Gurus o’ Gold: 1st Ranking Of Oscar Nominees In All Categories (Pt 1 of 2)
Gurus o’ Gold: 1st Ranking Of Oscar Nominees In All Categories (Pt 2 of 2)
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
The Artist |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 90 | ||||
| 2 | 3 |
Hugo |
2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 79 | ||||
| 3 | 2 |
The Descendants |
5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 68 | ||||
| 4 | 5 |
Midnight In Paris |
4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 57 | ||||
| 5 | 4 |
The Help |
6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 47 | ||||
| 6 | 6 |
Moneyball |
8 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 38 | ||||
| 7 | 9 |
The Tree Of Life |
3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30 | ||||
| 8 | 7 |
War Horse |
7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27 | ||||
| 9 |
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close |
9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Michel Hazanavicius The Artist |
3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 44 | ||||
| 2 | 2 |
Martin Scorsese Hugo |
2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 44 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Alexander Payne The Descendants |
4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 26 | ||||
| 4 | 4 |
Woody Allen Midnight in Paris |
5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 19 | ||||
| 5 | 7 |
Terrence Malick The Tree of Life |
1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Viola Davis The Help |
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 46 | ||||
| 2 | 2 |
Meryl Streep The Iron Lady |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Michelle Williams My Weekend with Marilyn |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 32 | ||||
| 4 | 4 |
Glenn Close Albert Nobbs |
4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | ||||
| 5 | 7 |
Rooney Mara The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo |
5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 12 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Octavia Spencer The Help |
2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 48 | ||||
| 2 | 2 |
Berenice Bejo The Artist |
3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 31 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Jessica Chastain The Help |
1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 30 | ||||
| 4 | 5 |
Melissa McCarthy Bridesmaids |
4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 27 | ||||
| 5 | 6 |
Janet McTeer Albert Nobbs |
5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
George Clooney The Descendants |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 48 | ||||
| 2 | 2 |
Jean Dujardin The Artist |
1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 36 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Brad Pitt Moneyball |
3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 33 | ||||
| 4 | 6 |
Gary Oldman Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy |
5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | ||||
| 5 | 7 |
Demian Bechir A Better Life |
4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Christopher Plummer Beginners |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 50 | ||||
| 2 | 3 |
Kenneth Branagh My Week With Marilyn |
3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 31 | ||||
| 3 | 6 |
Max von Sydow Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close |
2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 28 | ||||
| 4 | 5 |
Nick Nolte Warrior |
4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | ||||
| 5 | 4 |
Jonah Hill Moneyball |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Original Screenplay | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Midnight in Paris Woody Allen |
1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 46 | ||||
| 2 | 2 |
The Artist Michel Hazanavicius |
2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 35 | ||||
| 3 | 7 |
A Separation Asghar Farhadi |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 30 | ||||
| 4 | 3 |
Bridesmaids Annie Mumalo & Kristin Wiig |
3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24 | ||||
| 5 | 8 |
Margin Call JC Chandor |
4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Adapted Screenplay | Breznican | Ellwood | Hammond | Harris | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | VanAirsdale | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
The Descendants Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash |
1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 45 | ||||
| 2 | 2 |
Moneyball Aaron Sorkin and Steve Zaillian |
3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 39 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Hugo John Logan |
2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 33 | ||||
| 4 | 4 |
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy Bridget O'Connor and Peter Straughan |
5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | ||||
| 5 |
The Ides of March George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon |
4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 12 |
I agree with all of these.
Adapted Screenplay could have something come out of nowhere. For some reason I think TTSS might come might take it. But this is based on absolutely nothing…so why am I wasting the internet’s time?
Most of this will likely change after SAG: Pitt/Streep/Plummer/Chastain
Actually, Midnight in Paris is tied with The Descendants in 2nd place.
Sigh. You people really stretch the definition of “guru” to breaking point.
To me, the question is, which categories will Hugo win? I don’t see a slam dunk in any of the 11 categories it is nominated in, I could see a GONY esque shut out or a smattering of crafts appreciation, but it certainly isn’t sweeping. How strange would it be if the only award it won were Best Director?
I can’t see it not winning Art Direction at the very least. Possibly Costumes and Cinematography as well.
Costumes always goes to the prettiest/biggest dresses, Hugo doesn’t have anything to compare to Jane Eyre or Anonymous and it doesn’t have a chance in hell of winning.
