By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com
Weekend Estimates by Gone Klady by That Much
Okay… was at the Pumpkin farm… great roasted corn, terrible internet reception.
Gone Girl probably wins the weekend. Truthfully, I expected it to pull farther away. We have it at a million. Others at a bit less.
The truth is, it is Annabelle overperforming the standard for horror than a Gone Girl issue. The estimate is a bit better than WB’s big opening for The Conjuring, which did 2.4x Friday’s number for its opening weekend. Annabelle is estimating 2.47x. Insidious 2, which is the other big opener in the category in the last year did 2x Friday’s number… which is really more the norm in the genre.
On the other hand, Gone Girl‘s estimate could turn out to be low by as much as a million. Fox took what looks to me to be a conservative position on estimating Sunday. We’ll see. This is, as estimated, Fincher’s best opening by almost $8 million or a 27% bump over his now #2 opener, Panic Room.
There have only been twelve $35m+ openings in the history of October. This is the third time that there were 2 such openings in the same year. It’s the only time they have occurred on the same weekend. So, a happy story for everyone on both films.
The trio of other openings over 100 screens were surprisingly obscure. FreeStyle did okay, but not sensationally with Left Behind, which starred Nic Cage, not Kirk Cameron. Fox International rolled out Bang Bang, which makes the most sense as an unknown. WB rolled out The Good Lie from Team Alcon.
Also trawling for word of mouth was CBS films with Pride and Paramount with Men, Women & Children. Neither found much of an audience.
The best per-screen from traditional domestic indie distributors was IFC’s $7,030-per estimate for Matthieu Almaric’s The Blue Room.
Sad that The Drop had the biggest, ahem, drop of the weekend. 75%. Ouch.
Normally I don’t like it when my favorite auteurs make sequels – I’ll of course be at the Avatars but would be much cooler if Cameron spent his time on original ideas. But in the case of Fincher, I would love it if he took a year or so and knocked out two more Dragon Tattoo movies. That is a creepy, sleazy, sexy, fun movie, it’s actually one of my favorites of his and I’m bummed there probably won’t be a sequel.(Sorry tad off topic, very stoked to see Gone Girl. Fun book and Fincher can do no wrong)
“[it] would be much cooler if Cameron spent his time on original ideas.”
Given that he’s yet to come up with one, that would indeed be novel.
Cadavra-you mean that the Titanic actually sank? That WAS REAL?