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By David Poland

Weekend Estimates by 4Klady2

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15 Responses to “Weekend Estimates by 4Klady2”

  1. BoulderKid says:

    42 is right in line with the based on a true story sports pics that were big 5 to 10 years ago like “Remember the Titans”, “Miracle”, and “Coach Carter” when you factor in ticket price inflation.

    Solid for “Pines.” I think this film plays a little more mainstream than the distributor and the online community is giving it credit for. The Bradley Cooper storyline is right out of a Sidney Lumet/Alan Pakula style cop film from the 1980s or 1990s, and Gosling’s star power compensates for the more grungy aspects of his narrative. I could see this hitting 20m if Focus can get it in to a 1,000 theaters.

  2. etguild2 says:

    I hope Dreamworks holds off on officially announcing a CROODS sequel until the China numbers and DVD sales come in. They have other upcoming films that may be more ripe to turn into a franchise, and they should keep in mind that a lot of the solid, but not spectacular domestic gross is due to the dearth of animation and family films in the marketplace, not necessarily the performance of the movie itself. This was the biggest window for an animated film to basically have to itself in years, and it’s unlikely it will happen again.

  3. Jules says:

    Place Beyond the Pines isn’t going to top The Master’s 16mil haul.

  4. BoulderKid says:

    Jules, I don’t really see how “Pines” is related to “The Master.” “The Master” was aggressively non-commercial and while I love PSH and Phoenix, they’re not draws in the same way Cooper and Gosling are.

  5. etguild2 says:

    The Weinstein Company just set a new annual domestic box office record–in April!–thanks to the holdover success of Django and SLP mostly. Still, quite remarkable given we’re a few years from talking about how Dimension was TWC’s only saving grace commercially. Seems the opposite now!

    Also Jules, I disagree. PINES will prevail.

  6. anghus says:

    The TWC turnaround is impressive seeing as Harvey had a lot of bad years after leaving Miramax.

    Still, it’d be nice if he could string a couple of good years together back to back.

  7. etguild2 says:

    I might be wrong, but things seemed so bad off in early 2009, that I think TWC basically had everything riding on BASTERDS…and when that took they went all in on KING’S SPEECH. Now, hopefully, they have some breathing room to make better buys, produce more movies in-house, and give the stuff they distribute better marketing campaigns. They proved in the last year that extreme slow-burns can still work for adult fare like SLP, INTOUCHABLES and QUARTET as well.

  8. nick clement says:

    Wow, Fox Searchlight BURIED Trance. Opened in ONE theater in CT and there were ZERO TV ads. Don’t get it. Fucking awesome filmmaking from Boyle and co. and tons of fun as a fast paced neo-noir. The idea that spring breakers (a movie I loved, too) will out-gross Trance is wild and crazy.

  9. Paul Doro says:

    I saw The Place Beyond the Pines at a Landmark Theater on Friday night (loved the movie). The last time I saw so many teen girls at a Landmark was Napoleon Dynamite. They were everywhere. It was definitely a much younger crowd than normal for that theater. It should easily surpass $16 million.

  10. That Guy says:

    The Place Beyond The Pines is definitely more commercial than the distributor is giving it credit for. It’s the movie I was hoping Killing Them Softly would be. I think the ending doesn’t really sell the theme as well as it could have, but the first two thirds are wonderful.

    Trance, apologies to Nick, seemed like another typically muddled post-Trainspotting Danny Boyle movie. I didn’t find it fast-paced beyond the first act, with large stretches of the second act seemingly taking forever. Beautiful visuals, but the plot was more convoluted than clever. There’s no puzzle to be solved in this movie, you’re just waiting for someone to explain the plot. McAvoy was good, but the rest of the cast wasn’t really compelling.

  11. etguild2 says:

    Universal, which until a couple years ago was the bumbling fool of the majors, continues to make savvy decisions of late by moving up OBLIVION overseas and bagging over $60 million, including eye-popping starts in Russia and Korea.

  12. storymark says:

    Of course, they could quickly go back to being the bumbling fools of the majors – what with turning their two biggest franchises (JP and F&F) over to guys operating way outside of their comfort zones – on a hyper accellerated schedule to boot.

    Could work out, could be a disaster.

  13. hcat says:

    The only Wan movie I have seen has been Death Sentance, which I found suprisingly good and well directed. Given that he seems to excel at 21st century AIP updates, Fast and Furious looks like an inspired fit.

    How many of us thought Lin was a good fit? But he’s the one who made an actual franchise out of it. Its even switched places with the Bourne series in terms of importance at Universal, and I honestly never saw that happening.

    And as far as studios decisions I kind of dig Paramounts return to 1989 strategy of tossing 30 to 60 at a film with a charismatic star and a strong marketing hook (Flight, Reacher, Pain and Gain) and hope they continue to pepper these in amongst their tentpoles (Joe, WWZ, Star Trek, which were all greenlit well before these smaller titles and had their releases pushed back). It would be nice to see someone try a reverse Disney strategy and make lots of modest profit instead of going all in multiple times a year.

  14. Paul Doro says:

    Man I really despise James Wan. Death Sentence is pretty awful, though sometimes unintentionally funny. Dead Silence is easily one of the worst movies I’ve ever seen. Saw is terrible, and Insidious is OK for an hour before it becomes laughably bad. I really hate his movies.

  15. storymark says:

    “Given that he seems to excel at 21st century AIP updates, Fast and Furious looks like an inspired fit.”

    I think he could work – Im just thinking the schedule will botch it all. Lin has spent 2 years working on this newest installment – and its his fourth go, so he’s pretty used to the workings. Wan has just a hair over a year, and they don’t even have a script yet, as I understand it.

The Hot Blog

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4