Cinematography almost always goes to the prettiest nominee, we have a wrench this year with the Artist. War Horse would normally win this easily, but Artist could easily eek out a win, working against the Artist is that it’s more in the MGM 30s studio style of high key lighting, and while their are several expressively lit scenes, it definitely isn’t the dynamic modernist style of black and white seen in White Ribbon, Good Night and Good Luck, Man Who Wasn’t There, Schindler’s List etc. It’s ironic that a classically lit black and white film is competing against a classically lit color film (and that it’s the color film’s anti-modernist stylistics that has infuriated closed minded snobs). Does Hugo have a chance here? I don’t think so, it doesn’t have the WOW factor of War Horse or the novelty factor of Artist. If it wins it coasts in on Scorsese’s reputation.
Art Direction I’ll grant you it is probably the front runner, but there’s a decent argument to be made for at least four of those nominees. Midnight in Paris is definitely out, but it isn’t an easy category to call.
Editing is perhaps Hugo’s best shot (other than director) at winning. This is because Thelma is an icon at this point, on the other hand, a lot of people feel that the film’s structure and pace (particularly when it starts lurching into the past in the second half) is the film’s biggest weekness, so… War Horse would be the prohibitive favorite here if it had been nominated. As it is Hugo just has to beat out Dragon Tattoo and Artist. Again Artist is such a wrench in the works due to being such a novelty item.
Looking at the categories overall this is the most fascinating year in memory, other than Score and Makeup, none of the craft categories are completely decided. Usually these categories are relatively easy to call, but virtually all of the categories are competitive this year.
Meryl Streep deserves the oscar, only her, and rooney mara don’t deserve the nomination
@christoph: Yes and Yes, agreed. But Streep will not win.
“Costumes always goes to the prettiest/biggest dresses, Hugo doesn’t have anything to compare to Jane Eyre or Anonymous and it doesn’t have a chance in hell of winning.”
Wrong. It’s packed with a variety of costumes, particularly in the flashback sequences showing Melies’s productions. It has a damn GOOD chance of winning.
I never said that Hugo didn’t have a variety of costumes, I said it didn’t have big/pretty dresses. Big/Pretty dresses always win.
I’d prefer Hugo win, but it probably will not.
I don’t think the big pretty dresses are so prevalent this year. Who knows who remembers Jane Eyre. Anonymous I could see winning. But I’ll hand it to the film with 11 nominations and an argument to win in the category for now.
@Logan: Why can’t Streep win?
If Best Costume Design goes to something like Jane Eyre, a film with relatively few other nominations, it would hardly be unusual. Disregarding Alice In Wonderland last year, which certainly did get a number of other nominations, the last few winners were:
2009 – The Young Victoria
2008 – The Duchess
2007 – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
2006 – Marie Antoinette
That said, those were all queen movies, or nearly, and there are none of those in play this year.
Is this possible that Streep it’s not going to win?
That reminds me of Bette Davis in the 30’s after winning her second Oscar for “Jezebel” she never won another. “Dark Victory” ’39, “The Letter” ’40, “The Little Foxes” ’41, “Now Voyager” “42, “All About Eve” ’50, “What Ever Happened to Baby Jane” ’62 she deserved a third Oscar for any of those performances.
I think Streep it’s way past due for a third Academy Award, I think she will win.
If she doesn’t win for this performance she will not win an award ever and there will be a resentment for that.
Only winner I disagree with is Davis over Streep. I think finally the stars have aligned for Streep here. She may have been in a crappy movie, but her performance rose above that in a way not many actors working today are capable of. I suppose the SAG will tell the real story, but I just feel Streep will take it.
Viola Davis over Meryl Streep? Was Davis acting or just being herself? Seemed like the same character from Doubt.
Davis’ problem is that she’s not really a lead. Co-star, perhaps, but the only bona fide lead in that picture is Stone. But she (Davis) is still young and her time will come. Christ, Glenn Close (Streep’s contemporary) has been at it for three decades and is still waiting for her first statuette.
Just after last year’s show, one started hearing “Streep is WAY overdue for another Oscar. Next time she’s up she HAS to win.” It reminded me of when people–beginning with Julia Roberts–started saying “Denzel Washington is WAY overdue for a Best Actor Oscar.” The next year he got his for a very NON-Oscar type of role. It had just been decided, it seemed. I have a feeling that will happen this year for Streep.
I think this year is a lock for Davis, Dujardin, Plummer, and Spencer. I think the voters have “had it” with the Clooney and Streep overexposure and hype. And so what if Viola’s wasn’t a “leading role”–the part was big enough.
Brando won for The Godfather and his part was a third of Pacino’s (who was placed in supporting actor category).