The Gurus O’ Gold Weigh The Acting Categories And Best Picture
Hello, Glenn Close!
Oscar nominations drop on Tuesday morning, and the Gurus anticipate some shifts in the Academy’s Final Five for acting nominations, plus a few flyaway titles from the Best Picture roster, which could contain as many as ten nominees.
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | NathanielR | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Glenn Close The Wife |
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 85 | ||
| 2 | 2 |
Olivia Colman The Favourite |
2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 76 | ||
| 3 | 1 |
Lady Gaga A Star Is Born |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 71 | ||
| 4 | 4 |
Melissa McCarthy Can You Ever Forgive Me? |
4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 53 | ||
| 5 | 5 |
Emily Blunt Mary Poppins Returns |
6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | ||
|
Yalitza Aparicio Roma |
5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 27 | ||||||
|
Viola Davis Widows |
6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 6 | ||||||||||||||
|
Nicole Kidman Destroyer |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||
|
Toni Collette Hereditary |
7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
|
Joanna Kulig Cold War |
6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
|
|
0 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
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0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Elsie Fisher Eighth Grade |
6 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Julia Roberts Ben is Back |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | NathanielR | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Regina King If Beale Street Could Talk |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 90 | ||
| 2 | 2 |
Amy Adams Vice |
2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 71 | ||
| 3 | 3 |
Rachel Weisz The Favourite |
3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 65 | ||
| 4 | 4 |
Emma Stone The Favourite |
5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 56 | ||
| 5 | 5 |
Claire Foy First Man |
4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 36 | |||
|
Margot Robbie Mary Queen of Scots |
5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 17 | |||||||||
|
Michelle Yeoh Crazy Rich Asians |
7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 9 | |||||||||||
|
Nicole Kidman Boy Erased |
7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | |||||||||||
|
Emily Blunt A Quiet Place |
6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | ||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Elizabeth Debicki Widows |
6 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Thomasin McKenzie Leave No Trace |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Marina de Tavira Roma |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Mahershala Ali Green Book |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 89 | ||
| 2 | 2 |
Richard E. Grant Can You Ever Forgive Me?” |
2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 76 | ||
| 3 | 3 |
Sam Elliot A Star is Born |
3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 59 | ||
| 4 |
Adam Driver BlacKKKlansman |
5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 49 | |||
| 5 | 5 |
Timothée Chalamet Beautiful Boy |
4 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 48 | ||
|
Sam Rockwell Vice |
7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 18 | ||||||
|
Michael B. Jordan Black Panther |
6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 18 | |||||||
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0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Steve Carell Vice |
6 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Steven Yeun Burning |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Bryan Tyree Henry If Beale Street Could Talk |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Christian Bale Vice |
1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 88 | ||
| 2 | 3 |
Rami Malek Bohemian Rhapsody |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 76 | ||
| 3 | 1 |
Bradley Cooper A Star Is Born |
4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 65 | ||
| 4 | 4 |
Viggo Mortensen Green Book |
3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 56 | ||
| 5 | 5 |
Ethan Hawke First Reformed |
5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 33 | |||
|
John David Washington BlacKKKlansman |
6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 29 | ||||
|
Willem Dafoe At Eternity's Gate |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | ||||||||
|
Ryan Gosling First Man |
7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
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0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Ben Foster Leave No Trace |
7 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Roma |
1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 68 | ||||
| 4 | 4 |
BlacKkKlansman |
3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 51 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Green Book |
7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 49 | ||||
| 2 | 2 |
A Star Is Born |
6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 48 | ||||
| 5 | 5 |
The Favourite |
2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 38 | ||||
| 6 | 6 |
Black Panther |
6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 28 | ||||
| 7 | 7 |
Vice |
4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26 | ||||
| 8 | 8 |
Bohemian Rhapsody |
8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 15 | ||||
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The Gurus, At Your Service
Thelma Adams: Author, Critic, Oscar Expert
Robyn Bahr: Freelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian)
Gregory Ellwood: The Playlist
Peter Howell: Toronto Star
Mark Johnson: Awards Circuit
Dave Karger: TCM, IMDb
Tomris Laffly: Freelance (RogerEbert.com, Time Out New York, Film Journal International)
Wilson Morales: BlackFilm.com
Michael Patterson: Michael’s Telluride Film Blog
Steve Pond: The Wrap
NathanielR: The Film Experience
Sasha Stone: Awards Daily
Jeff Sneider: Collider
