Gurus o’ Gold: The Top 8 Categories Heading Into The Holiday Break
Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Boyhood |
1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 127 | ||
2 | 2 |
Birdman |
3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 111 | ||
3 | 3 |
The Imitation Game |
2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 100 | ||
4 | 5 |
Selma |
4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 98 | ||
5 | 4 |
The Theory of Everything |
5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 75 | ||
6 | 10 |
The Grand Budapest Hotel |
6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 63 | ||
t7 | 7 |
Whiplash |
7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | ||
t7 | 9 |
Gone Girl |
9 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 40 | |||||
9 | 6 |
Unbroken |
10 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | |||||
10 | 8 |
Foxcatcher |
8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 19 | |||||||
Nightcrawler |
9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 6 | |||||||||||||
Interstellar |
10 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
Into The Woods |
10 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
Wild |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
A Most Violent Year |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
American Sniper |
9 | 1 | 2 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 |
Michael Keaton Birdman |
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 74 | ||
2 | 1 |
Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything |
2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 65 | ||
3 | 3 |
Benedict Cumberbatch The Imitation Game |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 46 | ||
4 | 4 |
David Oyelowo Selma |
4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 41 | |||
5 | 5 |
Steve Carell Foxcatcher |
6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | ||||
Jake Gyllenhaal Nightcrawler |
5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | |||||
Ralph Fiennes The Grand Budapest Hotel |
4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
Timothy Spall Mr. Turner |
6 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Julianne Moore Still Alice |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 77 | |
2 | 2 |
Reese Witherspoon Wild |
2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 59 | |
3 | 3 |
Felicity Jones The Theory of Everything |
4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 46 | |
4 | 4 |
Rosamund Pike Gone Girl |
3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 46 | |
5 |
Jennifer Aniston Cake |
5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 28 | ||
Marion Cotillard One Day, Two Nights |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | ||||||||||
t5 |
Amy Adams Big Eyes |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | ||||||||||||
t5 |
Hilary Swank The Homesman |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
J. K. Simmons Whiplash |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 78 | |
2 | 2 |
Edward Norton Birdman |
2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 64 | |
3 | t3 |
Ethan Hawke Boyhood |
3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 47 | |
4 | t3 |
Mark Ruffalo Foxcatcher |
4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 39 | |
5 | 5 |
Robert Duvall The Judge |
6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 26 | |
Josh Brolin Inherent Vice |
5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 12 | ||||||||
Miyavi Unbroken |
5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
Tom Wilkinson Selma |
5 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Patricia Arquette Boyhood |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 78 | ||
2 | 4 |
Emma Stone Birdman |
4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 49 | ||
3 | 2 |
Keira Knightley The Imitation Game |
5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 47 | ||
4 | 5 |
Meryl Streep Into The Woods |
3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 45 | |||
5 |
Jessica Chastain A Most Violent Year |
2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 34 | ||||
3 |
Laura Dern Wild |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 14 | ||||||
Rene Russo Nightcrawler |
6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
Vanessa Redgrave Foxcatcher |
5 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
Tilda Swinton Snowpiercer |
6 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Richard Linklater Boyhood |
1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 76 | |
2 | 2 |
Alejandro G. Inarritu Birdman |
2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 64 | |
3 | 3 |
Ava Duvernay Selma |
3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 49 | |
4 |
Wes Anderson The Grand Budapest Hotel |
6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 31 | |||
5 |
David Fincher Gone Girl |
5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | |||||
4 |
Morten Tyldum The Imitation Game |
6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | ||||||
5 |
Bennett Miller Foxcatcher |
4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | ||||||||||||
Angelina Jolie Unbroken |
5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
Damian Chazelle Whiplash |
4 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Original Screenplay | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Boyhood |
3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 70 | ||
2 |
Birdman |
1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 69 | ||
3 |
The Grand Budapest Hotel |
2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 50 | |||
4 |
Whiplash |
4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 | ||||
t5 |
NIghtcrawler |
4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | |||||||
t5 |
Selma |
5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16 | ||||||||
Foxcatcher |
6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 12 | ||||||||
A Most Violent Year |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | ||||||||||||
The LEGO Movie |
4 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Adapted Screenplay | Adams | Ellwood | Gray | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Votes | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Gone Girl |
1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 66 | |||
2 |
The Imitation Game |
5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 64 | |||
3 |
The Theory of Everything |
2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 56 | |||
4 |
Wild |
3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 41 | |||
5 |
Inherent Vice |
4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | |||||||
Unbroken |
6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15 | |||||||||
Amercan Sniper |
5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |||||||||||||
Big Eyes |
5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
Into The Woods |
6 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Obvious Child |
6 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Still Alice |
6 | 1 | 1 |
Pre-Venice/Telluride/Toronto Best Picture Field
Post-Venice/Telluride/Toronto Best Picture Field
After New York…
Just Before Selma & American Sniper
Just After Selma & American Sniper
Gurus o’ Gold: A Week From Thanksgiving, aka Screener Time
Thanksgiving Week
The Rise of Selma
Gurus o’ Gold(-n-Globes)
I REALLY hope Brolin can overtake Duvall. It’s been my practice to try to see all the major nominees, but reviews for The Judge were so putrid that I might not finish the job this time (even on VOD) if he’s in.
