Gurus o’ Gold: Early Line
| Rank | Last Chart | best Picture | Adams | Ellwood | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Yamato | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dunkirk |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 111 | ||||||
| 2 |
The Shape of Water |
3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 108 | ||||||
| 3 |
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri |
1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 86 | ||||||
| 4 |
Darkest Hour |
8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 80 | ||||||
| t5 |
Call Me By Your Name |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 65 | ||||||
| t5 |
The Post |
2 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 65 | ||||||||
| 7 |
Get Out |
5 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 54 | ||||||
| 8 |
The BIg Sick |
12 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 33 | ||||||||
| 9 |
Lady Bird |
12 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 27 | |||||||
| 10 |
The Florida Project |
7 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 26 | |||||||
|
Phantom Thread |
5 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 17 | |||||||||||||
|
Downsizing |
4 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 13 | |||||||||||||
|
Mudbound |
11 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 12 | ||||||||||||
|
Blade Runner 2049 |
8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
|
Wonder Woman |
10 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 8 | ||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Victoria & Abdul |
7 | 1 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Last Flag Standing |
9 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Battle of the Sexes |
9 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
I, Tonya |
10 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Roman J. Israel, Esq. |
11 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Detroit |
12 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
The Greatest Showman |
12 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Adams | Ellwood | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Yamato | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gary Oldman Darkest Hour |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 70 | ||||||
| 2 |
Daniel Day Lewis Phantom Thread |
5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 42 | |||||||
| 3 |
Timothee Chalamet Call Me By Your Name |
4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 37 | |||||||
| 4 |
Jake Gyllenhaal Stronger |
6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 36 | ||||||
| 5 |
Tom Hanks The Post |
5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | ||||||||
|
Denzel Washington Roman J. Israel, Esq. |
2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | ||||||||||||
|
James Franco The Disaster Artist |
6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |||||||||||||
|
Andrew Garfield Breathe |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |||||||||||||||
|
Hugh Jackman The Greatest Showman |
3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
|
Christian Bale Hostiles |
6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
|
Adam Sandler The Meyerowitz Stories |
5 | 6 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Matt Damon Downsizing |
3 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Steve Carell Last Flag Standing |
3 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Sam Elliott The Hero |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jason Clarke Chappaquiddick |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Adams | Ellwood | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Yamato | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frances McDormand Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri |
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 64 | ||||||
| 2 |
Sally Hawkins The Shape of Water |
2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | ||||||
| 4 |
Saoirse Ronan Lady Bird |
7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 33 | |||||||
| 3 |
Meryl Streep The Post |
3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 33 | ||||||||
| 5 |
Judi Dench Victoria & Abdul |
7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | ||||||||
|
Jessica Chastain Molly's Game |
6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | |||||||||||
|
Kate Winslet Wonder Wheel |
6 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | ||||||||||
|
Margot Robbie I, Tonya |
5 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 | |||||||||||||
|
Emma Stone Battle of the Sexes |
5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
|
Annette Bening Film Stars Don’t Die In Liverpool |
7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Michelle Williams All The Money in the World |
4 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Diane Kruger In The Fade |
5 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Gal Gadot Wonder Woman |
6 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jennifer Lawrence mother! |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Adams | Ellwood | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Yamato | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Laurie Metcalf Lady Bird |
1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 64 | ||||||
| 2 |
Allison Janey I Tonya |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 54 | ||||||
| 3 |
Holly Hunter The BIg Sick |
3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 40 | |||||||
| 4 |
Octavia Spencer The Shape of Water |
4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 33 | |||||||
| 5 |
Melissa Leo Novitiate |
2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | ||||||||||
|
Mary J Blige Mudbound |
3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 19 | |||||||||||
|
Kristin Scott Thomas Darkest Hour |
6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |||||||||||
|
Hong Chau Downsizing |
3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |||||||||||||
|
Tatiana Maslany Stronger |
7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
|
Claire Foy Breathe |
5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | |||||||||||||||
|
MIchelle Pfeiffer mother! |
7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Nicole Kidman Nicole Kidman, The Killing of a Sacred Deer |
5 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Leslie Manville Phantom Thread |
6 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Julainne Moore Wonderstruck |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Adams | Ellwood | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Yamato | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Willem Dafoe The Florida Project |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 60 | ||||||
| 2 |
Sam Rockwell Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 58 | ||||||
| 3 |
Michael Stuhlbarg Call Me By Your Name |
3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 33 | |||||||||
| 4 |
Richard Jenkins The Shape of Water |
1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 29 | ||||||||
| 5 |
Armie Hammer Call Me By Your Name |
6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | |||||||||
|
Ben Mendelsohn Darkest Hour |
3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 18 | |||||||||||||
|
Jason Mtchell Mudbound |
4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |||||||||||||
|
Mark Rylance Dunkirk |
3 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 12 | ||||||||||||
|
Harrison Ford Blade Runner 2049 |
5 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 9 | |||||||||||||
|
Michael Shannon The Shape of Water |
7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
|
Dustin Hoffman The Meyerowitz Stories |
7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Bryan Cranston Last Flag Flying |
3 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Kevin Spacey All The Money in the World |
4 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Ray Romano The BIg Sick |
6 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Tom Hanks The Post |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Adams | Ellwood | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | NathanielR | Stone | Thompson | Wloszczyna | Whipp | Yamato | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Christopher Nolan Dunkirk |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 68 | ||||||
| 2 |
Guillermo Del Toro The Shape of Water |
1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 60 | ||||||
| 3 |
Joe Wright Darkest Hour |
4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 30 | |||||||||
| 4 |
Steven Spielberg The Post |
5 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | |||||||||
| 5 |
Greta Gerwig Lady Bird |
3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | ||||||||||
|
Martin McDonagh Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri |
4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | ||||||||||||
|
Luca Guadagino Call Me By Your Name |
6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |||||||||||
|
Denis Villeneuve Blade Runner 2049 |
3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | ||||||||||||
|
Jordan Peele Get Out |
5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
|
Sean Baker The Florida Project |
4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 10 | ||||||||||||
|
Patty Jenkins Wonder Woman |
7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Paul Thomas Anderson Phantom Threas |
4 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Alexander Payne Downsizing |
5 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Dee Rees Mudbound |
5 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
Why can’t they just call it “The Pentagon Papers”?
It is such a slight and light year for awards pictures, reminiscent of 1990, 91, and 92 the pre Weinstein era when genre films were ascendant with the academy with westerns and horror films winning all three years and a gangster film just barely losing.
Makes an interesting case for if the academy rejects the two decades of dominance of Weinstein era “awards exist only for meller-dramas with acht-ing” and goes back to a series of more genre and populist choices in line with Hollywood.
If so then that speaks strongly to get out, Wonder Woman, and beauty and the beast over performing with awards season.
sorry but having Darkest Hour ahead of CMBYN is borderline foolish.
Allison “Janey”?
You guys really see The Big Sick and Get Out in at Picture over Baby Driver?? I know those two made a shit ton of money and had great word of mouth, but this is the Oscars here. I think Baby has a lot more cred and love in the industry than either of those but you guys know best.
Also, Florida Project will be much higher on that list come New Years.
There are rumors going around that The Post has gotten into problems in (pun not intended) post-production, with another editor being brought in to help Michael Kahn. Yes, Spielberg has worked around a very short post-production many times before, but what’s the over/under on it getting pushed to 2018 at this point?
It makes me laugh to see all this Oscar hype and prognosticating for movies that most of us won’t see until January. Kinda makes it a bit of a joke.
Well, Ron, the fact that you clicked on the link is all the encouragement MCN needs to keep posting stuff like this. So… #partoftheproblem.
Er, David, um…It’s “Last Flag Flying” not Standing that Steve Carell is in.