Gurus o’ Gold: Last Guesses Before Nominations

Rank	Best Picture	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	La La Land	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	99
2	Moonlight	2	2	1	2	2	3	3	2	2	2	10	89
3	Manchester By The Sea	3	3	3	3	4	2	2	3	3	3	10	81
4	Arrival	4	6	4	4	3	4	4	5	4	4	10	68
5	Hell or High Water		4	7	7	5	5	5	8	7	7	9	61
6	Lion	5	5	5	5	6	8	6	4	5	6	10	55
7	Fences	6	7	6	6	8	7	10	7	6	5	10	42
8	Hidden Figures	8	8	9	9	7	6	7	6	10	8	10	32
9	Hacksaw Ridge	7	9	8	8		9	8	9	8	9	9	24
10	Silence				10	9	10		10		10	5	6
	Jackie		10			10				9		3	5
One Vote Wonders
	Nocturnal Animals							9				1	2
	Deadpool			10								1	1

Rank	Best Director	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	Damien Chazelle	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	10	47
2	Barry Jenkins	2	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	10	43
3	Kenneth Lonergan	4	3	3	3	4	4	3	3	3	4	10	26
4	Denis Villeneuve	3	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	5	10	22
5	Martin Scorsese						5		5		3	3	5
	Garth Davis		5			5		5		5		4	4
	David MacKenzie			5	5							2	2
One Vote Wonders
	Pablo Larrain										6	1	1
	Denzel Washington	5										1	1

Rank	Last Chart	Best Actor	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	1	Casey Affleck Manchester By The Sea	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	50
2	2	Denzel Washington Fences	2	2	3	2	2	3	4	2	2	2	10	36
3	3	Ryan Gosling La La Land	3	3	2	3	3	2	2	5	3	3	10	31
4		Andrew Garfield Hacksaw Ridge	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	3	5	4	10	19
5		Viggo Mortensen Captain Fantastic	5	5	5	5	5		3	4		5	8	11
		Joel Edgerton Loving						5			4		2	3
	5	Andrew Garfield Silence											0	0
	4	Tom Hanks Sully											0	0

Rank	Last Chart	Best Actress	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	1	Emma Stone La La Land	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	10	47
2	2	Natalie Portman Jackie		1	2	3	2	2	4	2	1	2	9	35
3		Amy Adams Arrival	3	3	4	2	3	3	3	3		3	9	27
4	5	isabelle Huppert Elle	1		3	5	5	4	2	5	4	5	9	20
5		Meryl Streep Florence Foster Jenkins		5	5	4	4			4	5	4	7	11
	3	Annette Bening 20th Century Women	5	4				5	5				4	5
	4	Ruth Negga Loving	4								3		2	5

Rank	Last Chart	Best Supporting Actor	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	1	Mahershala Ali Moonlight	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	50
2	2	Jeff Bridges Hell of High Water	4	2	2	2	3	2	2	2	4	2	10	35
3	4	Dev Patel Lion	2	3	3	3	2	3	4	3	3	4	10	30
4	3	Lucas Hedges Manchester By The Sea	3	4			5	4		4	2	3	7	17
5		Hugh Grant Florence Foster Jenkins		5	4	4			3	5	5	5	7	11
		Aaron Taylor-Johnson Nocturnal Animals	5		5	5		5					4	4
	5	Michael Shannon Nocturnal Animals											0	0
One Vote Wonders
		Kevin Costner Hidden Figures					4						1	2
		Ben Foster Hell of High Water							5				1	1

Rank	Last Chart	Best Supporting Actress	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	1	Viola Davis Fences	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	50
2	2	Michelle Williams Manchester by the Sea	2	2	3	2	2	3	2	3	2	2	10	37
3	3	Naomie Harris Moonlight	4	3	2	4	4	2	4	2	3	3	10	29
4	4	Nicole Kidman Lion	5	4		3	3	4	3	4	4	4	9	20
5		Octavia Spencer Hidden Figures	3	5	4	5	5	5	5		5	5	9	12
	5	Janelle Monae Hidden Figures			5					5			2	2

Rank	Last Chart	Best Original Screenplay	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	1	Manchester by the Sea	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	49
2	3	La La Land	1	4	2	2	2	2	3	2	2	3	10	37
3	4	Hell or HIgh Water	4	2	4	3	3	3	2	3	3	2	10	31
4		The Lobster	3	3			4	5	4	4		5	7	14
5		20th Century Women		5		4		4		5	5		5	7
		Captain Fantastic	5		5	5			5			4	5	6
	5	Jackie			3						4		2	5

Rank	Last Chart	Best Adapted Screenplay	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1		Moonlight (changed categories)	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	10	47
2	1	Arrival	2		2	2	4	2	4	2	3	3	9	30
t3	4	Lion	4	2	3	4	3	4	3	5	4	4	10	24
t3	2	Fences		4		3	2	3		3	1	2	7	24
5	5	Hidden Figures	5	5		5	5		2	4		5	7	11
		Nocturnal Animals	1		5				5		5		4	8
		Hacksaw Ridge		3	4								2	5
One Vote Wonders
	3	Silence						5					1	1

Rank	Best Animated Feature	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	Zootopia	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	50
2	Kubo & The 2 Strings	2	3	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	2	10	37
3	Moana	5	2	2	3	2	3	3	3	3	3	10	31
4	The Red Turtle	3	4	4	5	4	4	5		5	4	9	16
5	Finding Dory	4	5		4	5			5	4		6	9
	My Life As a Zucchini			5				4			5	3	4
One Vote Wonders
	Sing								4			1	2
	Trolls						5					1	1
	April & The Extraordinary World										6	1	1

Rank	Best Foreign Langauge	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	Toni Erdmann	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	10	49
2	The Salesman	2	2	2	2	3	3	2	2	2	2	10	38
3	Land of Mine	4	3	3	4	2	4	3	3	3	5	10	26
4	A Man Called Ove	3	5	5	3	4	1	4	5	4	3	10	23
5	My Life as a Zucchini	5			5					5	4	4	5
	It's Only The End Of The World			4		5	5					3	4
	Tanna		4					5				2	3
One Vote Wonders
	Paradise								4			1	2

Rank	Documentary Feature	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	Oj: Made in America	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	49
2	I Am Not Your Negro	3	2	2	3	2	2	3	5	3	3	10	32
3	13th	1	4		2	3	4	4	2	2	2	9	30
4	Cameraperson	4	3	3						5	4	5	11
5	Weiner			5	5	5	3		3		5	6	10
	The Eagle Huntres	5	5		4					4		4	6
	Life, Animated					4		2				2	6
	Tower			4			5					2	3
One Vote Wonders
	The Ivory Game								4			1	2
	Fire At Sea							5				1	1

Rank	Best Score	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
1	La La Land	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	45
2	Moonlight	2	2	2	2	2	2		3		7	27
3	Lion	3	3	3	4	4		4	4	5	8	18
4	Jackie		4	4			4		2	2	5	14
5	Rogue One	4			3					3	3	8
	The BFG		5			3		3			3	7
	Hidden Figures				5	5	5		5		4	4
	Nocturnal Animals	5		5							2	2
One Vote Wonders
	Florence Foster Jenkins							2			1	4
	Arrival						3				1	3
	The Jungle Book									4	1	2
	Kubo & The 2 Strings							5			1	1
	Moana						5				1	1

Rank	Best Original Song	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	City of Stars La La Land	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	10	49
t2	Audition La La Land	3	2	2	4	1		2	5	3	3	9	29
t2	How Far I'll Go Moana	4	3	3	2	4		3	2	2	2	9	29
4	Runnin' Hidden Figures		4		5	3	3		3		4	6	14
5	Can't Stop The Feeling Trolls	2		4	3		4			4		5	13
	Drive It Like You Stole It Sing Street			5				4		5		3	4
	Faith Sing		5			5					5	3	3
One Vote Wonders
	Shiny Moana						2					1	4
	Letter To The Free 13th								4			1	2
	I'm Still Here Miss Sharon Jones!							5				1	1
	Try Everything Zootopia	5										1	1
	You're Welcome! Moana						5					1	1

Rank	Best Cinematography	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Votes	Total
1	La La Land	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	9	43
2	Arrival	3	3	2	3	3	3	2	1	2	9	32
3	Moonlight	2	2	3	2	2	1	3	3	5	9	31
4	Silence	4	5	4	5	5	5	4	4	3	9	15
5	Lion	5	4	5	4	4		5			6	9
	Jackie						4			4	2	4
One Vote Wonders
	Hail, Caesar!								5		1	1

Rank	Best Costumes	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	Jackie	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	1	1	2	10	45
2	La La Land	2	2	2	4	1	1	2	2	2	1	10	41
3	Florence Foster Jenkins	4	4	3	2		3	1	4	3	3	9	27
4	Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them	5	3		3	4	5		3	5	4	8	16
5	Silence	3				3						2	6
	The Dressmaker			4		5		4				3	5
	Allied		5		5						5	3	3
	Hidden Figures							5		4		2	3
	Hail, Caesar!						4		5			2	3
												0	0
One Vote Wonders
	Live By Night			5								1	1

Rank	Best Production Design	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	La La Land	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	10	49
2	Jackie	3	5	2	4	2	4	5		2	2	9	25
3	Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them	2	3		2	5		4	3	3	3	8	23
4	Arrival	4	2		3	3	3		1		4	7	22
	Silence	5		3	5	4	5			4		6	10
5	Hail, Caesar!		4	5			2		4		5	5	10
	The Handmaiden			4				3				2	5
	Nocturnal Animals							2	5			2	5
One Vote Wonders
	The Jungle Book									5		1	1

Rank	Best Hair/Make-Up	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	Florence Foster Jenkins	1	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	1	1	10	27
2	Deadpool	2	1		3	2		1		3	3	7	13
3	Star Trek: Beyond	3			2			3		2	2	5	8
	Jackie			1			2					2	5
	Hail, Caesar!			3			3		2			3	4
	A Man Called Ove		3			3			3			3	3

Rank	Best Editing	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	La La Land	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	10	48
2	Moonlight	2	2	1	2	1	2	3	3	2	2	10	40
3	Arrival	4		4	3	4	3	5	2		4	8	19
4	Hacksaw Ridge		4		5		4	2	5	3	3	7	16
5	Manchester by the Sea	3	5	3	4						5	5	10
	Hell or High Water		3					4	4			3	7
	Silence	5				3	5					3	5
	Rogue One					5				5		2	2
One Vote Wonders
	The Jungle Book									4		1	2
	Lion			5								1	1

Rank	Best Visual Effects	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	The Jungle Book	1	3	5	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	44
2	Doctor Strange	3	1	2	4	2	2	2	5		2	9	31
3	Rogue One	2	4	1	2	4	4	4	4	3	3	10	29
4	Arrival	5	2	3	3	3	3	3	2	5	5	10	26
5	Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them	4	5		5	5	5		3	4	4	8	13
	Kubo & The Two Strings			4				5				2	3
	Florence Foster Jenkins											0	0
One Vote Wonders
	Captain America: Civil War									2		1	4

Rank	Best Sound Editing	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	La La Land	3		3	3	1	4		2	1	1	8	30
t2	Hacksaw Ridge	1	4	4	1		5	2	4	3	2	9	28
t2	Arrival	4	1	1	2			1	1		4	7	28
4	Rogue One	2	3	2	4	2	2		5	5	3	9	26
5	The Jungle Book	5	2		5	5	1			4	5	7	15
	Deepwater Horizon		5	5		3		4				4	7
	Deadpool					4	3	5				3	6
One Vote Wonders
	Silence									2		1	4
	Sully							3				1	3
	Patriots Day								4			1	2

Rank	Best Sound Mixing	Adams	Ellwood	Howell	Karger	Olsen	Poland	NathanielR	Stone	Wloszczyna	Whipp	Votes	Total
1	La La Land	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	10	48
2	Arrival	4	3	1	3		2	2	2		4	8	27
3	Hacksaw Ridge	2	4	4	2	4		3	4	3	2	9	26
4	Rogue One	3	5	3	4	2	3		5	5	3	9	21
5	The Jungle Book		1		5					4	5	4	9
	Deepwater Horizon			5		3		5				3	5
	Silence						5			2		2	5
	Deadpool					5	4					2	3
	Sully	5						4				2	3
One Vote Wonders
	Patriots Day								3			1	3

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Posted in Awards Update, Awards Watch, Gurus o' Gold, MCN Originals, Movie City News | 5 Comments »

5 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: Last Guesses Before Nominations”

Kristopher Tapley says:

January 22, 2017 at 11:17 pm

A few things you guys might want to address:

– “Arrival” is no longer eligible for original score. Disqualified by the Academy’s music branch.

http://variety.com/2016/film/in-contention/oscars-academy-disqualifies-arrival-manchester-by-the-sea-silence-1201941479/

– Only two songs from “Moana” were submitted for consideration: “How Far I’ll Go” and “We Know the Way.”

http://variety.com/2016/film/in-contention/oscars-91-tunes-eligible-for-best-original-song-1201941137/

– “Jackie” is no longer eligible for makeup.

http://variety.com/2016/film/in-contention/oscars-academy-announces-7-makeup-and-hairstyling-finalists-1201946899/
Bradley Laing says:

January 23, 2017 at 12:11 am

—I am hoping for the “one vote wonders” of “The Ivory Game” and “Fire at Sea” to be part of the five nominees for Best Documentary Feature.
Daniella Isaacs says:

January 23, 2017 at 7:04 am

I’m still betting on “Hidden Figures” exceeding expectations. It was all the buzz as “the film America loves” right as the Academy was voting.
Chris L. says:

January 23, 2017 at 12:51 pm

On reflection, the most puzzling development in this whole season is that a sizable number of people consider Aaron Taylor-Johnson the standout in his film over Michael Shannon. Did Shannon piss off the wrong people with some of his political barbs?

Joel Edgerton being the last best hope for Loving is also a bit strange. Not that he wasn’t good, but so much care and craft went into that film across the board.
David Poland says:

January 26, 2017 at 12:26 pm

Yeah… I was winging it after a very painful process of loading the pages that week. Dumb. But who really cares? Completely fair to bring it up. Onward.