Gurus o’ Gold: 9 Days From The Big Show

Rank	Last Chart	Best Picture	Breznican	Ellwood	Feinberg	Hammond	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	Pond	Stone	Tapley	Thompson	Whipp	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
1	1	Argo Warner Bros	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	14	68
2	2	Lincoln DreamWorks/Disney	2	2	3	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	4	2	2	2	14	55
3	3	Silver Linings Playbook The Weinstein Company	3	4	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	14	41
4	4	Life of Pi 20th Century Fox	4	3	4	4	4	4	4		5	4	2	4	3	4	13	29
5	5	Zero Dark Thirty Sony Pictures		5			5			5	4	5			5		6	7
7	6	Les Miserables Universal			5	5		5					5			5	5	5
6	7	Amour Sony Classics							5	4				5			3	4
One Vote Wonders
8	9	Beasts of the Southern Wild Fox Searchlight	5														1	1

Rank	Potential Surprise Winners	Breznican	Ellwood	Feinberg	Hammond	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	Pond	Stone	Tapley	Thompson	Whipp	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
	Emanuele Riva Best Actress	*			*	*	*	*		*		*		*	*	9	9
	Michael Haneke Best Director					*			*	*				*		4	4
	Robert DeNiro Best Actor						*		*							2	2
	David O. Russell	*										*				2	2
	Sally Field Bst Supporting Actress										*		*			2	2
One Vote Wonders
	Ang Lee Best Director														*	1	1
	Quentin Tarantino Original Screenplay												*			1	1
	Beasts of the Southern Wild Best Adapted Screenplay										*					1	1
	Skyfall Best Sound Mixing		*													1	1
	Naomi Watts Best Actress			*												1	1
	Kon-Tiki Best Foreign Language			*												1	1
	How To Survive A Plague Best Documentary Feature		*													1	1
	Miachel Haneke Best Original Screenplay				*											1	1

Rank	Personal Wishes For Upsets	Breznican	Ellwood	Feinberg	Hammond	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	Pond	Stone	Tapley	Thompson	Whipp	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
	Moonrise Kingdom Best Screenplay							*				*				2	2
	Hugh Jackman Best Actor				*		*									2	2
	Jessica Chastain Best Actress					*				*						2	2
	Roger Deakins Skyfall								*				*			2	2
	David O. Russell			*						*						2	2
	Alan Arkin Argo												*		*	2	2
	Zero Dark Thirty Best Picture		*						*							2	2
One Vote Wonders
	Sally Field Best Supporting Actress				*											1	1
	Phillip Seymour Hoffman Best Actor													*		1	1
	Joaquin Phoenix Best Actor													*		1	1
	Adam & Dog Best Animated Short										*					1	1
	Life of Pi Best Picture	*														1	1
	Ang Lee Best Director										*					1	1
	No Best Foreign Language							*								1	1
	Naomi Watts Best Actress						*									1	1
	Amour Best Picture					*										1	1
	Quvenzhane Wallis Best Supporting Actress			*												1	1
	Amy Adams Best Supporting Actress		*													1	1
	Frankenweenie Best Animated Feature	*														1	1
	Emanuelle Riva Best Actress														*	1	1

Has Social Media Made The Season Better?	Breznican	Ellwood	Feinberg	Hammond	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	Pond	Stone	Tapley	Thompson	Whipp	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
No Different	*	*			*	*	*							*	6	6
Better			*	*							*		*		4	4
Worse								*	*	*		*			4	4

Rank	Last Chart	Should AMPAS Go BAck To 5 Best Picture Nominees?	Breznican	Ellwood	Feinberg	Hammond	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	Pond	Stone	Tapley	Thompson	Whipp	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
		No	*	*		*	*		*	*	*				*	*	9	9
		Yes			*			*				*	*	*			5	5

Should The Show Date Be...	Breznican	Ellwood	Feinberg	Hammond	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	Pond	Stone	Tapley	Thompson	Whipp	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
The Same Time, Roughly	*		*	*	*	*	*		*				*		8	8
Weeks Earlier		*						*			*			*	4	4
Even Later										*		*			2	2

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Posted in Awards Update, Awards Watch, Gurus o' Gold, MCN Originals, Movie City News | 4 Comments »

4 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: 9 Days From The Big Show”

Bob Burns says:

February 15, 2013 at 10:28 am

Oscar is already stale. Should be no later than January.
Michael Lewis says:

February 16, 2013 at 8:17 pm

I like your top 3 choices for potentially upset surprise winners. At this point in time I would pick these 3 to win, too. All of them are film veterans, and it’s been over 30 years since DeNiro won his second Oscar. Let the upsets begin!
movielocke says:

February 20, 2013 at 10:39 am

Argo
– Russell for surprise
– Deakens for personal
– Social Media only makes things “worse” if you participate, since I don’t, it makes things no different. Want to have twitter stop ‘making things worse?’ then get off twitter. Simple.
– more than 5 nominees is much better
– The Oscars should be the week between the end of playoffs and the superbowl.
Alex Thomas says:

February 21, 2013 at 4:57 am

Love these, we are so close to the Oscars now!

Argo no doubt has this won, it’s a shame it didn’t at least let Lincoln win one other award to keep the race close.

Potential upsets:
Riva is probably the biggest likely upset, although she is quickly becoming a strong chance and Chastain would surprise me a lot more than her. I guess the Supporting Actor category is still a lottery – but I’d be surprised to see anyone other than TLJ/Waltz win.

My personal wish for an upset is probably in a smaller category like Best Animated Film, I’d love to see Frankenweenie get up over Brave and Wreck-It Ralph, both films I didn’t really like.

I love the commentary on Social Media – have found some fantastic discussion on there. Agreed with movielocke above, if you aren’t enjoying Twitter’s impact on the Oscar’s I would simply get off Twitter.

More than 5 nominees I’m still unsure about, but at least there’s more of a chance of films I like getting in.

I’m fine with the current Oscar date, does give other countries (like Australia!) the chance to see all the films before the ceremony.