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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Weekend Estimates by Cap’n Klady

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12 Responses to “Weekend Estimates by Cap’n Klady”

  1. SamLowry says:

    So Mojo’s $75M projection was a biiiit off. Ouchie.

    There will be spankings at Paramount this morning. Wonder what the excuses will be: People were too caught up in tornado coverage, maybe they were worried they’d get sucked up and transported to Oz….

  2. Jason B says:

    It’s obvious that Trek underperformed because all the women were seeing Gatsby.

  3. js partisan says:

    Paramount should be excited that they have this great cast, and no longer have to squander them with JJ and his collaborators.

  4. hcat says:

    Jason’s right about women avoiding it. The audience breakdown (though I have no idea how accurate this reporting is) was something like 68% male 75% over 25.
    As through the rest of its cinematic history, Trek has a ceiling, one that can be very profitable if budgeted correctly.

    And seeing that the cast is probably not all that expensive and the biggest problem that people seem to have with these are that they are too whiz bang and not ‘trek’ enough, there is probably a lot they can cut budget wise and keep these returns.

  5. Etguild2 says:

    To be fair (and for the record I think Paramount should have revealed Khan), one thing analysts haven’t touched on is how empty the May 2009 marketplace was. TREK opened up the weekend after WOLVERINE, which underperformed due to it leaking and sucking, and the week before ANGELS & DEMONS which was not direct competition and also underperformed. Even that Memorial Day weekend was weak with TERMINATOR 4 and MUSEUM 2.

    All in all, May 2009 didn’t have a $200 million grosser aside from STAR TREK until after Memorial Day. This May will have a $400 million hit, another $200 million film (F&F), and three more between $125-$200 million (HANGOVER, EPIC, GATSBY) released by the holiday. Not to mention in 2 weeks another sci-fi flick comes down the pike.

  6. movieman says:

    At least “P&G” managed to outgross Bay’s previous lowest-grossing film (2005’s “The Island”) which didn’t even hit $40-million domestic.

  7. John says:

    They probably should have not waited 4 years for a sequel.

    And while I firmly believe a different writing team is needed for the next one (and an entirely new adventure) I don’t get the J.J. hate.

  8. hcat says:

    Pretty impressive number for Mud. In four weeks its outgrossed all of Roadside’s past releases other than Amazing Grace.

  9. Spacesheik says:

    The new ‘Star Trek’ movie under performing is not a mystery.
    It’s just surrounded by too many popular movies, some which already opened like ‘Iron Man 3’ & ‘The Great Gatsby.’

    It’s a pretty crowded May.

    I do agree thought the next film will need new writers, a bit less ‘escapist’ and more classical Trek – throw in another ‘hook’ – maybe it’s time they brought in William Shatner & Patrick Stewart even as cameos.

  10. SamLowry says:

    John, for how funny Kevin Smith’s tale of Superman is, at least that was only supposed to be one movie. Abrams proposed a 3-film arc, a Kryptonian civil war (since Krypton never was destroyed, just a bad place to be), where Lex is revealed as a Kryptonian agent and Supes is required back home for the war, so he ends up being MIA during the second movie.

    Yes, an entire feature-length Superman movie with no Superman. This was Abrams’ brilliant idea.

    And that pretty much sums up the Abrams oeuvre: lots of meaningless stuff going on, while the story itself is MIA.

  11. storymark says:

    Im pretty sure the second of that trilogy would have followed him to Krypton, not left him out of the film. And the Luthor as Kryptonian thing was dropped in the rewrite he was doing when the story broke, and the project was killed.

    Sorry to interrupt your hate-on.

  12. Etguild2 says:

    @SamLowry, agree that the Abrams SUPERMAN is goofier than the Smith one, which is just plain bad. The worst thing about this was that Superman was a KUNG-FU SPECIALIST, doing martial-arts MID-AIR like The Matrix. This would have been hilariously awful.

    Also, if they’d have had to drop Luthor as Kryptonian, they would have had to scrap the ENTIRE SCRIPT, because Luthor’s real role in the first part is as a strangely omniscient CIA agent (huh?), and if you remove the second part, the first makes zero damn sense whatsoever.

    [Abrams Superman script link deleted]

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