Posts Tagged ‘Dilemma’
Sunday, February 13th, 2011
Bieber Pitch
By Leonard Klady
It was Sandler by a nose over the teen sensation. The rom-com Just Go With It emerged with an estimated $30.8 million while the 3D concert film Justin Bieber: Never Say Never was right behind with $30.4 million. In a session energized by new releases the animated Gnomeo and Juliet charted third with $25.3 million and the Gladiator-lite The Eagle slotted in position five with a drab $8.3 million.
The frame also featured a clutch of incoming niche and exclusive debuts. Bollywood entry Patiala House was the best of the newbies with $352,000 at 80 venues and on the Pinoy circuit Bulong had an OK $25,300 at six locales. Testing the waters with 15 screens, the comic Cedar Rapids found the temp conducive with a $302,000 tally.
There was also good response to the Oscar shorts tour with a first stop of $237,000 and the pacifist doc Mooz-lum had an impressive $12,000 per location average of $12,000, The single screen bow of another doc, Vidal Sassoon, looked and dressed good with $13,800.
Following a month of box office declines revenues experienced dramatic upturns that have finally put smiles on the folks in the distribution and exhibition sector.
Pundits were confident that the Sandler – Aniston pairing in Just Go With It would generate a $30 million plus opening salvo that would easily outdistance any threat from Justin Bieber’s concert foray. The latter movie was pegged at $25 million to $28 million and was the clear winner on opening day Friday with close to a $3 million edge of $12.4 million.
However, whereas the pubescent fan base proved to be first day fanatics, the older Valentine romantics were dominant for Saturday date night. The Bieber group declined by 13% while the Gos expanded by 42%. Both films skewed female with the concert crowd comprised of a whopping 84% and 67% under 25 according to exit polls. The comedy crowd was 58% distaff and 60% comprised of plus 25%. Never Say Never also registered a very potent 84% attendance for its stereoscopic playdates.
That still left plenty of room for the family audience that embraced Gnomeo and Juliet. Largely underserved in recent weeks, trackers underestimated its appeal with predictions in the range of $16 million to $20 million. The Eagle was the poor cousin in the mix and largely negative reviews didn’t help improve a lackluster response.
Overall revenues pushed to roughly $150 million for an eye-popping 73% boost from the prior weekend. It was also an impressive 32% improvement from 2010. Last year’s freshmen thrust was provided by first and third ranked Dear John and From Paris with Love with respective opening salvos of $30.5 million and $8.2 million.
Obviously with so much incoming fare the crowd of Oscar contenders – even the most resilient – lost a significant number of screens. And if on-going appeal is any kind of indicator, The King’s Speech contingent would be well advised to brush up on their elocution. It sputtered an insignificant 5% erosion despite the loss of 321 theaters.
Weekend (estimates) February 11 – 13, 2011 |
|
|
|
|
Title |
Distributor |
Gross (avg) |
% chng |
Thtrs |
Cume |
Just Go With It |
Sony |
30.8 (8,680) |
NEW |
3548 |
30.8 |
Justin Bieber: Never Say Never |
Par |
30.4 (9,790) |
NEW |
3105 |
30.4 |
Gnomeo and Juliet |
BV |
25.3 (8,450) |
NEW |
2994 |
25.3 |
The Roommate |
Sony |
8.3 (3,290) |
-44% |
2534 |
26 |
The Eagle |
Focus |
8.3 (3,630) |
NEW |
2296 |
8.3 |
The King’s Speech |
TWC |
7.3 (3,230) |
-5% |
2263 |
93.8 |
No Strings Attached |
Par |
5.6 (2,030) |
-30% |
2756 |
59.8 |
Sanctum |
Uni |
5.1 (1,830) |
-46% |
2789 |
17.5 |
True Grit |
Par |
3.8 (1,820) |
-19% |
2072 |
160.3 |
The Green Hornet |
Sony |
3.6 (1,730) |
-39% |
2090 |
92.3 |
The Rite |
WB |
3.1 (1,410) |
-44% |
2207 |
28.7 |
The Mechanic |
CBS |
3.1 (1,630) |
-42% |
1886 |
25.3 |
The Fighter |
Par/Alliance |
2.1 (2,030) |
-25% |
1049 |
85.6 |
Black Swan |
FoxSrchlght |
2.1 (1,980) |
-37% |
1069 |
99.3 |
Dilemma |
Uni |
1.0 (800) |
-70% |
1242 |
47.6 |
Tangled |
BV |
.77 (980) |
-58% |
784 |
193.3 |
Yogi Bear |
WB |
.74 (670) |
-67% |
1111 |
96.6 |
Blue Valentine |
TWC |
.57 (1,450) |
-28% |
393 |
8.2 |
Tron: Legacy |
BV |
.55 (1,510) |
-60% |
364 |
169.7 |
127 Hours |
FoxSrchlght |
.54 (1,500) |
-50% |
359 |
16.8 |
Biutiful |
Roadside |
.52 (2,740) |
-19% |
190 |
2.2 |
The Company Men |
TWC |
.51 (1,840) |
-7% |
277 |
3 |
Barney’s Version |
eOne/SPC |
.44 (4,400) |
-11% |
119 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) |
$144.10 |
|
|
|
|
% Change (Last Year) |
32% |
|
|
|
|
% Change (Last Week) |
73% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Also debuting/expanding |
|
|
|
|
|
Patiala House |
Hari |
.35 (4,400) |
|
80 |
0.35 |
Another Year |
Sony Classics |
.34 (1,970) |
-23% |
236 |
2.2 |
The Illusionist |
Sony Classics |
.32 (1,540) |
70% |
205 |
1.15 |
Cedar Rapids |
FoxSrchlght |
.30 (20,150) |
|
15 |
0.3 |
2011 Oscar Shorts |
Magnolia |
.24 (3,880) |
|
61 |
0.24 |
Mooz-lum |
Peace-Films |
.13 (12,000) |
|
11 |
0.13 |
Gaganam |
Big Pictures |
96,700 (6,400) |
|
16 |
0.1 |
Bulong |
ABS |
25,300 (4,210) |
|
6 |
0.03 |
Poetry |
Kino |
18,300 (6,100) |
|
3 |
0.02 |
Payanam |
Big Pictures |
15,400 (1,490) |
|
9 |
0.02 |
Vidal Sassoon: The Movie |
Phase 4 |
13,800 (13,800) |
|
1 |
0.01 |
Carancho |
Strand |
12,900 (4,300) |
|
3 |
0.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 – Feb. 10, 2011) |
|
|
|
|
Distributor (releases) |
Gross |
Market Share |
|
|
|
Paramount (7) |
184.7 |
20.60% |
|
|
|
Sony (8) |
157.6 |
17.50% |
|
|
|
Universal (5) |
121.9 |
13.60% |
|
|
|
Buena Vista (3) |
83.9 |
9.40% |
|
|
|
Warner Bros. (10) |
81.3 |
9.10% |
|
|
|
Weinstein Co. (3) |
78.8 |
8.80% |
|
|
|
Fox Searchlight (2) |
62.4 |
6.90% |
|
|
|
Fox (4) |
46.6 |
5.20% |
|
|
|
Relativity (2) |
24.5 |
2.70% |
|
|
|
CBS (2) |
22.6 |
2.50% |
|
|
|
Alliance (5) |
5.3 |
0.60% |
|
|
|
Other * (49) |
27.7 |
3.10% |
|
|
|
|
897.3 |
100.00% |
|
|
|
Tags: 127 Hours, Barney's Version, Biutiful, Black Swan, Blue Valentine, Dilemma, Gnomeo and Juliet, just go with it, justin bieber: never say never, No Strings Attached, Sanctum, Tangled, The Company Men, The Eagle, The Fighter, The Green Hornet, The King's Speech, The Mechanic, The Rite, the roommate, Tron - Legacy, True Grit, Yogi Bear
Posted in MCN Originals, MCN Weekend, Movie City News, The Weekend Report | 1 Comment »
Sunday, February 6th, 2011
Where Have All the Avids Gone …
Long Time Passing
The debut of The Roommate led an anemic field at the weekend box office with an estimated $15.5 million. Second ranked was another newcomer – the 3D adventure Sanctum – with a disappointing $9.2 million.
Anticipating steep Sunday admission drops from the Super Bowl both national and niche debuts were generally directed to strong single quadrant audiences. Opening day-and-date with Mainland China, the Sino version of What Women Want generated a dull $58,900 at 29 venues; the family oriented The Adventures of Adele Blanc-Sec struggled to $51,300 at 27 screens in Quebec; and the inspirational Midway to Heaven was stuck in the middle with $42,400 at 10 playdates. Best of the new exclusives was American indie Cold Weather with a $14,800 tally on a single screen.
Continuing the first quarter cold spell ticket sales experienced double digit declines that have left both the exhibition and distribution sectors in a very blue funk.
The Roommate, a remake in all but name and credit of Single White Female, bucked recent viewing trend with exit polls showing strong younger appeal. Its 65% female crowd was not unexpected and its 61% under 21 makeup was encouraging … at least for an opening weekend gross that was largely predicted by tracking pundits.
Sanctum wasn’t as lucky with, again, a distaff skewing set of viewers, albeit largely plus 25s. The sizzle was all about its stereoscopic qualities and reviewers skewered its artistic elements. Still tracking indicated a bow of $10 million to $12 million that audiences weren’t willing to make come true.
Overall business fell short of $90 million for a 20% decline from the prior weekend. It was a slightly steeper 22% drop from 2010 when the $30.5 million opening of Dear John toppled Avatar’s reign with that film taking the bridesmaid spot with $22.8 million.
The industry is now inured to Super Bowl’s clobber but the more serious concern is the sudden disappearance of the avid audience that falls between ages 17 and 25. Recent movie releases are largely being blamed with no relief in sight for the first quarter of 2011 and certainly no possibility of Oscar fare bringing up the slack.
The official line is that the avids will return but somewhere in the dark recesses are concerns that a significant portion of that audience has opted out of the theatrical experience in favor of new technologies and platforms. Theater owners are buckling down for additional experimentation in “windows” that will cut into their bottom line.
Historically the majors have been slow to respond to change and if logically an aging population would suggest adopting more mature content, don’t expect that penny to drop for three to five years. Independents could move in to fill the gap though one can be certain their deep pocket brethren will out spend them to ensure market share dominance rather than address real business issues.
___________________________________
Weekend Estimates – February 4-6, 2011
Title |
Distributor |
Gross (average) |
% change * |
Theaters |
Cume |
The Roommate |
Sony |
15.5 (6,130) |
NEW |
2534 |
15.5 |
Sanctum |
Uni |
9.2 (3,300) |
NEW |
2787 |
9.2 |
No Strings Attached |
Par |
8.3 (2,730) |
