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movieman on: Review: Marriage Story (spoilers only in the broadest sense)
movieman on: BYOB Fall Back, Film Forward
movieman on: Review: Frozen 2 (spoiler-free)
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movieman on: I Should Be Doing Box Office
Review: Little Women (no spoilers)
Why You Should Be Afraid Of The End Of The Paramount Decree
Review: Frozen 2 (spoiler-free)
Review: Marriage Story (spoilers only in the broadest sense)
Friday | Screens | % Chg | Cume | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Title | Gross | Thtr | % Chgn | Cume |
Venom | 33 | 4250 | NEW | 33 |
A Star is Born | 15.7 | 3686 | NEW | 15.7 |
Smallfoot | 3.5 | 4131 | -46% | 31.3 |
Night School | 3.5 | 3019 | -63% | 37.9 |
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls | 1.8 | 3463 | -43% | 49.5 |
A Simple Favor | 1 | 2408 | -50% | 46.6 |
The Nun | 0.75 | 2264 | -52% | 111.5 |
Hell Fest | 0.6 | 2297 | -70% | 7.4 |
Crazy Rich Asians | 0.6 | 1466 | -51% | 167.6 |
The Predator | 0.25 | 1643 | -77% | 49.3 |
Also Debuting | ||||
The Hate U Give | 0.17 | 36 | ||
Shine | 85,600 | 609 | ||
Exes Baggage | 75,900 | 62 | ||
NOTA | 71,300 | 138 | ||
96 | 61,600 | 62 | ||
Andhadhun | 55,000 | 54 | ||
Afsar | 45,400 | 33 | ||
Project Gutenberg | 36,000 | 17 | ||
Love Yatri | 22,300 | 41 | ||
Hello, Mrs. Money | 22,200 | 37 | ||
Studio 54 | 5,300 | 1 | ||
Loving Pablo | 4,200 | 15 |
3-Day Estimates | Weekend | % Chg | Cume |
---|---|---|---|
No Good Dead | 24.4 (11,230) | NEW | 24.4 |
Dolphin Tale 2 | 16.6 (4,540) | NEW | 16.6 |
Guardians of the Galaxy | 7.9 (2,550) | -23% | 305.8 |
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles | 4.8 (1,630) | -26% | 181.1 |
The Drop | 4.4 (5,480) | NEW | 4.4 |
Let's Be Cops | 4.3 (1,570) | -22% | 73 |
If I Stay | 4.0 (1,320) | -28% | 44.9 |
The November Man | 2.8 (1,030) | -36% | 22.5 |
The Giver | 2.5 (1,120) | -26% | 41.2 |
The Hundred-Foot Journey | 2.5 (1,270) | -21% | 49.4 |
Dave on August 2nd: “So, another big opening of $170m+ production that is unlikely to lead to more than $250m domestic.”
Dave on August 9th: “A summer-best Friday-to-Friday drop for Guardians of the Galaxy still leaves its 8-day total a bit behind Transformers 4, but looking like it has a good chance of topping Tr4‘s likely $245m domestic. Does that mean $260 million or $280 million or closer to this summer’s elusive $300 million? No one could know.”
There’s no real shame in being wrong, but when you state your opinion like a fact on Aug 2nd, then that’s pushing it.
And almost everyone after they saw the trajectory and drop offs were predicting at least $260+ but you. So I guess everyone else knew.
As for $300m, it would have to drop like a stone not to get there. With tomorrow being a holiday, it will be $25m shy coming off of a $18m+ 4 day weekend. Do you honestly think that it doesn’t have $25m left in the tank?
It’s not about powers of prognostication. It’s just about doing the math.
Some interesting international results:
*APES is massive in China (massive even if you slice the opening in half). Looks like $700 million worldwide is in the cards! Huzzah.
*LUCY looks headed to $400m worldwide, which would be a high for Besson as a director, producer or writer (ahead of the TAKEN movies and Fifth Element). That would also probably make it more profitable, from a purely box office perspective, than GODZILLA. And the world is ScarJo’s oyster…
*INTO THE STORM is playing well enough overseas to get it in the black. Weird.
I don’t think David stated as fact that GotG would not get to $250m, just that it was unlikely. Now, why he stated it so soon, I’m not sure. Maybe he was just used to so many big openings that didn’t cross that mark this summer. *shrugs*
Especially unsure, then, why he said it was unlikely to hit $300 million this past Friday.
Not to dwell. Just seems like macro expertise and missing the actual details of how movies are legging out.
Hence my comment Brack.
Kinda sad that Edge of Tomorrow has just crept past $100m while T4 made it in just one weekend.
Would’ve helped had a I read the Friday Estimates entry, lol. Yeah, not sure why David’s still holding to the under $300m domestic. Unless the film completely disappears after this weekend (something I doubt, but I guess minutely possible), it should meet and cross $300m.