Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for October, 2013

Friday Box Office Estimates

Bad Grandpa killed the Gravity star… Bad Grandpa killed the Gravity star…” Sing it! No real surprise here. The Jackass brand is golden in late September and October, the last Jackass film opening to $50 million in 2010. This “Jackass presents” film will not be that big, but it will probably be the second highest opener amongst all of their releases. Fox couldn’t get the Mexican drug cartel pirates to excite people like Somali pirates and saw this relatively weak opening coming a mile away.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Gravity continues to (bad pun) above the pack, as the remake of Carrie will likely end the weekend about $10m behind the Clooney’s unlikely sequel to Up In The Air, Up In The Lack of Air. (Or is it Ms. Bullock’s unlikely sequel to Speed? Too bad Dennis Hopper wasn’t around to voice flight command.) The Fifth Estate goes down in flames. Escape Plan needs to go back to the drawing board.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Gravity continues to hold down the lead, as Tom Hanks and Paul Greengrass’ Captain Phillips line up for what could arguably be the best October opening for a drama since The Departed and Training Day.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Gravity opens so well that we will avoid any pun describing its numbers (for now). Word of mouth is mighty and it could well be the rare film not driven by children that gets a big Saturday bump. The record for October openings is $52.6 million. Getting crushed under the weight of the big October opening is the horribly titled Runner Runner (a term known to poker players, but not the mainstream audiences that need to show up to drive business for a mainstream movie). The film could well have a nearly identical opening weekend to the first Koppelman/Levien-written feature, Rounders (circa 1998).

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4