Gurus o Gold: Just Before Selma & American Sniper
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Boyhood |
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 142 | |||
| 2 | 2 |
The Imitation Game |
2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 121 | |||
| 3 | 3 |
Birdman |
3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 115 | |||
| 4 | 4 |
The Theory of Everything |
4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 107 | |||
| 5 | 8 |
Gone Girl |
6 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 70 | ||||
| 6 | 7 |
Foxcatcher |
8 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 68 | |||
| 7 | 6 |
Unbroken |
7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 64 | ||||||
| 9 | 10 |
Whiplash |
9 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 50 | ||||
| 8 | 5 |
Interstellar |
8 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 48 | |||||
| 10 | 9 |
The Grand Budapest Hotel |
5 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 36 | ||||||
|
Selma |
10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31 | ||||||||
|
American Sniper |
12 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 28 | ||||||||||
|
Mr. Turner |
10 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 28 | |||||||||||
|
Wild |
6 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 12 | ||||||||||||||
|
Into The Woods |
11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 8 | |||||||||||||
|
Nightcrawler |
12 | 12 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
A Most Violent Year |
10 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Fury |
11 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Inherent Vice |
12 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Julianne Moore Still Alice |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 86 | |||
| 2 | 2 |
Reese Witherspoon Wild |
2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 80 | |||
| 3 | 3 |
Rosamund Pike Gone Girl |
3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 68 | |||
| 4 | 4 |
Felicity Jones The Theory of Everything |
4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 67 | |||
| 5 | 5 |
Amy Adams Big Eyes |
6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 35 | |||||||
|
Hilary Swank The Homesman |
8 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 | ||||||||||
|
Shailene Woodley Fault in Our Stars |
5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 22 | ||||||||
|
Emily Blunt Into The Woods |
7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15 | |||||||||||
|
Marion Cotillard One Day, Two Nights |
7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 8 | |||||||||||||
|
Gugu Mbatha-Raw Belle |
8 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
|
Jenny Slate Obvious Child |
8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Meryl Streep Into The Woods |
4 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Mia Wasikowska Tracks |
5 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jessica Chastain The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby |
7 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Annette Bening The Face Of Love |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Lindsay Duncan Le Week-End |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jennifer Aniston Cake |
6 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Anne Dorval Mommy |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Michael Keaton Birdman |
2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 87 | |||
| 2 | t2 |
Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything |
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 86 | |||
| 3 | t2 |
Benedict Cumberbatch The Imitation Game |
3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 75 | |||
| 4 | 4 |
Steve Carell Foxcatcher |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 58 | |||
| 5 | 5 |
Timothy Spall Mr. Turner |
7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 30 | ||||||
|
Jake Gyllenhaal Nightcrawler |
5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | ||||||||
|
David Oyelowo Selma |
8 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |||||||||||
|
Bradley Cooper American Sniper |
5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 18 | |||||||||||
|
Ralph Fiennes The Grand Budapest Hotel |
6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 9 | ||||||||||||
|
Matthew McConaughey Interstellar |
6 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 9 | |||||||||||||
|
Oscar Isaac A Most Violent Year |
8 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
|
Jack O'Connell Unbroken |
6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
|
Bill Murray St Vincent |
8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Channing Tatum Foxcatcher |
6 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Kevin Costner Black + White |
7 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Alfred Molina Love Is Strange |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
J. K. Simmons Whiplash |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 96 | |||
| 2 | 2 |
Edward Norton Birdman |
2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 80 | |||
| 3 | 3 |
Mark Ruffalo Foxcatcher |
4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 70 | |||
| 4 | 4 |
Ethan Hawke Boyhood |
3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 66 | |||
| 5 |
Josh Brolin Inherent Vice |
5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | |||||||
| 5 |
Robert Duvall The Judge |
6 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | |||||||||
|
Logan Lerman Fury |
7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | |||||||||||
|
Tyler Perry Gone Girl |
7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 9 | ||||||||||||
|
John Goodman The Gambler |
5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |||||||||||||||
|
Tom Wilkinson Selma |
8 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
|
James Corden Into The Woods |
7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | |||||||||||||||
|
Miyavi Unbroken |
8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Tim Roth Selma |
6 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Shia LsBeouf Fury |
6 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Albert Brooks A Most Violent Year |
7 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Tommy Lee Jones The Homesman |
