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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Box Office Hell – 8/14/09

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20 Responses to “Box Office Hell – 8/14/09”

  1. Wrecktum says:

    Here’s my pick to CLICK: Bandslam will make more than The Goods, which is DOA. Count on it.

  2. LexG says:

    Bullshit. THE GOODS IS GOING TO RULE THE WEEKEND. WAY short on THE GOOD. People LOVE Piven.
    PIVEN POWER = $35 MIL WEEKEND. BANK ON IT. THE LEX HAS SPOKEN. 35 MILLION.
    Where the hell did anyone pull those D9 estimates from? NO ONE ON THE PLANET knows what District 9 is, it has no stars, and NO WOMAN EEEEEEVER would go see it.
    Don’t get me wrong, I’m sure it’s fine, I’ll check it out, but that think is gonna tank like C. Thomas Howell and James Garner.
    DISTRICT 9 = 9 MILLION OPENING WEEKEND. TAKE THAT TO THE BANK.
    THE LEX HAS SPOKEN.
    Now go see THE GOODS. I know it’s gonna be awesome because Piven spent a day in the BIG BROTHER HOUSE on CBS (no bullshit) to promote it.

  3. LexG says:

    Also (and this is going to be a GREAT POST so get your notebooks handy to make sure you quote me properly):
    The PONYO numbers are going to be misleading because all the FAT GUYS seeing it will have to pay for two seats. ZING.
    That movie looks HORRRRRRRIBLE. Anyone who sees Ponyo should be sent to prison.
    PIVEN POWER. BOW.

  4. martin says:

    Lex, no interest in Bandslam, aka Sneakernight 2?

  5. LexG says:

    Martin: GOOD QUESTION.
    It’s well known that SNEAKERNIGHT is my favorite song of ALL TIME, and I am a HUGE Vanessa Hudgens fan. But I will mostly likely wait for home video so I can watch it in the privacy of my own home… so I can do a little BANDSLAMMING of my own… IF you know what I mean.
    And if you don’t, it means I’ll have a BONER.
    I’d like to empty HER spit valve, if you know what I mean.
    I’ll give her a tromBONE.
    I’d like to tune her reeds.
    I’ve got a clarinet… in my pants.

  6. EthanG says:

    After like 2 years of reading you Lex, you have gone off the rails man. OFF THE RAILS. Rhames is better in the shiteous Chuck and Larry pic than he is in this foul mouthed after-school special. Having Jeremy Pivert headline a film=disaster, and middle school students could have come up with a better title in a naming contest. Oh yeah….and the film blows.
    And Northern Virginia is a bad indicator, because it always seems (feel free to openly bash here) better films sell out here…but District 9 is showing every 45 minutes in 2 screens with 500 seat capacity at Tysons Corner…and its come close to selling out/sold out all shows today…so Im going to be ballsy and go with 30-35 mil.
    Only other comment…is Paramount Vantage still an awards-friendly house…or is it the new, now defunct, Fox Atomic. Because “The-Goods” and its bare upcoming slate (yeah yeah Toronto, Berlin and Vienna havent happened blah blah…still…look at Searchlight) do not spell good for Paramount Vantage.

  7. steamfreshmeals says:

    Vantage was shut down in late 2008. Paramount is just burning through the three remaining films that have been laying around…THE GOODS this weekend (lots of actual support/spend with Piven really making the rounds led by publicity dangling sushi), THE MARC PEASE EXPERIENCE (10 market dump next week, not including NY nor LA), and CARRIERS Labor Day Weekend (another dump unless they try selling Capt Kirk/Chris Pine). Viacom/Paramount has no desire to be in the independent film business and “awards-friendliness” will come from SHUTTER ISLAND, THE LOVELY BONES and possibly UP IN THE AIR

  8. Wrecktum says:

    Lex is good at many things, but boxoffice prediction isn’t one of them.
    District 9 has $30m in the bag.

  9. Nobody’s expecting a good hold for Julie & Julia then?

  10. LexG says:

    CHUCK AND LARRY is one of the best movies of the decade. If you like having BONERS. BIEL POWER. (It’s also a good movie.)
    Anyway, one last time: THE GOODS.
    Also: More like TIME TRAVELER’S BONER. They should have Bana like going back and forth in time and every time he sees McAWESOME he gets a BONER with a loud BOING on the soundtrack and when he starts to disappear he’s like, “This sucks, but I’ll just back in time to when she was 18 and a day and bang her then. Better idea.”
    GOOD MOVIE.

  11. SJRubinstein says:

    That’s too bad – kind of want to see “Marc Pease Experience” as it sounds rather wacky.

  12. Maskatron says:

    D9 will rule the weekend due to word of mouth. People have been wanting an actual GOOD action movie this summer, and not one you have to “turn your brain off”. It will make it’s budget back this weekend.
    I do think Goods is being pretty underestimated on that list though.

  13. jennab says:

    OMG, I am LOL…I, too, had a secret obsession with Vanessa’s Sneakerlight…remember seeing the video (okay, watch VH1 while I’m getting dressed) and thinking, “She is adorable and this is a super-cute, polished pop song…she’ll be huge!”
    Now, my own taste run to all things Jack White (Dead Weather is f-ing AMAZING)…and, granted, she’s no Nicole Sherzinger, but the girl can sing!
    I asked all the little girls who buzz around my son, “Don’t you think she’s cute, don’t you like this video,” and they were all, ‘m’eh.” I think because VH is “dating” Zac Efron.

  14. bmcintire says:

    In skimming through Lex’s post above, i read “PIVEN POWER. BOW.” as “PIVEN BONER. WOW.” It was much funnier that way.
    By the way:
    http://gawker.com/5337144/behold-the-vortex-of-douchebaggery-captured-in-a-single-photograph

  15. christian says:

    That is indeed the DB vortex. Cook, Rock and Piven! Talk about giving Lex a high hard one…

  16. hard one or hardon?

  17. Hallick says:

    “DISTRICT 9 = 9 MILLION OPENING WEEKEND. TAKE THAT TO THE BANK.”
    While laughing all the way?

  18. christian says:

    “Now go see THE GOODS. I know it’s gonna be awesome because Piven spent a day in the BIG BROTHER HOUSE on CBS (no bullshit) to promote it.”
    Where to start…

  19. Dirk2112 says:

    Lex,
    Unless I’m misreading that bank has roughly 37 million in tonight.

  20. Dirk2112 says:

    Lex,
    Unless I’m misreading, that there bank has roughly 37 million in tonight.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon