20 Weeks
20 Weeks To Oscar – 17 Days To Go
The Ten Rules Of The Season
Don’t Be The Frontrunner … Unless You Can’t Lose
Don’t Start Late … Unless You Have The Nuts
Being The Underdog Requires Illusion
Every Scheme Works … Every Scheme Fails
Critics Only Matter When Unanimous
20 Weeks – 7 Weeks to Go
The Golden Globes are dead
14 Comments »20 Weeks… Year Ender
Well, we’re down to where we were a month ago!
Back on November 15, I wrote: “It’s also an unusual year because so many of these films are so good. Everyone has personal favorites and films they just don’t like, but if you run down the list of the dozen or so films still in play, it seems like you are going to find almost everyone giving a “thumbs up” (quarter to Roger) to at least two-thirds of the titles. That is remarkable, really.”
Has that changed?
The rest…
The Charts…
Oscar – 20 Weeks & Gurus
The notion of prognosticating, which is often attacked by those who have no skill at doing it, is not a science. It is an artistic endeavor. And like all art, there is good and bad … and taste involved.
Oscar prognostication is particularly odd, since we are already well into the period of weaning out the likelies and unlikelies even though a significant percentage of the films that are “in play” have still not been seen by as much as 20% of the Academy membership. Yet here we are, both reading and influencing the process … all the while both blind to statistically significant input from voters and irrelevant to their decision-making in the long run.
The rest…
And…
The rest…
20 Weeks To Oscar – Wicked Wicked Season Picket
Perhaps the most interesting next question for award season will be whether journalists and others, like SAG Nominating Committee, not mention Sean Penn and Eddie Vedder, are willing to cross picket lines
8 Comments »20 Weeks/T-Minus 19 – Whning While Mining
Look
8 Comments »20 Weeks – Rest of the Charts
A bit of a screw-up in technoland… here are all the first week 20 Weeks charts, which are now linked to one another, so you only really need to click on one to navigate.
Picture
Actor/Supporting Actor
Actress/Supporting Actress
Screenplay/Adapted Screenplay
20 Weeks To Oscar – 20 Wks To Go
I will tell you right here and right now
17 Comments »22 Weeks To Oscar – Post-Toronto Column
It would be easy to shrug this notion off and say,
155 Comments »20 Weeks – That Took A Long Time!!!
I can’t believe it took until today for someone to notice that Sean Penn’s Into The Wild didn’t end up on the Oscar charts last week.
It is NOTHING but an stupid oversight… and frankly, I have no idea how I managed it. My first reaction when I read a commented on this blog to that end was to assume they were missing something. But it was I.
As I have otherwise written, a real believer that the film is not only in the race, but has a significant chance to make it into the Final Five.
My apologies to you and to all at Vantage. The corrected chart is now up.
24 Weeks To Oscar
The Oscar season has started, not with a bang, but with a whimper.
It’s not that there aren’t a lot of terrific movies out there. It’s just that there is nothing either screening at festivals now or in the near future that suggests that any movie is a lock for a Best Picture nomination.
You can make arguments on either side of almost every contending movie.
The Rest…
The Charts…