-38% |
3050 |
51.7 |
The King’s Speech |
Weinstein Co. |
8.1 (3,150) |
-27% |
2584 |
83.9 |
The Green Hornet |
Sony |
6.3 (2,070) |
-44% |
3033 |
87.4 |
The Rite |
WB |
5.6 (1,880) |
-62% |
2985 |
23.7 |
The Mechanic |
CBS |
5.3 (1,970) |
-53% |
2704 |
20 |
True Grit |
Par |
4.8 (1,650) |
-36% |
2902 |
155 |
Dilemma |
Uni |
3.4 (1,340) |
-40% |
2545 |
45.7 |
Black Swan |
Fox Searchlight |
3.4 (1,710) |
-34% |
1977 |
95.9 |
The Fighter |
Par/Alliance |
2.9 (1,730) |
-27% |
1662 |
82.4 |
Yogi Bear |
WB |
2.3 (1,260) |
-28% |
1807 |
95.4 |
Tangled |
BV |
1.8 (1,330) |
-28% |
1369 |
192 |
127 Hours |
Fox Searchlight |
1.4 (1,510) |
-36% |
899 |
15.7 |
Tron: Legacy |
BV |
1.4 (1,320) |
-46% |
1040 |
168.8 |
Little Fockers |
Uni |
1.2 (910) |
-52% |
1355 |
146.5 |
Blue Valentine |
Weinstein Co. |
.79 (1,760) |
-33% |
450 |
7.3 |
From Prada to Nada |
Lionsgate |
.69 (2,640) |
-38% |
261 |
2 |
Biutiful |
Roadside |
.63 (3,560) |
38% |
177 |
1.4 |
Country Strong |
Sony |
.61 (640) |
-52% |
948 |
19.8 |
The Company Men |
Weinstein Co. |
.55 (2,380) |
-17% |
231 |
2.3 |
Chronicles of Narnia: Dawn Treader |
Fox |
.53 (1,030) |
-40% |
514 |
102.6 |
Gulliver’s Travels |
Fox |
.67 (1,030) |
-42% |
495 |
41.14 |
Another Year |
Sony Classics |
.48 (2,030) |
55% |
236 |
1.7 |
Barney’s Version |
eOne/Sony Classics |
.43 (3,570) |
-13% |
119 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) |
|
$84.70 |
|
|
|
% Change (Last Year) |
|
-22% |
|
|
|
% Change (Last Week) |
|
-20% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Also debuting/expanding |
|
|
|
|
|
The Illusionist |
Sony Classics |
.19 (2,850) |
46% |
68 |
0.77 |
Incendies |
eOne/Seville |
.14 (3,050) |
30% |
47 |
2.8 |
Rabbit Hole |
Lionsgate |
.12 (890) |
-32% |
131 |
1.7 |
What Women Want |
China Lion |
58,900 (2,030) |
|
29 |
0.06 |
Adele Blanc-Sec |
Seville |
51,300 (1,900) |
|
27 |
0.05 |
Midway to Heaven |
Excel |
42,400 (4,240) |
|
10 |
0.04 |
Cold Weather |
IFC |
14,800 (14,800) |
|
1 |
0.01 |
Troubadours |
PBS |
13,200 (4,400) |
|
3 |
0.01 |
Waiting Forever |
FreeStyle |
8,700 (2,900) |
|
3 |
0.01 |
The Other Woman |
IFC |
5,800 (2,900) |
|
2 |
0.01 |
Top Domestic Grossers – 2010
Distributor |
Gross |
Market Share |
Paramount (7) |
163.5 |
20.90% |
Sony (7) |
130.7 |
16.70% |
Universal (4) |
103.7 |
13.30% |
Buena Vista (3) |
79.6 |
10.20% |
Warner Bros. (10) |
70.1 |
9.00% |
Weinstein Co. (3) |
66.2 |
8.50% |
Fox Searchlight (2) |
55.7 |
7.10% |
Fox (4) |
45.1 |
5.80% |
Relativity (2) |
24.1 |
3.10% |
CBS (2) |
15.1 |
1.90% |
Alliance (5) |
4.9 |
0.60% |
Other * (46) |
22.3 |
2.90% |
781 |
100.00% |
* none greater than 0.4% |
Tags: 127 Hours, Adele Blanc-Sec, Another Year, Barney's Version, Biutiful, Black Swan, Blue Valentine, Chronicles of Narnia: Dawn Treader, Cold Weather, Country Strong, Dilemma, From Prada to Nada, Gulliver's Travels, incendies, Little Fockers, Midway to Heaven, No Strings Attached, Rabbit Hole, Sanctum, Tangled, The Company Men, The Fighter, The Green Hornet, The Illusionist, The King's Speech, The Mechanic, The Other Woman, The Rite, the roommate, Tron - Legacy, Troubadours, True Grit, Waiting Forever, What Women Want, Yogi Bear