Elsewhere, glad to see Budapest gaining. (If DGA or PGA finally warms up to Wes Anderson, look out.) Sadly it looks like Cotillard took a big hit with today’s short list snub of her film, though her gallant legion of comment board warriors no doubt still see a possibility. I’d love it if they were right, for the Dardennes’ sake as much as hers.
these are pretty spot on. I think Steve Carrell is looking like a miss for Foxcatcher since Jake Gyllenhaal is getting nominated for everything and Foxcatcher doesn’t look like it will get into Best Picture. only Ruffalo will make it.
I’m totally here for a Jennifer Aniston nomination, it makes the race more interesting and exciting.
I think Mr. Turner, Still Alice, Wild, and A Most Violent Year all have strong shots in screenplay but not Best Picture. I don’t see why Inherent Vice would get in? if Inherent Vice gets any nomination it should be Josh Brolin for Best Supporting Actor.
Unbroken will still get in Best Picture like War Horse and Extremely Loud did.
I don’t see how Fincher could get in Best Director. I think people vote for him because he’s a “name” and someone like Morton Tyldum isn’t, but the Academy isn’t going to like Gone Girl very much, something like The Imitation Game is more traditional and safe Oscar bait.
I am really hoping that Jake Gyllenhaal overtake Steve Carell in the fifth spot. Jake’s performance was far more challenging and interesting. I’m a big Carell fan generally but I felt like his role in this was a gimmick. Stick on a big nose, talk funny and act creepy.
Hope Gyllenhaal is in. His work is masterful, and he is gaining traction with critical citations and people are talking about his movie.
Also hope Russo and Swinton surprise and get in instead of the overhyped Knightley and Streep perfs.
With preferential voting and a strong (if not dominant) contingent director’s branch voters appreciative of so called auteur filmmakers, I wouldn’t count Fincher out as getting a nomination for director. After all, in the past we’ve had David Lynch sneak in there when the associated film got virtually nothing else (MULHOLLAND DR, BLUE VELVET), same with Ridley Scott (BLACK HAWK DOWN), Martin Scorsese (LAS TEMPTATION), Robert Altman (THE PLAYER, SHORT CUTS), Fellini, Bergman. Right or wrong, people are starting to think about Fincher in the same way.
It will surely be a shame if the “emperor’s new clothes” performance of Steve Carell gets in there over others like Gyllenhaal or Fiennes. I thought Bradley Cooper was revelatory in American Sniper.
I’m sensing NIGHTCRAWLER has some VERT committed fans, maybe even in the Academy. With preferential balloting, it seems a good bet for getting into Best Picture/Best Actor contention.
Keira Knightley’s performance has been way ovevalued. Streep and Chastain are near-locks. The 5th place is up for grabs: Dern, Knightley and Swinton. Russo’s a long shot.
I’m shocked that Carmen Ejogo as Coretta Scott King in Slama has not caught any heat for supporting. When I saw it, before the reviews came out, I assumed she was a shoo-in.