MCN Blogs
David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Weekend Estimates by Klady – May 11

wknd0511.jpg

Be Sociable, Share!

74 Responses to “Weekend Estimates by Klady – May 11”

  1. The Pope says:

    I don’t doubt it, but since the opening weekend is supposed to be down to marketing, how badly does that bode for SPEED RACER? Aside from the kiddies being notoriously hard to predict, the tracking appears to have been wa-a-a-a-a-y off.
    P.S. I can’t believe I’m about to type this… it must be the Harry Knowles in me… FIRST!

  2. IOIOIOI says:

    GO back a thread Pope to read the discussion that should be in this thread. Nevertheless; Warners failed selling this movie to North American audience. The funny thing will be when Speed opens abroad and those folks possibly loving it. Folks abroad always love the things that Americans are either not clever enough or too snobbish to love.

  3. scooterzz says:

    it’s already opened in thirty international markets and appears to be tanking in many of those…

  4. Eric says:

    I saw a 9:00pm show of Redbelt last night and was one of four people in the audience. So sad. I tried to buy enough beer from the concession stand to at least allow them to break even for the night.

  5. Geoff says:

    How come no comments, Dave? Why the big disparity with the projections for Iron Man? Just curious as to how Klady gets his info, as opposed to the rest.
    Iron Man is heading towards to around $280 million….wow, about 1/3 more than I expected. Congrats to Fav’s!
    Speed Racer was never going to be that big, let’s face it – the date did really hurt Warner’s and I think if they did end up getting a bigger star to play the title role, that could have been the difference maker – many years back, Depp was talked about it for it. I think if they were able to get Shia, who knows?
    I have to say I am pretty impressed with how well all of these comedies have been holding off. I think if there weren’t all of them out at once, I could see Baby Mama or Sarah Marshall MAYBE eking towards $100 million.

  6. Joe Leydon says:

    Come on, 21! Come on, 21! You’re so money! You’re so close to $80 million, you can taste it! Just a little more! You can do it!

  7. JBM... says:

    I saw a 9:00pm show of Redbelt last night and was one of four people in the audience. So sad. I tried to buy enough beer from the concession stand to at least allow them to break even for the night.
    I spit soda all over my monitor. Thanks. 🙂
    I remember Spartan (which I saw no advertising for, save a Flash banner on IMDb) opening at tenth place. Love that movie but Mamet can’t seem to get a break can he?

  8. JBM... says:

    I saw a 9:00pm show of Redbelt last night and was one of four people in the audience. So sad. I tried to buy enough beer from the concession stand to at least allow them to break even for the night.
    I spit soda all over my monitor. Thanks. 🙂
    I remember Spartan (which I saw no advertising for, save a Flash banner on IMDb) opening at tenth place. Love that movie but Mamet can’t seem to get a break can he?

  9. JBM... says:

    Apologies for the double post…

  10. movieman says:

    My favorite Mamets remain “House of Games” and “The Spanish Prisoner,” but “Redbelt” definitely deserved better.
    Except for “Crouching Tiger,” Sony Classics always seems to have difficulty taking any of their more populist-“seeming” titles (“Triplets of Belleville,” “Kung Fu Hustle,” “House of Flying Daggers,” “Curse of the Golden Flower,” “Friends With Money,” “Persepolis”) into non-specialized-sector release. Maybe it’s time to stop trying and just stick with the theatrical market they do best: upscale and arthouse.

  11. christian says:

    REDBELT looks like a straight-to-video Van Damme movie from 1998.

  12. Jimmy the Gent says:

    Homicide remains Mamet’s best as a writer-director. (Glengarry Glen Ross is still his best overall movie.)
    Homicide deserves Criterion-level treatment.
    It looks like Speed Racer is this summer’s Mimi Vice. It’ll clear around $60 million. It’s life will be TV and DVD. Considering how un-pretentious it was, I’m amazed critics didn’t give it a fiar chance.
    The desert-set portion of the rally race was what The Phanom Menace’s pod race wanted to be. The Wachowskis got it right. The way the movie cuts back-and-forth in order to keep the movie going while giving us plot points is pretty remarkable. It’s similar to the editing of The Departed.
    I don’t know what critics were thinking it should be. I mean, it’s an adaptation of a crudely animated artifact of the ’60s. They should be happy the Wahowskis were able to take a known title and give it more life than any previous version.
    All this talk about May 9th not being the right date is bullshit. The reason people can say that now is because Iron Man is such a hit. This date was fine until it wasn’t. Warners, like most studios, depended too heavily on the Geeks. Geeks mean shit if you want your movie to have any kind of legs. They should’ve studied the way Disney markets their movies.
    The movie I think has a rough date is Sex in the City. It’ll probably work, but it screams First Wives Club/Double Jepoardy Septeember release date. Or, late July/early August date.

  13. jeffmcm says:

    Likewise, changing from Emile Hirsch to some other similar actor like Shia wouldn’t have made any difference unless they also revamped the focus of the movie as a whole – they made and sold it as being primarily a Wachowski movie, not a star vehicle.
    Joe, you do this thing where you pick a favorite movie and relentlessly champion it, even if the movie isn’t very good. It’s a curious thing that I’ve seen you do a bunch of times.

  14. Dr Wally says:

    “The movie I think has a rough date is Sex in the City. It’ll probably work, but it screams First Wives Club/Double Jepoardy Septeember release date. Or, late July/early August date.”
    I think the positioning of SATC is very smart. Maybe not so much domestically, but bear in mind that the football European Championships kick off in Austria in early June and this movie will be manna from heaven for soccer widows all round Europe. Don’t believe the soccer is important? Cast your mind back to 2002. Attack of the Clones and Spider-Man were about a 50/50 split between domestic and international gross. Standard for a modern event movie is at least 40/60. Both clashed head-on with the World Cup in Japan.

  15. Geoff says:

    Jimmy,
    The initial reason it was not a good date is because it is the week before Narnia returns – that still stands, especially they seem to be heavily marketing it to teens with “pretty boy” all over the posters.
    Honestly, they could have opened it in March or April and had more success – even fits for the Wachowski’s who opened the first Matrix and V for Vendetta in March.
    It’s not ALL about the date, but the ads just looked LOUD and quite unappealing. Warner’s really seems to be putting all of their creative energy behind Dark Knight. Well, they are also behind Sex & the City – not sure how to judge that campaign, seems to make the movie look so serious. But the brand name and all of the product tie-in’s (free promotion) should deliver a big opening.

  16. marychan says:

    By the way, here is my correction:
    I said “Redbelt” budget is $10 mllion; it is the number I saw in Variety.
    http://www.variety.com/article/VR1117963016.html?categoryid=13&cs=1
    But it looks like the number is wrong. Los Angeles Times and ESPN states that this movie’s budget is $7 million.
    http://www.usadojo.com/articles/david-mamet-fight-hollywood.htm
    http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=alipour/080423

  17. Joe Leydon says:

    Jimmy the Gent: A $60 million final take for Speed Racer? Gosh. You mean to say you seriously think it will gross $20 million less than 21?

  18. gradystiles says:

    The Pope:
    Tracking wasn’t “way” off. David’s reading of it was.

  19. Tofu says:

    Warner Bros. is now one for three in releasing on the second weekend of May, with only Troy proving to break $100 million.
    That said, Speed Racer opening in-between Iron Man & Narnia would have been fine… If it were animated. Instead it was live-action without Sin City / 300 blood and guts, and thus sent to the wastebin by audiences the world over.

  20. LYT says:

    Redbelt’s marketing really sucked. Few of the trailers gave the viewer any idea what the story was, and the primary aspect they sold was Mamet, which isn’t enough for wider audiences.
    I think if they’d strictly focused on the MMA aspects of the movie in the marketing, and nothing else, it would have done a lot better.

  21. movieman says:

    I’ll still stick with “Games” and “Prisoner” in the Mamet pantheon, Jimmy. (“Glengarry” is a terrific Mamet adaptation, but Jimmy Foley directed that.) “Redbelt does “sound” like a late ’80s Van Damme programmer. I’m guessing that most people couldn’t get beyond that cheesy, generic title. You have to wonder just how many Mamet fans even knew that he wrote/directed it.
    I don’t understand why May 30th suddenly seems like such a bad date to open “S&TC.” It ought to deliver a nice shot of estrogen sandwiched in between Narnia/Indy and the Sandler/Jack Black combo on June 6th. I have friends who want to see this more than any other summer movie: and they’re not all women (or gay men), believe it or not.