Posted in MCN Originals, MCN Weekend, Movie City News, The Weekend Report | Comments Off on The Weekend Report – February 6
Sunday, February 6th, 2011
The Roommate|15.5|NEW|15.5
Sanctum|9.2|NEW|9.2
No Strings Attached|8.3|-38%|8.3
The King’s Speech|8.1|-27%|83.9
The Green Hornet|6.3|-44%|87.4
The Rite|5.6|-62%|23.7
The Mechanic|5.3|-53%|20
True Grit|4.8|-36%|155
The Dilemma|3.4|-40%|45.7
Black Swan|3.4|-34%|95.9
Tags: Black Swan, Dilemma, No Strings Attached, Sanctum, The Green Hornet, The King's Speech, The Mechanic, The Rite, the roommate, True Grit
Posted in Estimates, MCN Weekend | Comments Off on Weekend Estimates — February 6
Saturday, February 5th, 2011
The Roommate |6.3|2534|NEW|6.3
Sanctum |3.5|2787|NEW|3.5
No Strings Attached|2.9|3050|-34%|46.3
The King’s Speech|2.3|2584|-20%|78.1
The Rite |1.9|2985|-64%|20
The Mechanic|1.8|2704|-51%|16.5
The Green Hornet|1.7|3033|-40%|82.8
True Grit|1.4|2902|-28%|151.7
Dilemma |1.1|2545|-35%|43.4
Black Swan|1|1977|-26%|93.5
Also Debuting
What Women Want|25,200|29||25,200
Midway to Heaven|17,900|10||17,900
Adele Blanc-Sec|14,300|27||14,300
Cold Weather|5,100|1||5,100
Troubadours|4,100|3||4,100
Waiting Forever|2,800|3||2,800
The Other Woman|1,800|2||1,800
* in millions
Tags: Adele Blanc-Sec, Black Swan, Cold Weather, Dilemma, Midway to Heaven, No Strings Attached, Sanctum, The Green Hornet, The King's Speech, The Mechanic, The Other Woman, The Rite, the roommate, Troubadours, True Grit, Waiting Forever, What Women Want
Posted in Friday Box Office Estimates, MCN Originals, MCN Weekend, Movie City News | Comments Off on Friday Estimates — February 5
Saturday, January 22nd, 2011
No Strings Attached|7.2|3018|NEW|7.2
The Green Hornet|5|3584|-55%|50.4
The Dilemma|3|2943|-52%|26.6
The King’s Speech |2.1|1680|-43%|51.6
True Grit|2.1|3464|-37%|132.7
Black Swan|1.7|2407|-28%|79.1
Little Fockers|1.2|2979|-41%|138
The Fighter |1.2|2275|-20%|69.7
Tron: Legacy|0.9|2018|-35%|160.5
Yogi Bear |0.75|2510|-29%|85.6
Also Debuting
The Way Back|0.39|659||0.39
The Company Men|0.17|106||0.17
Dhobi Ghat|0.13|79||0.13
Evangelion: 2.0|7,950|15||7,950
Un Vie Qui Commence|4,700|13||4,700
L’Autre Dumas|3,800|8||3,800
The Woodmans|1,800|1||1,800
* in millions
Tags: Black Swan, Dhobi Ghat, Dilemma, Evangelion: 2.0, L'Autre Dumas, Little Fockers, No Strings Attached, The Company Men, The Fighter, The Green Hornet, The King's Speech, the way back, The Woodmans, Tron - Legacy, True Grit, Un Vie Qui Commence, Yogi Bear
Posted in Friday Box Office Estimates, MCN Originals, MCN Weekend, Movie City News | Comments Off on Friday Estimates — January 22
Sunday, January 16th, 2011
Weekend Estimates – January 14-16, 2010
Title |
Distributor |
Gross (average) |
% change * |
Theaters |
Cume |
The Green Hornet |
