Gurus o’ Gold: Back From The Holidays, Polls Close Thursday

Rank	Last Chart	Best Picture	Adams	Ellwood	Gray	Hammond	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	Pond	NathanielR	Stone	Thompson	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	1	Boyhood	1	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	14	139
2	2	Birdman	2	3	2	4	3	2	2	3	4	2	3	2	2	2	14	118
3	3	The Imitation Game	4	2	4	1	2	3	4	2	2	3	2	3	4	4	14	114
4	4	Selma	3	4	3		4	4	3	8	5	5	6	5	3	3	13	87
5	5	The Theory of Everything	6	6	6	3	6	5	6	4	3	6	5	6	5	5	14	82
6	6	The Grand Budapest Hotel	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	6	4	7	4	7	6	14	79
7	7	Whiplash	8	7	8		7	7	8	6	7	7	8	7	9	7	13	47
8	9	Gone Girl		8	9	7	8		7		8	8	4	8	6	9	11	39
9		American Sniper	9	10		8	10	8	9	7	10		9	9	8	8	12	27
10	10	Foxcatcher	7	9	7	10		9	10	10					10		8	16
		Nightcrawler	10			6	9	10		9		10	10	10		10	9	15
		Into The Woods				9						9					2	4
	8	Unbroken			10						9						2	3

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Vince says:

January 5, 2015 at 2:10 pm

American Sniper is way too low. I’m shocked not ONE respected pundit has gotten the hint of a possible American Sniper dominance.
The Guilds are giving you the hint people.
Don’t be shocked.
movielocke says:

January 5, 2015 at 5:21 pm

I would say:

1. Boyhood
2. American Sniper
3. Birdman
4. The Imitation Game
5. Gone Girl
6. The Theory of Everything
7. Selma
8. Nightcrawler
9. Whiplash
10. Grand Budapest
11. into the Woods
12. Foxcatcher
13. Wild
14. Unbroken

But, if Selma generates some Argo level backlash buzz from today’s snub it should be sitting extremely pretty at the oscars, and perhaps they can translate that backlash into an upset of Boyhood. I think by the time nominations roll around the backlash to the snubs will have moved Selma back into the top five. The snub narrative will pickup steam when Selma misses Director’s guild in a few days, although that won’t affect oscar nomination voting.

Academy Best director is probably
1. Linklater
2. Eastwood
3. Innaritu
4. Fincher
5. DuVernay
Joe Gillis says:

January 5, 2015 at 6:14 pm

I think Damian Chazelle might find his way into the Best Director fold, a’la Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild or Spike Jonze for John Malkovich. I’ll be shocked if Sniper ends up taking one of the directorial slots, especially given the superiority of other contenders.