7 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Martin Short Inherent Vice |
7 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Christophe Waltz Big Eyes |
7 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Tony Revolori The Grand Budapest Hotel |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
John Cusack Maps to the Stars |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Channing Tatum Foxcatcher |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Noel Edgerton Exodus: Gods & Kings |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Patricia Arquette Boyhood |
1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 94 | |||
| 2 | t2 |
Keira Knightley The Imitation Game |
3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 72 | |||
| 3 | t2 |
Laura Dern Wild |
5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 67 | |||
| 4 | 4 |
Emma Stone Birdman |
4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 65 | |||
| 5 |
Jessica Chastain A Most Violent Year |
2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39 | |||||||
| 5 |
Meryl Streep Into The Woods |
6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | ||||||||
|
Jessica Chastain Interstellar |
6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 13 | ||||||||||||
|
Carrie Coon Gone Girl |
5 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 12 | ||||||||||||
|
Vanessa Redgrave Foxcatcher |
6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
|
Tilda Swinton Snowpiercer |
7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 7 | |||||||||||||
|
Rene Russo Nightcrawler |
7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 7 | |||||||||||||
|
Anna Kendrick Into The Woods |
7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
|
Kristen Stewart Still Alice |
8 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
Miranda Otto The Homesman |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Carmen Ejogo Selma |
5 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Adriana Barraza Cake |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Suzanne Clement Mommy |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Katehrine Waterston Inherent Vice |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Richard Linklater Boyhood |
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 94 | |||
| 2 | 2 |
Alejandro G. Inarritu Birdman |
2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 82 | |||
| 3 | 5 |
Bennett Miller Foxcatcher |
4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 52 | ||||
| 4 | 3 |
Angelina Jolie Unbroken |
3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 35 | ||||||||
| 5 |
Morten Tyldum The Imitation Game |
7 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 34 | |||||||
|
David Fincher Gone Girl |
6 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 31 | ||||||||
| 4 |
Christopher Nolan Interstellar |
8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21 | ||||||||||
|
James Marsh The Theory of Everything |
6 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16 | ||||||||||||
|
MIke Leigh Mr. Turner |
8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 15 | |||||||||||
|
Clint Eastwood American Sniper |
7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |||||||||||||
|
Damian Chazelle Whiplash |
8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | ||||||||||||||
|
Wes Anderson The Grand Budapest Hotel |
5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 | |||||||||||||
|
Ava Duvernay Selma |
7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 | |||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Jean-Marc Valee Wild |
5 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Paul Thomas Anderson Inherent Vice |
7 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
November 11, 2014
Pre-Venice/Telluride/Toronto Best Picture Field
Post-Venice/Telluride/Toronto Best Picture Field
After New York…
So, two british films with reviews on the strong side of mediocre are going to do better at the Oscars than better received films from Clint Eastwood, Bennet Miller and David Fincher?
I agree with Sam E.’s sentiments above. Pundits calling big noms for The Imitation Game and The Theory of Everything are guarding themselves because they don’t want to be as embarrassed as they were when they didn’t see The King’s Speech beating out The Social Network. This awards season is looking like the pundit industry needs a serious overhaul if the goal is to have accurate predictions play out. Too much lack of understanding of how recent years have played out. Just sayin.
Into the Woods and Interstellar are where most of these picks are missing the mark.
It’ll be interesting to see how they all revise their picks now that Selma and American Sniper have screened to the similar “BEST ACTOR SPOT IS LOCKED” reviews that they each made for Cumberbatch and Redmayne after their screenings.
All I can say right now is…what is Anne Thompson smoking? Julianne Moore at 6 and Mia Wasikowska ahead at 5? Pass the peace pipe, Anne.
Karger predicting Unbroken/Interstellar split! Just like me!
What does the heading text “Top 5 Ordered” mean when everything appears ordered?
“Noel” Edgerton?
I used the wrong form for this round and didn’t have time to lay it out again before posting, Jerry. Apologies.
Wow, Dave must not have liked Into The Woods…
The Grand Budapest Hotel is the definition of great direction. The continued Academy neglect of Wes Anderson and the other Indie Generation directors is an Oscar crime.
How come Ellwood has two number ones? Interstellar and Boyhood.
Sorry. Realise it should be 10.
gone girl sucked and boyhood was blandhood. what is the whole lot smoking? Im rooting for something to be really good, otherwise maybe edge of tomorrow and snowpiercer were the best films of the year, lol
budapest wasnt bad, but hard to care a lot about it. oh ya, that lego movie was awesome!
Marion Cotillard has to be in the lineup of nominees because her performance is amazing and IFC and she are doing big promotion about the film Two Days One Night and her superb performance. For all Gurus of Gold, you must confide in her.
Helen, if IFC is too confident in “Two Days, One Night”, then why did Cotillard returned to France few days ago, instead staying in USA to campaign hard? Sorry to brrak the bubble, she’s out of the race.