Sony |
33.2 (9,270) |
NEW |
3115 |
33.2 |
Dilemma |
Uni |
17.4 (5,910) |
NEW |
2940 |
17.4 |
True Grit |
Par |
10.8 (3,130) |
-26% |
3459 |
126 |
The King’s Speech |
Weinstein Co. |
9.0 (5,810) |
40% |
1543 |
44.5 |
Black Swan |
Fox Searchlight |
8.0 (3,450) |
-1% |
2328 |
72.9 |
Little Fockers |
Uni |
7.3 (2,140) |
-46% |
3394 |
134.4 |
Tron: Legacy |
BV |
5.7 (2,350) |
-43% |
2439 |
157 |
Yogi Bear |
WB |
5.3 (1,950) |
-21% |
2702 |
82 |
The Fighter |
Par/Alliance |
5.1 (2,100) |
-28% |
2414 |
65.7 |
Season of the Witch |
Relativity |
4.5 (1,600) |
-57% |
2827 |
18 |
Tangled |
BV |
4.0 (1,940) |
-22% |
2048 |
181 |
Country Strong |
Sony |
3.6 (2,550) |
-51% |
1424 |
13.2 |
Chronicles of Narnia: Dawn Treader |
Fox |
2.3 (1,340) |
-51% |
1704 |
98 |
Gulliver’s Travels |
Fox |
2.0 (1,220) |
-56% |
1666 |
37.6 |
The Tourist |
Sony |
1.6 (1,150) |
-57% |
1420 |
64.2 |
Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows, Part 1* |
WB |
1.4 (1,460) |
-42% |
1507 |
289.8 |
Blue Valentine |
Weinstein Co. |
1.4 (5,910) |
93% |
230 |
2.8 |
Megamind |
Par |
.62 (1,820) |
125% |
341 |
145.4 |
The Heart Specialist |
FreeStyle |
.48 (1,140) |
NEW |
422 |
0.48 |
Yamla Pagla Deewana |
Eros |
.43 (5,270) |
NEW |
82 |
0.43 |
How Do You Know |
Sony |
.41 (660) |
-78% |
615 |
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) |
|
$123.70 |
|
|
|
% Change (Last Year) |
|
-27% |
|
|
|
% Change (Last Week) |
|
15% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Also debuting/expanding |
|
|
|
|
|
Barney’s Version * |
Sony Class/eOne |
.37 (8,270) |
259% |
45 |
0.8 |
Rabbit Hole |
Lions gate |
.26 (2,620) |
138% |
100 |
0.9 |
Somewhere |
Focus |
.25 (4,680) |
52% |
53 |
0.73 |
Mirapakaya |
Bharat |
.23 (8,820 |
|
26 |
0.13 |
Another Year |
Sony Classics |
.12 (9,380) |
40% |
13 |
0.34 |
Anaganga o Dheerudu |
Blue Sky |
66,500 (2,290) |
|
29 |
0.07 |
The Illusionist |
Sony Classics |
63,400 (9,060) |
92% |
7 |
0.25 |
Aadukalam |
Big Cinemas |
25,600 (4,270) |
|
6 |
0.03 |
Kaavalan |
Big Cinemas |
21,800 (1,680) |
|
13 |
0.02 |
Siruthai |
Bharat |
18,200 (2,020) |
|
9 |
0.02 |
Every Day |
Image |
8,800 (2,930) |
|
3 |
0.01 |
Ong Bak 3 |
Magnolia |
5,500 (1,830) |
|
3 |
0.01 |
A Somewhat Gentle Man |
Strand |
5,100 (5,100) |
|
1 |
0.01 |
Tags: a somewhat gentle man, Aadukalam, Anaganga o Dheerudu, Another Year, Barney's Version, Black Swan, Blue Valentine, Chronicles of Narnia: Dawn Treader, Country Strong, Dilemma, Every Day, Gulliver's Travels, Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows, how do you know, Kaavalan, Little Fockers, Megamind, Mirapakaya, Ong Bak 3, Part 1, Rabbit Hole, Season of the Witch, Siruthai, Somewhere, Tangled, The Fighter, The Green Hornet, The Heart Specialist, The Illusionist, The King's Speech, The Tourist, Tron - Legacy, True Grit, Yamla Pagla Deewana, Yogi Bear
Posted in MCN Originals, MCN Weekend, Movie City News, The Weekend Report | Comments Off on The Weekend Report — January 16