Gurus o’ Gold: 3 Days From Nominations
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Lincoln DreamWorks/Disney |
1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 135 | |
| 2 | 3 |
Argo Warner Bros |
4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 118 | |
| 3 | 2 |
Zero Dark Thirty Sony Pictures |
2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 108 | |
| 4 | 4 |
Les Miserables Universal |
3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 97 | |
| 5 | 5 |
Silver Linings Playbook The Weinstein Company |
6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 93 | |
| 6 | 6 |
Life of Pi 20th Century Fox |
5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 75 | |
| 7 | 8 |
Django Unchained The Weinstein Company |
8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 37 | |||||
| 8 | 7 |
Beasts of the Southern Wild Fox Searchlight |
9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | |||||
| 9 | 9 |
Amour Sony Classics |
7 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 22 | |||||||||
| 10 | 10 |
Moonrise Kingdom Focus Features |
8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 16 | ||||||||
|
Skyfall |
10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The Intouchables |
8 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
The Master |
9 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Steven Spielberg Lincoln |
1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 65 |
| 2 | 3 |
Ben Affleck Argo |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | |
| 3 | 2 |
Kathryn BIgelow Zero Dark Thirty |
4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | 5 |
Ang Lee Life of Pi |
3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | ||||
| t5 |
David O. Russell Silver Linings Playbook |
5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 10 | |||||||
| t5 | 4 |
Tom Hooper Les Miserables |
3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||||||||
|
Michael Haneke Amour |
5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | ||||||||||||
|
Quentin Tarantino Django Unchained |
5 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Daniel Day-Lewis Lincoln |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 70 |
| 2 | t3 |
Denzel Washington Flight |
4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | 2 |
Hugh Jackman Les Miserables |
2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 37 | ||
| 4 | 5 |
Bradley Cooper Silver Linings Playbook |
5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 30 | ||
| 5 | t3 |
John Hawkes The Sessions |
3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 27 | |
|
Joaquin Phoenix The Master |
5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | |||||||||||||
|
Jean-Louis Trintignant Amour |
5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
Richard Gere Arbitrage |
0 | 0 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Jennifer Lawrence Silver Linings Playbook |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 64 | |
| 2 | 1 |
Jessica Chastain Zero Dark Thirty |
1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 62 | |
| 3 | 3 |
Marion Cotillard Rust and Bone |
4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 30 | |||
| 4 | 4 |
Naomi Watts The Impossible |
3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 24 | ||||
| 5 |
Emmanuelle Riva Amour |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | |||||||
| 5 |
Quvenzhané Wallis Beasts of the Southern Wild |
4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 8 | |||||||||||
|
Helen Mirren Hitchcock |
5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Rachel Weisz The Deep Blue Sea |
5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Anne Hathaway Les Miserables |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 69 | |
| 2 | 2 |
Sally Field Lincoln |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 55 | |
| 3 | 3 |
Helen Hunt The Sessions |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 42 | |
| 4 | 4 |
Amy Adams The Master |
4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | ||||||
| 5 | 5 |
Maggie Smith The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel |
4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 | |||||
|
Nicole Kidman The Paperboy |
5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
|
Ann Dowd Compliance |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
Jackie Weaver Silver Linings Playbook |
5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Judi Dench Skyfall |
4 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Tommy Lee Jones Lincoln |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 68 | |
| 2 | 3 |
Robert De Niro Silver Linings Playbook |
5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 44 | |
| t3 | 4 |
Alan Arkin Argo |
2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 37 | |
| t3 | 2 |
Philip Seymour Hoffman The Master |
4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 37 | |||
| 5 |
Javier Bardem Skyfall |
5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | |||||||||
|
Christoph Waltz Django Unchained |
3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | |||||||||||||
| 5 |
Leonardo DiCaprio Django Unchained |
5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Samuel L Jackson Django Unchained |
5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Matthew McConaughey Magic Mike |
5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
I honestly think if THE MASTER’s chances have droped in the other categories, they’ve faded for Phillip Hoffman, too. I’ll be much more surprised to hear his name read Thursday than Sam Jackson, DeCaprio or even Waltz. I really sense DJANGO has been gaining traction, except for the two and a half people in the country who take Spike Lee and Armond White seriously.
“Zero Dark Forty?” I didn’t know there was a sequel!
(I’ll look stupid when this is corrected, but it’s there as I type.)
Best pic – zero dark thirty
best director – katheryn bigalow
best actor – daniel day lewis
best actress – jennifer lawrence
best sup. actor – philip seymore hoffman
best sup. actress – anne hathawy
Seymour, SeyMOUR. I swear, I see this name spelled incorrectly more often than not in these comments sections.
Marion Cotillard deserves being nominated to the Academy Awards for her wonderful and superb performance in Rust and Bone
Dude, Joaquin not being nominated for ‘The Master’ will go down as one of the biggest oscar snubs of all time.
Does anyone seriously think that Denzel deserves a nomination over Phoenix? or FUCKING HUGH JACKMAN. Bring on thursday so I can be done with this.
Why does it not surprise me that someone who begins his posting with “dude” cherry picks out the black man and the guy who sings all the way through a “fruity” musical (both stronger than Bradley Cooper in SLPB) as unworthy of a nod opposite Man’s-Man Joaquin P?
I think the Master and the Sessions have faded across the board, if the support is there for Hawkes and Hunt I’ll be surprised, but they’re afterthoughts in categories where passion counts, and the passion may help Hoffman Adams and Phoenix, but I would say all three are on the bubble, and none are locked.
I think six nominees, outside shot at seven, slightly less likely we get five nominees, very doubtful we repeat nine nominees or hit ten or eight.
1. Lincoln
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Argo
4. Les Miserables
5. Django Unchained
6. Life of Pi
I’d put passion votes like Beasts, Moonrise, Master ahead of the middling mediocre SLP actually, it’d be my ninth choice.
1. Spielberg
2. Bigelow
3. Tarantino
4. Hooper
5. Affleck/Lee/Russell/Anderson/Haneke/Zeitlen
I’ll go with Affleck, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a “shocking” snub in favor of DGA nommed Lee; I’m more surprised that the pundits have not discussed this possibility, you only need what 20 or 30 votes to get a nomination in this category?
1. DDL
2. Jackman
3. Washington
4. Cooper
5. Trintigent
I like Hawkes performance better than my 4 and 5, but again, I think his film has become an afterthought. would love a Jamie Foxx surprise here.
1. Chastain
2. Lawrence
3. Riva
4. Wallis
5. Cotillard
I have a hard time believing we’ll get two frenchies in the lineup, but it’s that or suffer through watching The Impossible, which just sounds awful to have to force myself to undergo that sort of thing, so I’ve kept off Watts because I haven’t seen her work.
1. Jones
2. Arkin
3. Dicaprio
4. Jackson
5. DeNiro/Waltz/Hoffman
I’ll go with the safe bet DeNiro, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him or Hoffman miss for the final slot. Jackson’s was the most impressive and perhaps memorable performance of Django and I think he’s in like the girl from Crazy Heart. Sometimes it matters what is unforgettable in a film, not who has buzz.
1. Hathaway
2. Field
3. Smith
4. Hunt
5. Kidman/Adams
in any event, I think the cinematography and editing categories are some of the most interesting this year, its too bad pundits and forums always ignore the arts categories for the cattle categories.
Cinematography
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Les Miserables
5. Lincoln
The Master is obviously missing from this list, but the oscars doesn’t nominate every B&W film for the novelty of being B&W, nor will they nominate a 70mm film for the novelty of being 70mm. it was lovely cinematography, especially nice in a 70mm print, but it wasn’t anything special. a very competitive category with Django, Beasts, Master, Anna Karenina, DKR, Prometheus, Moonrise all possible spoilers. It was a brilliant year of camerawork, even without the novelty/gimmick cinematography of Hobbit and The Master making it a ‘headline’ year for the discipline.
Editing
1. Argo
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Lincoln
4. Django Unchained
5. Les Miserables
Not as banner a year for editing, but still a tight race, funny they’re all such long films this year. I’m confident in the top four and would prefer to see Looper, Anna Karenina or Beasts in the fifth slot, though Les Mis handled things wonderfully, imo, the shortest feeling long movie of the year, for me. I imagine that SLP and Life of Pi are the next most likely films here, would be disappointed if either of them showed up here. I really hope more poorly edited/paced films like Master, Skyfall or DKR don’t earn a nomination here.
Solid preditx, Movielocke, but perhaps you’re forgetting the “Harvey factor” when it comes to SLP. If he can get CHOCOLAT nominated, he can do pretty much anything he sets out to do. (Too bad he hasn’t gone all out for some of his tough-sell films that really deserved it, like I’M NOT THERE.)
Has anyone taken notice of James Badge Dale’s one-scene, spectacular performance in “Flight”? He played the cancer patient taking time out for a smoke in the stairwell of the hospital where Denzel Washington’s character is recuperating from the crash. One of the most riveting moments of this movie!
Anne Hathaway is potentially competing against Maggie Smith and is favored to win. Awards are f*cking nonsense.
I will be sick if Joaquin Phoenix is nominated for his extremely overrated stint in that horrible piece of crap “The Master”. I would have walked out on it if there had been anybody else in the theater. What a disappointment. What is with the bent-over posture and the arm gestures? He was so unattractive, yet they were trying to make us believe that women could not keep their hands off him. And that near to last scene with Hoffman singing to him, what was that? Tops on my list of worst of 2012.
“Zero Dark Forty?” I didn’t know there was a sequel!