Gurus o’ Gold: It’s Getting Hot In Here

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Spotlight
1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 12 117
2 2 The Martian
4 2 1 1 4 2 1 2 3 3 3 2 12 104
4 6 Carol
2 5 8 3 5 5 4 6 4 4 5 5 12 76
3 5 Brooklyn
5 4 4 6 3 4 7 4 2 8 6 6 12 73
5 3 The Revenant
6 8 3 4 2 3 10 7 7 5 2 3 12 72
6 4 Room
8 3 5 8 6 6 3 3 6 4 7 11 62
7 7 Bridge of Spies
6 7 7 7 5 8 6 7 8 35
8 Mad Max: Fury Road
3 5 9 10 10 9 8 7 23
9 9 Inside Out
7 7 8 9 7 9 6 19
10 Steve Jobs
10 9 2 10 8 5 16
10 Creed
10 10 10 9 5 10 9 7 14
8 Joy
7 9 8 8 10 5 13
The H8ful Eight
9 9 8 3 7
The Danish Girl
6 9 2 7
One Vote Wonders
Straight Outta Compton
9 1 2
The BIg Short
10 1 1
Black Mass
10 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Brie Larson
Room
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 12 71
2 4 Saoirse Ronan
Brooklyn
2 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 12 58
3 3 Cate Blanchett
Carol
3 3 4 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 12 48
4 2 Jennifer Lawrence
Joy
4 4 5 3 5 5 4 4 4 5 4 11 30
5 5 Charlotte Rampling
45 Years
6 5 3 5 4 3 6 5 4 5 4 5 12 29
Carey Mulligan
Suffragette
6 6 5 6 5 5 7
Charlize Theron
Mad Max: Fury Road
6 6 2 2
Rooney Mara
Carol
6 6 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Patricia Clarkson
Learning To Drive
5 1 2
Lily Tomlin
Grandma
6 1 1
Maggie Smith
The Lady In The Van
6 1 1
Helen Mirren
Womn in Gold
6 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Leonardo DiCaprio
The Revenant
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 72
2 2 Matt Damon
The Martian
4 2 3 2 2 2 4 3 2 3 2 3 12 52
3 3 MIchael Fassbender
Steve Jobs
3 5 4 3 6 4 5 2 2 3 2 11 38
4 4 Eddie Redmayne
The Danish Girl
5 4 5 3 2 4 5 4 4 5 10 29
5 5 Johnny Depp
Black Mass
2 6 6 4 5 5 6 5 6 9 18
MIchael Caine
Youth
6 3 5 6 6 6 5 7 12
Ian McKellen
Mr. Holmes
3 3 6 3 9
Will Smith
Concussion
2 5 6 3 8
Tom Hanks
Bridge of Spies
4 3 2 7
MIchael B. Jordan
Creed
4 4 2 6
One Vote Wonders
Geza Rohrig
Son of Saul
6 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 t1 Rooney Mara
Carol
1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 1 12 66
2 t1 Alicia Vikander
The Danish Girl
4 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 11 53
3 3 Kate WInslet
Steve Jobs
6 5 4 5 3 2 3 2 2 4 3 11 38
4 Jennifer Jason Leigh
The Hateful 8
3 3 5 4 5 4 5 4 4 3 4 11 33
5 4 Jane Fonda
Youth
5 2 3 3 3 5 4 5 4 5 6 11 32
Kristen Stewart
Clouds of Sils Maria
2 6 6 6 4 8
5 Elizabeth Banks
Love & Mercy
4 6 6 5 4 7
Rachel McAdams
Spotlight
4 5 5 3 7
Joan Allen
Room
6 3 6 3 6
Helen Mirren
Trumbo
6 6 2 2
Rank Last Chart Best Supporing Actor AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 2 Michael Keaton
Spotlight
3 1 1 3 1 1 2 5 1 1 2 11 56
2 1 Mark Rylance
Bridge of Spies
3 5 2 4 2 1 1 2 4 2 1 11 50
3 3 Mark Ruffalo
Spotlight
1 2 2 2 4 4 2 4 4 9 38
4 Sylvester Stallone
Creed
4 2 3 4 3 4 5 1 5 5 5 11 36
5 4 Idris Elba
Beasts of No Nation
5 5 5 6 3 3 3 3 3 9 27
Paul Dano
Love & Mercy
2 4 6 6 5 5 6 3 6 5 10 22
5 Tom Hardy
The Revenance
6 1 3 4 4 14
Jacob Tremblay
Room
6 5 6 6 6 5 6
One Vote Wonders
Benicio del Toro
Sicario
4 1 3
Joel Edgerton
Black Mass
6 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 2 Ridley Scott
The Martian
3 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 12 67
2 1 Tom McCarthy
Spotlight
1 4 3 3 2 3 3 1 2 4 1 2 12 55
3 Todd Haynes
Carol
2 3 5 1 4 4 4 3 4 5 4 3 12 42
4 4 George Miller
Mad Max: Fury Road
4 2 6 5 5 2 2 5 5 2 3 6 12 37
5 3 Alejandro Inarritu
The Revenant
5 2 4 3 5 5 4 6 3 5 4 11 31
t5 Steven Spielberg
Bridge of Spies
4 6 6 6 6 5 6 9
Lenny Abrahamson
Room
5 6 2 3
t5 David O. Russell
Joy
0 0
One Vote Wonders
Ryan Coogler
Creeed
3 1 4
Quentin Tarantino
The Hateful 8
6 1 2
Lazlo Nemes
Son of Saul
6 1 1
John Crowley
Brooklyn
6 1 1
Danny Boyle
Steve Jobs
6 1 1
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13 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: It’s Getting Hot In Here”

  1. Daniella Isaacs says:

    There are so many deserving black performers/filmmakers this year, that another Oscar-So-White turn of events will look like racism, even to those of us who were skeptical of the charge last year. (SELMA really did kind of drop the ball in the campaigning/screener distribution game.) Smith, Jordon, Coogler are almost undeniably deserving this year and everyone will have a chance to see their films before they vote.

  2. Mike says:

    Are they “undeniably deserving?” I love Jordon and hope he becomes the biggest star in the world, but the critics have seen the movies and haven’t ranked him or the others higher. Doesn’t that sort of undermine the argument that they’re undeniably deserving?

  3. YancySkancy says:

    Wow, a lot of these frontrunners failed to score SAG nods, but I suppose that happens every year. It will be interesting to see if SAG moves the needle at all for the chances of Bryan Cranston, Sarah Silverman, Christian Bale and Michael Shannon.

  4. Daniella Isaacs says:

    Critics can be as unconsciously racist (and sexist) as Academy members, Mike. Furthermore, many of the critics groups haven’t been offering a top five list, just a winner and, maybe, a runner up. The nominations will be a top five list, and to have yet another top five grouping that’s lily white in the year of CREED and some of these other films/performances will be really telling. (And the critics have been gushing about CREED, for instance, even if Jordon hasn’t come in #1 in any critics awards voting.)

  5. Breedlove says:

    I saw Spotlight yesterday and loved it. Best movie I’ve seen this year, been reading old Boston Globe articles all day. Keaton and Ruffalo did a great job and I’m a fan of both, but they just had the most lines/biggest parts. To me, Schreiber and Tucci, two of the finest character actors around, stole the movie. Would prefer those two were getting the awards love.

  6. Daniella Isaacs says:

    I agree, Breedlove. Tucci and Schreiber are the true supporting actors in that film, Keaton and Ruffalo the leads. and the Tucci and Schreiber are entitled to the slots that might be available in Supporting, rather than Keaton and Ruffalo.

  7. DB says:

    Is there a mistake in ranking Bridge of Spies? Doesn’t look to me like its total votes equals 0…

  8. chris says:

    Will Smith is, in fact, great in “Concussion,” although I guess they don’t give a lot of Oscars for that kind of restraint. Yes, the movie is iffy but no iffier than “The Danish Girl,” whose lead is considered a lock.

  9. Chris L. says:

    Like DB said, it appears that “Bridge of Spies” should be in the top 10 if the voters’ rankings next to it are correct.

    SAG seems to have some kind of special contract with Helen Mirren that we mortals could never hope to decipher. For now, I’m banking on the Academy to go with the more acclaimed and never-nominated Rampling. Hard to understand sometimes which veterans are picked for the “sentimental” slot, if indeed that’s what it is. For example, it amazes me that Michael Caine has gotten so little traction in what might be his last real showcase lead part (even though he’s sixth here).

    As to minority representation this year, the fast-ascending “Compton” is a really intriguing test for the Academy’s (hopefully) shifting demographics. A year after mostly passing on “Selma,” would some of the same voters actually go for a more confrontational snapshot of black experience? And if they do, does that indicate a real changing of the guard or just a “make up call”?

  10. YancySkancy says:

    Chris L: Michael Caine has been around so long that his Oscar wins for 1986 and 1999 were already considered “career” awards of sorts to make up for multiple losses in earlier years. But since it’s been 13 years since his last win, perhaps it IS surprising that he’s not being touted more for YOUTH.

  11. movielocke says:

    With an instant runoff ballot it’s easy to ensure a blacker ballot, just make sure your group votes only for black actors in each category. Ultimately all those votes will runoff into each other and push one or two to the top of the heap in each category. With organization, it’s an extremely easy system to rig in one’s favor: it’s why they instituted the first place votes rule in best picture to forestall organized, easy rigging of theach instant runoff system.

  12. Ryan says:

    Interesting that Keaton is on top with supporting, with Ruffalo in 3rd, when neither was nominated for Spotlight by SAG or GGs. Not sure we’re reading the tealeaves correctly here.

  13. Alan says:

    These prognostications are all pre SAG and GG nominations.