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David Poland

By David Poland

Trying A Tweet Poll – Watchmen

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18 Responses to “Trying A Tweet Poll – Watchmen”

  1. Uh, I’d rather go with $70/$250.

  2. Nevermind. I’m a moron. Didn’t see “worldwide.”

  3. David Poland says:

    I think there are a lot of alternative answers, Kris… but mostly did this one to experiment… learning new tricks

  4. IHeartThatCurtis! says:

    Too low.

  5. T. Holly says:

    It’s going to do 50 and 150 for a total of 200.

  6. IHeartThatCurtis! says:

    It’s going to do 80, but overseas is a toss up. It really does depend on what the material means to Japan and England. If they are as into as the US. It could do 300. Do not under sell it. It may surprise you.

  7. leahnz says:

    david poland, you left the ‘who gives a rat’s ass’ box of the list

  8. leahnz says:

    that would be ‘off’ the list, so sue me, i been drinkin

  9. jeffmcm says:

    Not enough options. My guess is around 70/ 180.
    IOI, you’re nuts if you think this movie is doing Dark Knight business.

  10. Never underestimate an Event Picture, especially when that picture is something audiences have never seen before. A $70m opening is doubtful due to the length and rating but only $450m worldwide? Conservative, very conservative.

  11. Never underestimate an Event Picture, especially when that picture is something audiences have never seen before. A $70m opening is doubtful due to the length and rating but only $450m worldwide? Conservative, very conservative.

  12. Well, it was almost worth saying thrice; sorry about that. Love that TypeKey, right?

  13. Martin S says:

    70 domestic. I’d say more, but the entertainment/leisure market is getting softer by the month. If it breaks 80, then the old “Depression = Box Office” is alive and kicking. Personally, I think their are too many free options for that to be a given, but maybe Dave’s “escape to the theater” theory is right.
    Worldwide will be much lower than anticipated because half the globe is on economic fire, if no one here has noticed.
    U.S. stocks fell to the lowest level since 1997 and European stocks slipped toward six-year lows registered earlier this week, while economic data showed economies faltering from Japan to Sweden.
    Japanese factory output fell a record 10 percent in January, dragging down the number of new jobs on offer as Japan’s recession appeared to be deepening.
    India’s economy slowed more than expected from October to December, while fourth-quarter data from the Nordic region showed the Danish and Swedish economies contracting at record paces and Finland entering recession.
    The South Korean won fell to an 11-year low against the dollar as analysts said risk aversion fed by the fragility of global financial system would impede any recovery.
    Japan is a savings-based culture, unlike the west. They’ll drop expensive entertainment, (which movies are in Japan), in favor of online since the whole country is broadband and wifi. As for South Korea, I’m not sure how US theatrical does, but the secondary market is literally gone.
    It’s North America, parts of Europe and Australia. IO’s right that book nostalgia is going to be important.
    FWIW, I think WB is going to regret not splitting Snyder’s full cut into two movies with March and June releases.

  14. Geoff says:

    I think 300 business is the ceiling, here – probably about a $75 million opening (Warners has left no stone unturned for marketing this thing), FAST fade to about $180 million domestic, and good appeal overseas – about $400 million worldwide.
    The bigget hit of the spring will still be Monsters Vs. Aliens, which MIGHT do $200 million.

  15. Krazy Eyes says:

    Since this was just a test I think it would be helpful to leave the poll results hidden until after people vote. History has shown that people will always tend to be swayed to vote for the winning choice and you wouldn’t want to influence your results, right?

  16. christian says:

    What leahnz said.

  17. Cadavra says:

    Waiddaminute. MONSTERS VS. ALIENS opens 3/27 in IMAX? Do they really think WATCHMEN’s legs will be so wobbly that it’ll get pulled from those screens after only three weeks?

  18. IHeartThatCurtis! says:

    Use the old name. You get a new nickname. Jeff’s new nick is P0WND! It’s also not crazy P0WND! It’s not. It really is not crazy, but when have I ever been right about genre box-office before? It will do 80. Even if it does not make 80. They will state it does 80.
    Oh yeah: do not undersell it doing something really big and stupid next weekend. This is the turn many people have wanted all through out the Winter, and it’s finally here. Please do not act if the people really will care about IKFP next week, when all there will be next week are the Watchmen.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon