13. ThriceDamned says:

    KamikazeCamel: you got it backwards. This third Resident Evil is opening on 400 fewer screens than the second one, not 400 more (2800 now compared to 3200 then). Hence, it’s actually doing a bit better so far than the second one and will post a higher per screen average.
    Although I actually thought the second one was quite a bit better than the first, I never would have guessed that this franchise had so much life in it (boxoffice wise).

  14. ployp says:

    I liked the Resident Evil franchise. I can’t exactly say why, but there’s something about seeing zombies (they’re not actually called that in the first two) shot dead and hacked to pieces without any political subtext. Also. without Jovovich, it wouldn’t be Resident Evil.
    It’s opening in Thailand next week I think. Can’t wait…

  15. Thrice, that’s exactly what I was saying. I was saying that the two movies opened to the same amount despite the second one opening on 400 more screens. But I can see where the confusion came from.

  16. ThriceDamned says:

    Ok, I guess I just misunderstood you then. My apologies.

  17. themutilator says:

    Jesse James is playing on two screen in the same theatre in Toronto…and thats it for Canada.

  18. Chucky in Jersey says:

    The weekend estimates put a smile on my face.
    “Eastern Promises” > name-checking > stiff.
    “In the Valley of Elah” > name-checking + Oscar-whoring > bigger stiff.
    “The Hunting Party” > name-checking > flop.
    “Across the Universe” > no name-checking > better PTA than any of the above.
    “Jesse James” > no name-checking > legit arthouse pic for regular WB.
    “Into the Wild” > no name-checking > huge opening, portends well for national release?
    “Jane Austen Book Club” > no name-checking > less than boffo opening > national release cut back?
    And I feel like a bullet in the gun of Roh-bert Ford …

  19. jeffmcm says:

    So the fact that several of those movies not doing well are, in fact, quite good while some of the movies doing well are confused and bad is meaningless to you?
    Really?

  20. EDouglas says:

    “It’s a bad sign when Milla Jovovich decides a franchise might be beneath her talents.”
    Anyone who’s seen the movie knows that it’s set up for another movie with Milla.. although that original Ali Larter quote came from our sister horror site (as credited on moviehole), I think it’s just an actress trying to insure her place in the sequel. Anyone who saw Extinction knows that the franchise is all about Milla/Alice and that they’d be nuts to try to do one without her.

  21. I would suggest to Ali Larter that if she is wanting to take her newly rediscovered fame and run with it that the fourth film in the Resident Evil franchise isn’t the best way to go. As we know all too well, the geek crowd (and Heroes is of a decidedly more upper class of geeks) can only get you so far in this world.

  22. bmcintire says:

    For some reason, I have been avoiding HEROES. Knowing now that Ali Larter is in it has cemented the deal. HOUSE ON HAUNTED HILL and FINAL DESTINATION were both ripe with terrible performances, and she led the way in both of those pictures.

  23. Trust me, if you didn’t watch the first season then Ali Larter or not, you’d be a knob to even attempt watching the second.

  24. IOIOIOI says:

    Ali Larter is one of the best parts of HEROES, and she’s saddled with one of the oddest HEROES. So… do not avoid it on her part.

  25. She is quite good in Heroes, although I find her ability quite confusing. Is it technically even an ability? Seems more like a mental instability if you ask me. But, with that show you never can tell, I guess.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon