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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Gurus o Go-Go-Gold

This week, The Gurus have pushed Avatar to the top slot (tied with Up In The Air) after the film was at #3 last week and #9 the week before. Also rising, Inglourious Basterds.
Then, the Gurus take on some Y/N questions.
gurusqs1223.png

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8 Responses to “Gurus o Go-Go-Gold”

  1. eugenen says:

    Can we all agree that Sasha Stone misread the first three Y/N questions?

  2. Gonzo Knight says:

    My take:
    1. No.
    2. Would be a cop-out if I said that it’s got a 50% higher chance of winning than most other nominee? In that case, no.
    3. No.
    4. No.
    5. Yes, but it won’t be enough.
    6. As a matter of fact, yes.
    7. Yes in that the media buzz affects her chances (but the effect of this buzz can debated).
    8. Not at this time.
    9. A very weak marginal yes.
    10. See above.
    11. The important words here are “so far”. Yes, the race is going to be a bit more exciting but the nominations are going to be quite a bit less so.

  3. Gonzo Knight says:

    Make that “net effect” in #7.

  4. Gonzo Knight says:

    Good catch, eugenen. That is pretty funny.

  5. Hallick says:

    1. Right now, its about…35?
    2. Not anymore, if it ever was. Avatar nixed it.
    3. Today – yes. Later – maybe.
    4. Still? What still? There’s a still?
    5. It seems like a sterile dark horse.
    6. I can imagine a lot that wouldn’t happen.
    7.
    8. Probably not this year.
    9. Dunno.
    10. Dunno.
    11. No. The real contenders are still the ones that would be in the top five anyway, aside from Hurt Locker I guess. But Hurt Locker’s still going to wind up the Miss Congeniality winner in the BP slot, so what’s really changed?
    Peter Howell and Sasha Stone really need to work on their math skills when it comes to questions #1 and #2. You can’t say that two films (much less three) have a better than 50% chance of winning in the same category, right?

  6. movielocke says:

    “You can’t say that two films (much less three) have a better than 50% chance of winning in the same category, right?”
    Yes you can because this year oscar voters will be ranking all ten BP nominees in order, and their votes will be tallied that way in a manner similar to how nominations are accumulated.
    Look at Stiff Arm Trophy . com for an example of how ranked ballots can add up to percentages more than 50%

  7. movielocke says:

    that should say, “how ranked ballots can total up to more than 100%”.

  8. Gonzo Knight says:

    movielocke, no matter how the ballots are ranked, no movie has a higher than 50% chance of actually WINNING.
    The question was clearly about the ultimate outcome and not about the process itself.
    So unless you are implying a tie this will not happen.

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It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon