Gurus o’ Gold On The Oscar Chart No. 1
Weighing in on a first set of Oscar nominations, including acting nods after the Sunday night SAG awards. We check in with Best Director only a few days before the DGA nods.
Love for BlacKkKlansman pushes Spike Lee’s multi-nominated pic atop Green Book for second ranking for Best Pictures. Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor predications offer up a pretty solid consensus.
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roma |
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 76 | ||||
| 2 |
Green Book |
2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 60 | ||||
| 2 |
BlacKkKlansman |
7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 55 | ||||
| 4 |
A Star Is Born |
6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 47 | ||||
| 5 |
The Favourite |
4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 42 | ||||
| 6 |
Black Panther |
3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 42 | ||||
| 7 |
Vice |
5 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | ||||
| 8 |
Bohemian Rhapsody |
8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alfonso Cuarón Roma |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 40 | ||||||
| 2 |
Spike Lee BlacKkKlansman |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 31 | ||||||
| 3 |
Yorgos Lanthimos The Favourite |
4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | ||||||
| 4 |
Adam McKay Vice |
5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | ||||||
| 5 |
Pawel Pawlikowski Cold War |
3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Glenn Close The Wife |
1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 52 | |||
| 2 |
Olivia Colman The Favourite |
2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 40 | |||
| 3 |
Lady Gaga A Star Is Born |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 38 | |||
| 4 |
Yalitza Aparicio Roma |
4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | |||
| 5 |
Melissa McCarthy Can You Ever Forgive Me |
5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Regina King If Beale Street Could Talk |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 54 | |||
| 2 |
Amy Adams Vice |
1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 41 | |||
| 3 |
Rachel Weisz The Favourite |
3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 28 | |||
| 4 |
Marina de Tavira Roma |
5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 25 | |||
| 5 |
Emma Stone The Favourite |
4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Christian Bale Vice |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 51 | |||
| 2 |
Rami Malek Bohemian Rhapsody |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 45 | |||
| 3 |
Bradley Cooper A Star Is Born |
4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 32 | |||
| 4 |
Viggo Mortensen Green Book |
3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 25 | |||
| 5 |
Willem Dafoe At Eternity's Gate |
5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mahershala Ali Green Book |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 55 | |||
| 2 |
Richard E. Grant Can You Ever Forgive Me? |
3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 39 | |||
| 3 |
Sam Elliott A Star Is Born |
2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 35 | |||
| 4 |
Adam Driver BlacKkKlansman |
4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 25 | |||
| 5 |
Sam Rockwell Vice |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Original Song | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shallow A Star Is Born |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 55 | |||
| 2 |
All The Stars Black Panther |
2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 41 | |||
| 3 |
I'll Fight RBG |
4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 32 | |||
| 4 |
The Place Where Lost Things Go Mary Poppins Returns |
3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 25 | |||
| 5 |
When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings The Ballad of Buster Scruggs |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Score | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
If Beale Street Could Talk |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 44 | ||||
| 2 |
Black Panther |
1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 38 | ||||
| 3 |
Blackkklansman |
3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 28 | ||||
| 4 |
Mary Poppins |
4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | ||||
| 5 |
Isle of Dogs |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 |
The Gurus, At Your Service
Thelma Adams: Author, Critic, Oscar Expert
Robyn Bahr: Freelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian)
Gregory Ellwood: The Playlist
Peter Howell: Toronto Star
Mark Johnson: Awards Circuit
Dave Karger: TCM, IMDb
Tomris Laffly: Freelance (RogerEbert.com, Time Out New York, Film Journal International)
Wilson Morales: BlackFilm.com
Michael Patterson: Michael’s Telluride Film Blog
Steve Pond: The Wrap
NathanielR: The Film Experience
Sasha Stone: Awards Daily
Jeff Sneider: Collider