  22. movieman says:

    I’ll still stick with “Games” and “Prisoner” in the Mamet pantheon, Jimmy. (“Glengarry” is a terrific Mamet adaptation, but Jimmy Foley directed that.) “Redbelt does “sound” like a late ’80s Van Damme programmer. I’m guessing that most people couldn’t get beyond that cheesy, generic title. You have to wonder just how many Mamet fans even knew that he wrote/directed it.
    I don’t understand why May 30th suddenly seems like such a bad date to open “S&TC.” It ought to deliver a nice shot of estrogen sandwiched in between Narnia/Indy and the Sandler/Jack Black combo on June 6th. I have friends who want to see this more than any other summer movie: and they’re not all women (or gay men), believe it or not.

  23. movieman says:

    apologies for the double post; it was entirely accidental and done without malice, lol.

  24. IOIOIOI says:

    Sent to the wastebin? Bollocks. It will live on in cable and on DVD. The people who passed it by, will see it on cable, and feel like a bunch of mooks for ignoring it in the theatres. It’s a fine movie about family and the art of something most people do not see as art. It will connect with people because the marketing could not.
    Also… if you thought the ads were loud and flashy. You are apparently living in 1989. This is the 21st century. Let us act like it please.

  25. TheJeff says:

    Homicide deserves Criterion-level treatment.
    Expect that wish to come true sometime later this year.

  26. scooterzz says:

    io — EVERYTHING lives on ‘in cable and on dvd’… and no one will feel like a mook for ignoring ‘sr’….your neon baby is dead….

  27. David Poland says:

    Grady is right about the tracking, in that the tracking firms did predict this number… and no one I know at any studio believed them, since they miss on movies like this so often.
    But yes, they did have this right, even though the family numbers suggested to most people I know who know tracking well, that they would be low.
    And I don’t bother digging into the actual tracking myself anymore. I defer to people who have actually read tracking for many years. But as we all know, tracking is not meant as a predictive system, but as a way of measuring the support of a movie out there so the marketers can adjust.

  28. IOIOIOI says:

    Dead? You really need to move to a different field scoot because this one is not for you. This movie will continue to live on because it has a certain charm to it that few films have these days. It also has a tremendous Michael Giacchino as well. So the movie will find people the same way that Miami Vice has found people and countless other flicks have been found on TV. Maybe people will be able to tolerate the future of visuals of FILM on their TV because that way it will not hurt their little heads. Here’s hoping.
    Oh yeah… there’s only one HOMICIDE and it’s definitely not a Mamet flick. Pembleton lives on.

  29. David Poland says:

    You are soooooo happy, Scooterzz!
    Must be nice to hate so happy.

  30. Nicol D says:

    “I have friends who want to see this more than any other summer movie: and they’re not all women (or gay men), believe it or not.”
    My vote for one of the more frightening things I have read on a movie blog.
    No offense intended of course.

  31. Lota says:

    Well I am the biggest Speed race fan around (speed racer lunch box, racer X mug, cards, Racer X’s picture has been in my wallet since I was a teenager) growing up on 80s reruns and i LOVED this movie.
    It was excellent and I think it was groundbreaking the way it was shot/incorporated the storytelling with excellent effects. The colors were a bit painful at first but no less than Charlie and the choco factory. The Ws had the perfect amount of cheese in this movie. It was brilliant.
    I don;t think it has been given a fair chance. It even improved on the old cartoon version by doing away with such weak women and giving Sprital and Chim Chim kung fu/Hong Kong action movie fantasies.
    Matthew Fox looked pretty good in his leather gear.
    Good use made of the V for Vendetta cast as well.
    I am sad that it placed where it did financially this weekend since I didn’t like Iron man (also a favorite comic of mine 80s-90s) as much as i wanted to, and the Vegas thing seemed so unappealing. Mother’s day weekend was a poor choice to release a kids movie since it is not something that Moms would like compared to a chick flick.

  32. Joe Leydon says:

    IO: Homicide: Life on the Street is one of the best TV series in the history of TV — right up there with The Fugitive and The Twilight Zone and St. Elsewhere — and the “Subway” episode featuring Vincent D’Onofrio is one of the greatest episodes of a series in the history of TV. And, yes: Pembleton does indeed live.

  33. THX5334 says:

    “since it is not something that Moms would like compared to a chick flick.”
    And yet it had one of the best written Mom characters in a while.
    Well, other than Scooterz, the word of mouth around here seems to be pretty good. So, for those that are pre-judging, you’re missing out.

  34. IOIOIOI says:

    Joe: I have never ever agreed with you more. The TV movie of HOMICIDE continues to be one of the greatest injustices ever inflicted in the history of pop-culture.
    That aside; the word of mouth of SPEED RACER could be pretty decent THX. It’s really not a candy-coated piece of shit. I would compare it to CARS. If CARS had even more heart. Why Warners could not look at the CARS campaign from DISNEY and straight RIP IT OFF for Speed Racer. Remains one of those mysteries that should lead to Joel Silver yelling at someone at the Warner offices.

  35. mattn says:

    Mother’s day weekend was a poor choice to release a kids movie since it is not something that Moms would like compared to a chick flick.

    Yes–in fact, I took my two kids so that my wife could take some time off. She had zero desire to see this. The 8-year-old loved it; the 4-year-old was too confused, and two hours plus was just too long for her.

    As for me, who grew up on the cartoon–I thought it was ok. There were parts where they nailed it–a live action version not of the cartoon itself, but of my imagination as a kid watching the cartoon. [I thought this was part of the point of the very beginning, which the child Speed’s fantasy of racing was intercut with the “actual” fanciful racing scenes.]

    But this is yet another summer movie that was longer than it needed to be; the idea seems to be that if they spend $100 million it needs to be up on the screen in running time at least. And I wonder of the reviews would have been kinder if the film had been cheaper.

  36. TMJ says:

    Tracking is an imperfect science that can’t account for kids!
    Emile Hirsch isn’t a big enough star!
    It was too long!
    It cost too much!
    Mother’s Day is a death weekend!
    Sheesh … I thought IRON MAN was supposed to generate all of the excuses.

  37. TMJ says:

    Tracking is an imperfect science that can’t account for kids!
    Emile Hirsch isn’t a big enough star!
    It was too long!
    It cost too much!
    Mother’s Day is a death weekend!
    Sheesh … I thought IRON MAN was supposed to generate all of the excuses.

  38. TMJ says:

    Tracking is an imperfect science that can’t account for kids!
    Emile Hirsch isn’t a big enough star!
    It was too long!
    It cost too much!
    Mother’s Day is a death weekend!
    Sheesh … I thought IRON MAN was supposed to generate all of the excuses.

  39. TMJ says:

    Triple post, FTW.

  40. Joe Leydon says:

    IO: I am 99 percent you already know this, but in case you don’t: Homicide is in reruns on the Sleuth cable network. The TV movie wasn’t that bad — but I wish they hadn’t killed off who they killed off. And I love the fact that Much has lived on and on and on….

  41. Joe Leydon says:

    Speaking of Mamet: Years ago, when I was doing a location story in Boston on Oleanna

  42. IOIOIOI says:

    Joe: Comcast had a fight with Universal. So no more Sleuth for me. I just need to buy the complete set from A&E home video.
    TMJ: FTW? FTW? Samoa Joe salutes you as trying to avoid hurting Kurt Angle’s nick.

  43. IOIOIOI says:

    Neck. His freakin NECK!

  44. 50.2? 20.1? 20.0? Who are they fooling?

  45. christian says:

    A lot of critics had no business reviewing SPEED RACER. Imagine if John Simon reviewed THE LOVE BUG. And obviously SR is superior to THE LOVE BUG.
    I can’t see how critics could not think Sarandon’s little speech about the power of art wasn’t just a bromide. The Wachowski’s experienced that transformation and they’re trying to share. But adults are more cynical than kids so some don’t see. I hope families that would go to see pablum like SHARK TALE would see more value in this loving film.
    And the Mach 5 should have been fetishized more in ads and the movie.

  46. THX5334 says:

    Joe and IO,
    I love and adore Homicide, and have always wondered why Andre Braugher did not go on to greater things.
    When people rave about the Wire, I often ask if they caught Homicide.
    (maybe he’s difficult to work with? Or choosy?)
    I did not ever catch the ending or TV movie, but if it’s the character I think you’re referring to, if they killed him….Wow.
    That really sounds like a douche of a series ending for such a great, great story.
    That’s bad, bad. As in 18-1 bad.
    Wow.

  47. Joe Leydon says:

    THX: Trust me — it wasn’t Pemdleton.

  48. MASON says:

    Man oh man.
    Talk about a jinx.

  49. doug r says:

    Pembleton owned that show…No one could work the interrogation room like him. Who knows how to work one camera like that show. When Scorsese has a long shot, it’s a big hairy deal-shows like Homicide and DaVinci’s Inquest totally pulled it off without the mad love.
    Anyway, I took my family to the theater today to basically try out Speed Racer, but I couldn’t do it. I couldn’t subject my wife and 13 year old daughter to 135 minutes of sensory overload it, so we saw Nim’s Island-which was surprisingly entertaining.
    I stand by my choice of seal lion farts over monkey feces.

  50. scooterzz says:

    dp — re: your comment directed at me
    no hate here at all, honest…..just sympathy for those who can’t/won’t see the forest for the trees….
    never ‘hated’ the movie, just didn’t agree with the raves (or the incomprehensible gibberish from your little friend io)…..
    it’s all in the past now…looking forward to next sundays 10 am screening of ‘indy 4’…… and can’t wait to read your thoughts on that one….

  51. IOIOIOI says:

    Scoot: little friend? If anything. He would be my sidekick. You also feel sympathy for people who LOVE A MOVIE? What a total fucking asshole move on your part to totally miss that some of us are raving about this movie because we like it or love it. Seriously… you need to get a handle on your fucking life. You also need to lose your screening privelages due to your douchebaggery on this thread alone.

  52. scooterzz says:

    ta-da!…the aristocrat……

  53. jeffmcm says:

    Consider yourself lucky he didn’t break out the Seaward.

  54. wash, rinse, repeat.
    yawn.

  55. IOIOIOI says:

    You three are Chinatown.

  56. THX5334 says:

    Well,
    I saw the 11:00 show of Iron Man last night in Theatre 10 at the Arclight….
    I didn’t love this movie as much as I wanted to.
    (And maybe it was my mood. I will give it that)
    After seeing it, I felt Poland’s review was pretty apt. Though some of the Improved moments worked for me.
    I did like it. Downey rocked, Paltrow was decent, there were some very cool moments with the suit.
    Plot points were so contrived you could see them coming a mile away.
    **Spoiler**
    (His best friend is the one that comes running up to him after being gone three months in the desert? What is this? The fucking Michael Bay school of filmmaking?
    When that moment happend, I expected the characters to break out in horrible ethnic stereotyped accents and discuss how they couldn’t wait to get home from the combat zone for some Jambalaya, or some Latina Panocha – I love how Bay thinks this passes for character development…)
    The Villain failed story 101. For a story to work, you have to believe the Villain might have a shot at beating the good guy. And you just never felt that here. At best, he was evenly matched. That’s never good enough.
    But the thing that bugged me the most??
    Terry Howard.
    Oh, my God, that is some of the worst casting I’ve seen in ages.
    This is the guy whose supposed to wear the suit in later movies?
    This is the guy that JeffMCM thinks was the right cast?
    Like I said, he’s a competent actor, but the dude had a total nails on the blackboard effect for me.
    Every time I heard that wispy falsetto chick voice come out of his mouth – I just wanted to put him in a dress, stick a bouquet of flowers in his hand and tell him to please stand off to the side and shut the fuck up.
    The dude pretty much shat the movie for me.
    If someone gave me the choice between Iron Man comics and Speed Racer cartoons, I’d tell you to give me some Stark and that’d be it.
    But the Wachowski’s made the better film.
    At least a film that took more chances and wasn’t as by the note as Iron Man.
    It’d be easy to blame Favreau but the movie has the feel of Marvel suits sticking their hands into things.
    As for Favreau’s cameo; while he took it way past Hitchcock and into Shamalyn territory – but he is a good actor, so it’s condonable – I couldn’t help but think that dude looked in better shape than I’ve seen him in years.
    All the while I was looking at him I kept thinking “Hmm….Diet or Surgery, Diet or Surgery?”
    And then I loathed myself and the world a little for us all coming to the point where that is now a very credible question.
    Maybe I’ll like it more when I catch it on cable,
    maybe I’ll like Speed a little less when it makes it’s turn.
    I don’t think we often take into account enough how much our mood going into the theater can affect our perception of the film during or after…

  57. pchu says:

    Saw Redbelt last night around 7:15. Only 6 people in the theater (including two of us). After the film ended, I overheard someone(under 21) saying ‘This is the worst movie I have ever seen’, probably expecting something else and has no idea of who’s David Mamet.
    The film isn’t bad IMO. But definitely not the best Mamet film, and the last 10 minutes is pretty far-fetched.

  58. jeffmcm says:

    Why does everything have to come back to me? My argument re: Terrence Howard was simply that he was a better casting choice than Chiwetel Ejiofor. Maybe after I see him doing some hand-to-hand combat in Redbelt I’ll change my mind, and granted after I saw Iron Man I wasn’t particularly impressed by Howard, but I still think they have different casting strengths and weaknesses.

  59. brack says:

    It’s not Terrence Howard’s fault, his character wasn’t written very well. I really didn’t think the whole best friend angle was clearly defined.

  60. THX5334 says:

    Yes, Brack it is Terry Howard’s fault.
    You know when people in Hollywood go and say “Such & Such an Actor is sooooo good, they could read the phonebook and win an Oscar!” ???
    You know that saying?
    Well, the idea behind that, is “This actor is so good at their craft, they can take any written piece of shit script, and make something good come of it”
    There’s a million other choices Terry could’ve made with that character.
    And I’d wager Favreau being an actor and letting so much Improv happen, gave Howard freedom to do something with a straight man role.
    He had the “Phonebook” opportunity and he blew it.
    Or, if you want to believe the saying %70 of Directing is casting…then blame Favreau or whomever made the call to sign off on Howard.
    Bottom line, he sucked in this. He sucked bad and it is all his fault…

  61. brack says:

    yeah, well, until actors in movies start reading the phone book, that saying is pure shit.

  62. Chucky in Jersey says:

    “Sex and the City” has its world premiere tonight in London. The Brit press is lapping it up — the movie opens in Blighty 2 days before the States.
    I figured “Speed Racer” was iffy when I saw the AMC chain didn’t sell advance tickets for it. That hunch proved correct.
    Memo for movieman: Sony Pictures Classics distribution needs to be folded into Columbia/Screen Gems/TriStar. Without the megaplexes you don’t get the visibility.

  63. LexG says:

    ROGER ALLAM OWNS YOUR ASS.

  64. anghus says:

    I agree that Terry Howard was just awful in Iron Man.
    “Nails on a chalkboard” sums it up perfectly.
    He played the part like he won it in a contest.
    I kept thinking of the last scene in Pee Wee’s Big Adventure where Pee Wee appears as a bellhop in the movie within a movie with his overdubbed lines…
    It really was really bad acting. Shawn Wayans bad.

  65. Joe Leydon says:

    The final numbers are in. Speed Racer is indeed No. 3… and, more important, 21 has cracked $80 million.
    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080512/ap_en_mo/box_office_3

  66. yancyskancy says:

    THX: Of course Terrence Howard’s voice isn’t actually a falsetto, but it IS unusual and it just doesn’t seem to fit certain roles. I think if I closed my eyes during Iron Man, I’d think Howard’s role was being played by Robby Benson, circa 1976.

  67. IOIOIOI says:

    Terrance ruled as Rhodey. Keep your hate on away from War-Machine. It may lead to unnecessary chaffing.

  68. LexG says:

    Terrence Howard would out-suave, out-awesome, and flat-out OWN anyone on this blog six ways to Sunday. Know that.

  69. What celebrity doesn’t own? Apart from Paris Hilton.

  70. LexG says:

    Haven’t you been paying attention? PARIS HILTON OWNS EVERYTHING.
    The non-own shortlist would include Eric Stoltz and Helen Hunt, for starters.

  71. Joe Leydon says:

    Helen Hunt OWNS your sorry ass, Lex. Go ahead: Kiss the base of her Oscar. Bow before the majesty of this goddess.
    And speaking of owning: I just saw Billy Dee Williams doing a commercial for AT&T Cable. Even cooler than his malt liquor spots. Sweet.

  72. LexG says:

    Joe L. is consistently awesome.

  73. Joe Leydon says:

    BTW, Lex: Do you think the topless shot here is REALLY Ricci?
    http://www.shesocrazy.com/2122153/christina-ricci-topless-tattoo

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4