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David Poland

By David Poland

3-Day Weekend Estimates By The Green Klady

The Green Hornet probably did pass last MLK Weekend’s Book of Eli for 3rd best opening in January… but not by too much. Bless the 3D bump, which was worth about $5m in these 3 days, according to Sony’s 3D stats. And it may be worth reminding that Eli didn’t hit $100 million domestic off of that opening. Still, a solid opening for a long-troubled film. Sony spent a lot of time and money trying to fix the film and this opening, which may not have changed much but will surely make for stronger legs, proves them right. Think Steve Martin’s Pink Panther.

Universal put The Dilemma on the Paul Blart date, but evidently forgot that Blart was a big hit because of family business… and there is none to be found for this title. I haven’t seen the film, but the sense that Jennifer Connelly and Winona Ryder watch from the edges of the frame probably didn’t help any guys convince their wife/girlfriend to go to the movies with them.

An Oscar cluster formed just behind the two new titles. (Get out the penicillin!!!) True Grit keeps pounding away, closing in on $130m domestic today. The King’s Speech is the strongest – albeit newest to widening release – per-screen with $5810 per on 1543 screens. And Black Swan continues to flap its wings at the naysayers, as it should hit $75 million today, now officially Searchlight’s 3rd biggest grosser ever. A bit behind is The Fighter, which seems to be losing steam a little faster than the others, but is over $65m and into profit already. (This is also pretty much true of all four of these titles, marketing budgets being the only question mark.)

I am a little surprised that Blue Valentine is doing as well as it is so far. A $1.4m weekend may not seem like a lot, but given that it’s adults only, very dark, and very indie… huzzah. Also niching pretty well is Somewhere. Not a big number. But they seem to be reaching interested people. Rabbit Hole, not so much. People are scared of that film… which is a shame. It deserves better. And Nicole Kidman, would would have to see a split between the front-runners, would not be an unhappy story as the Best Actress winner.

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6 Responses to “3-Day Weekend Estimates By The Green Klady”

  1. IOv3 says:

    Hello? Is this on? Hello?

  2. hcat says:

    Black Swan passed Sideways to be the #3 Searchlight release. Forget what everyone was calling as the ceiling on this movie but this has to exceed almost everyones expectations.

  3. hcat says:

    opps, hadn’t read the previous thread yet. Already mentioned.

  4. movielocke says:

    Why would anyone want to see Rabbit Hole? The trailers say it is two hours of Nicole Kidman crying or trying not to cry because her kid died. Who wants to invest time in that depressing shit? Add that on top of the vicious (yet flat) ‘fuck God’ joke that starts the trailer off and you have a sell that repulses audiences. The only reason to see it if you’ve seen the trailer is to discount the trailer sell and see it because of Awards buzz.

  5. cadavra says:

    Yes, any movie whose log-line consists of some variation of “coping with the death of…” is automatically a must-miss for me. It’s the pornography of grief and I hate it.

  6. hcat says:

    Thought the same thing when I saw the trailer for Portman’s new one The Other Woman. Every emotional beat of the film is right there in the trailer and you can completly fill in the missing 87 minutes on your own.

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4