By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report, July 17, 2011

Wild About Harry

Harry Cashna Harry Cashna Harry Harry Cashna Cashna

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows, Part 2 debuted to a record breaking estimate of $168.6 million domestically and corralled roughly 65% of the marketplace in its debut and the series finale.

Marked on the curve the rest of the newcomers had to settle for chump change. A new Winnie the Pooh targeted at viewers not quite ready for Potter ranked sixth with $7.8 million. And in the niches there was an excellent bow for Bollywood’s latest Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara of $820,000 and a sturdy initial salvo of $104,000 for Tamil language Deiva Thirumagan at 22 venues.

Limited newcomers featured several encouraging starts including the non-fiction Tabloid with $90,300 at 14 sites and the Chinese import Snow Flower and the Secret Fan that’s already scored at home and in Italy and added $132,600 in its North American debut at 24 salons. Undefeated, a portrait of Sarah Palin, grossed $65,700 at 10 screens with a fast start and diminishing returns.

Overall box office receipts surpassed $260 million for a sizable 66% boost from last weekend and a not too shabby 47% increase from last year. In 2010 ticket buyers put the opening on Inception at the top of the list with $62.8 million, followed by Despicable Me’s second weekend $32.8 million and a blah $17.6 million bow for The Sorcerer’s Apprentice.

The anticipation for the conclusion of the Harry Potter saga was palpable demonstrated by a record breaking $43.5 million gross for the film’s midnight previews. In addition to chalking up the best weekend launch of any of the series’ eight installments, it set new benchmarks for any film for its opening day and weekend. It also set a large format record of $15.5 million from 274 playdates.

Still the HP magic couldn’t break the spell of diminished 3D enchantment. The roughly 71% stereoscopic dates accounted for 43% of the overall box office. The 8.8% that Imax engagements represented translated into 21.4% of that part of the gross. While not quite conclusive there’s strong evidence that the younger the ticket buyer, the greater the resistance to donning Polaroid glasses.

Internationally, the film grossed an estimated $82 million in the countries that opened pre-weekend and added $225 million Friday-Sunday. Attendant with the box office were a raft of record breaking box office stats including a new opening weekend standard that raised the bar by $47 million.

Whether the film usurps Avatar’s peak will play out in the coming weeks but it’s likely the Harry Potter finale will emerge as the top grossing sequel of all time. There’s no question that the film has been pleasing to critics and fans and that’s the best sort of ammunition for ascension to the box office pantheon.

The opening salvo for the film was a much needed shot in the arm for industry and audience ennui. The lag from 2010 business has now shrunk to 8% and hopes are high that late season releases – especially Cowboys & Aliens – can further reduce that figure.

Weekend (estimates) July 15 – 17, 2011
Title Distributor Gross (average) % chng Thtrs Cume
Harry Potter & the Deadly Hallows, Part 2 WB 168.6 (38,540) NEW 4375 168.6
Transformers: Dark of the Moon Par 21.1 (5,390) -55% 3917 302.7
Horrible Bosses WB 17.2 (5,490) -39% 3134 59.6
The Zookeeper Sony 12.3 (3,540) -39% 3482 42.4
Cars 2 BV 8.3 (2,560) -45% 3249 165.3
Winnie the Pooh BVI 7.8 (3,250) NEW 2405 7.8
Bad Teacher Sony 5.1 (1,920) -43% 2659 88.4
Larry Crowne Uni/Alliance 2.5 (1,110) -57% 2287 31.6
Super 8 Par 1.9 (1,290) -61% 1459 122.2
Midnight in Paris Sony Classics 1.8 (2,560) -31% 706 41.7
Bridesmaids Uni 1.6 (1,880) -38% 872 161.2
Mr. Popper’s Penguins Fox 1.3 (1.320) -58% 1002 61.4
Green Lantern WB 1.3 (1,310) -60% 973 112.7
Monte Carlo Fox 1.2 (1,050) -68% 1169 20
Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara Eros .82 (8,910) NEW 92 0.82
X-Men: First Class Fox .61 (1,300) -59% 470 143.3
The Tree of Life FxSrchlt/eOne .60 (2,560) -24% 235 10.1
The Hangover Part II WB .52 (1,150) -56% 455 251.9
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides BV .47 (1,270) -55% 373 237.3
Kung Fu Panda 2 Par .44 (1,240) -49% 354 160.1
Beginners Focus .41 (2,410) -26% 170 3.9
Thor Par .37 (1,360) -35% 272 179.5
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $254.55
% Change (Last Year) 47%
% Change (Last Week) 66%
Also debuting/expanding
A Better Life Summit .32 (1,490) -2% 216 1
Le Sense de l’humour Alliance .29 (3,140) -30% 93 1.4
Beats, Rhynes & Life Sony Classics .14 (6,350) 25% 22 0.29
Snow Flower and the Secret Fan Searchlight .13 (5,520) 24 0.13
Deiva Thirumagan UTV .10 (4,750) 22 0.1
Tabloid IFC 90,300 (6,450) 14 0.09
Undefeated Cindigm 65,700 (6,570) 10 0.07
Project: Nim Roadside 42,200 (1.920) 63% 22 0.08
Life Above All Sony Classics 13,600 (2,720) 5 0.01
Salvation Blvd. IFC 7,400 (1,480) 5 0.01
Lucky Phase 4 4,800 (1,200) 4 0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 – July 14, 2011)
Distributor (releases) Gross Market Share
Paramount (13) 1163.4 21.10%
Warner Bros. (19) 769.8 13.90%
Universal (12) 763.4 13.80%
Buena Vista (10) 680.9 12.40%
Sony (15) 601.1 10.90%
Fox (11) 561.9 10.20%
Weinstein Co. (7) 184.2 3.30%
Relativity (5) 124.7 2.30%
Lions Gate (9) 118.4 2.20%
Fox Searchlight (7) 101.7 1.80%
Focus (5) 76.1 1.40%
Summit (6) 68.8 1.30%
Sony Classics (10) 57.6 1.00%
CBS (3) 57.5 1.00%
Film District (1) 53.8 1.00%
Other * (195) 129.7 2.40%
5273.4 100%
* none greater than 0.4%
Top Domestic Grossers * (Jan. 1 – July 14, 2011)
Title Distributor Gross
Transformers: Dark of the Moon Par 281,550,252
The Hangover 2 WB 251,377,150
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides BV 236,860,479
Fast Five Uni 208,928,490
Thor Par 179,115,007
Kung Fu Panda 2 Par 159,613,774
Bridesmaids Uni 159,607,375
Cars 2 BV 156,982,225
X-Men: First Class Fox 142,820,271
Rio Fox 141,609,307
Rango Par 123,362,637
The King’s Speech * Weinstein Co. 121,123,415
Super 8 Par 120,316,982
Green Lantern WB 111,430,033
Hop Uni 108,426,065
Just Go With It Sony 103,127,146
True Grit * Par 100,866,002
Gnomeo and Juliet BV/eOne 99,967,668
The Green Hornet Sony 98,854,487
Battle: Los Angeles Sony 83,681,302
* does not include 2010 box office
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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4