December 23

A Pre-Toronto Look at the 2009/10 Field | November 4, The Season Begins | November 11 | November 18 | November 25 | December 2 | December 9 | December 18 | December 23 | January 7 | January 14 | January 28 | February 2 | February 11 | February 25 | March 5
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1
1
 Up in the Air
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
1
3
2
3
1
13
120
2
3
 Avatar
5
2
1
1
3
4
3
2
1
3
2
1
1
1
3
13
117
3
2
 The Hurt Locker
3
3
3
3
1
2
2
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
2
13
113
4
4
 Precious
1
4
5
6
4
9
4
4
5
4
5
4
4
6
4
13
80
5
5
 Inglourious Basterds
9
8
4
4
8
5
5
5
4
5
7
5
7
4
5
13
75
6
7
 Up
4
5
6
7
6
6
7
6
6
7
6
9
6
7
6
13
59
7
6
 Invictus
7
6
7
5
3
7
6
7
8
9
4
6
5
5
7
12
54
8
9
 An Education
8
7
8
9
10
8
8
8
7
6
8
8
8
8
9
13
41
9
8
 Nine
6
–
9
8
5
3
9
9
10
12
–
7
9
–
10
9
29
10
10
 A Serious Man
10
10
–
–
7
–
10
10
12
8
–
–
10
–
8
6
14
–
–
 The Last Station
–
–
–
–
6
–
—
12
9
11
–
–
13
9
–
2
4
–
–
 The Messenger
–
–
—
—
–
–
9
–
–
10
–
–
12
–
–
2
3
–
–
 A Single Man
–
9
–
––
––
10
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2
3
–
–
 District 9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
10
–
10
–
2
2
One Vote Wonders
–
–
 Crazy Heart
–
–
–
––
9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
1
2
–
–
 This is It
–
–
–
10
—
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
1
1
12
12
 The Blind Side
–
9
10
10
–
–
9
–
9
13
–
11
–
–
–
1
1
–Falling Off The Chart
11
11
The Lovely Bones
–
10
––
–
–
–
10
9
9
12
–
12
10
13
13
0
–
–
–
 It’s Complicated
–
–
–
11
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
10
–
–
–
0
–

Is Up In The Air better than 50% to win Best Picture at this time?
–
–
N
N
N
Y
Y
N
N
Y
–
Y
N
N
Y
Is The Hurt Locker better than 50% to win Best Picture at this time?
–
–
N
N
N
Y
N
N
N
N
–
Y
N
N
N
Is Avatar better than 50% to win Best Picture at this time?
–
N
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
Y
N
–
Y
N
Y
N
Is Nine still a legit possibility to win Best Picture?
–
N
N
N
N
Y
N
N
N
N
–
N
N
N
N
Is Inglourious Basterds the hard-driving dark horse for BP at this time?
–
–
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
Y
N
–
Y
N
Y
N
Can you imagine a film aside from the five in Questions 1-5 winning BP as of this time?
–
Y
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
N
Y
–
N
N
N
N
Are Mo’Nique‘s chances to win being hurt in a real way by bad media buzz at this time?
–
Y
N
N
N
Y
N
N
N
N
–
N
N
N
N
Can an actor doing a motion capture performance, like Zoe Saldana in Avatar, get a shot for an acting nomination at this time?
–
N
N
N
Y
N
N
N
N
N
–
N
N
N
N
Do the “precursors” mean more with 10 BP slots?
–
N
N
N
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
–
N
N
Y
N
Do the “precursors” mean less with 10 BP slots?
–
N
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
Y
Y
–
Y
N
N
N
Has having 10 BP nominees made the season more exciting so far?
–
Y
Y
N
Y
N
N
Y
Y
N
–
Y
N
N
N

Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Anthony Breznican
…… USA Today
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Mark Olsen
…….LA Times
David Poland
…… MCN
Steve Pond
…… The Wrap
Sasha Stone
…… AwardsDaily.com
Sean Smith
…… Entertainment Weekly
Kris Tapley
…… In Contention
Anne Thompson
…… Thompson On Hollywood
Susan Wloszczyna
…… USA Today
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