Gurus o’ Gold: At The End Of November…
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Lincoln DreamWorks/Disney |
3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 127 | |
| 2 | 4 |
Les Miserables Universal |
1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 118 | |
| 3 | 2 |
Argo Warner Bros |
2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 114 | |
| 4 | 3 |
Silver Linings Playbook The Weinstein Company |
6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 98 | |
| 5 | 6 |
Zero Dark Thirty Sony Pictures |
5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 86 | |
| 6 | 5 |
Life of Pi 20th Century Fox |
4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 79 | |
| 7 | 9 |
Amour Sony Classics |
9 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 25 | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 |
The Master The Weinstein Company |
6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 24 | ||||||||
| 9 | 8 |
Beasts of the Southern Wild Fox Searchlight |
8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23 | ||||||||
|
Django Unchained |
7 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 13 | |||||||||||
| 10 |
Moonrise Kingdom Focus Features |
8 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 13 | |||||||||||
|
The Impossible |
7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 13 | |||||||||||||
| 10 |
Flight Paramount |
7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 12 | |||||||||||
|
The Hobbit |
9 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 9 | ||||||||||||||
|
Skyfall |
10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 6 | |||||||||||||
|
Anna Karenina |
8 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
|
The Dark Knight Rises |
10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The Sessions |
9 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Daniel Day-Lewis Lincoln |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 70 | |
| 2 |
Hugh Jackman Les Miserables |
2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 36 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Denzel Washington Flight |
5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 35 | |||
| 4 | 2 |
Joaquin Phoenix The Master |
4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 29 | |||
| 5 | 4 |
John Hawkes The Sessions |
3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 28 | |||
| 5 |
Bradley Cooper Silver Linings Playbook |
4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | ||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Saraj Sharma Life of Pi |
4 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jean-Louis Trintignant Amour |
5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Jennifer Lawrence Silver Linings Playbook |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 64 | |
| 2 | 5 |
Jessica Chastain Zero Dark Thirty |
3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | |
| 3 | 2 |
Marion Cotillard Rust and Bone |
4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 31 | ||
| 4 | 3 |
Quvenzhané Wallis Beasts of the Southern Wild |
6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19 | ||||||
| 5 |
Emmanuelle Riva Amour |
4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | ||||||||
|
Naomi Watts The Impossible |
1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | ||||||||||||
| 4 |
Helen Mirren Hitchcock |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | |||||||||
|
Maggie Smith Quartet |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
|
Meryl Streep Hope Springs |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
|
Melanie Lynskey Hello I Must Be Going |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
|
Mary Elizabeth Winstead Smashed |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Keira Knightley Anna Karenina |
5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Anne Hathaway Les Miserables |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 68 | |
| 2 | 3 |
Sally Field Lincoln |
3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 47 | |
| 3 | 1 |
Helen Hunt The Sessions |
2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 44 | |||
| 4 | 4 |
Amy Adams The Master |
3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 25 | ||||
| 5 | 5 |
Maggie Smith The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel |
5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 11 | |||||||
|
Jackie Weaver Silver Linings Playbook |
5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
|
Kelly Reilly Flight |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
Samantha Barks Les Miserables |
5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Gloria Rueben Lincoln |
3 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jennifer Ehle Zero Dark Thirty |
4 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Judi Dench Skyfall |
5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Philip Seymour Hoffman The Master |
1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 53 | |||
| 2 | 2 |
Tommy Lee Jones Lincoln |
1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 52 | ||
| 3 | 4 |
Robert De Niro Silver Linings Playbook |
3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 38 | |||
| 4 | 3 |
Alan Arkin Argo |
2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 32 | ||||
| 5 | 5 |
Leonardo DiCaprio Django Unchained |
1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | ||||||||||
|
Eddie Redmayne Les Miserables |
4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | ||||||||||||
|
Ewan McGragor The Impossible |
5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||||||
|
Javier Bardem Skyfall |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
Russell Crowe Les Miserables |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Jason Clarke Zero Dark Thirty |
4 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Dwight Henry Beasts of the Southern Wild |
5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Steven Spielberg Lincoln |
2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 56 |
| 2 | 2 |
Ben Affleck Argo |
1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | 5 |
Tom Hooper Les Miserables |
4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 42 | ||
| 4 | 3 |
David O. Russell Silver Linings Playbook |
4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21 | |||||
| t5 | 4 |
Ang Lee Life of Pi |
3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19 | |||||
| t5 |
Kathryn BIgelow Zero Dark Forty |
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | |||||||
|
Michael Haneke Amour |
3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
|
Paul Thomas Anderson The Master |
5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Rank | Last Chart | Original Screenplay | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mark Boal Zero Dark Thirty |
1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 55 | ||
| 2 |
Paul Thomas Anderson The Master |
4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 43 | ||||
| 3 |
Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola Moonrise Kingdom |
2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 41 | ||||
| 4 |
Michael Haneke Amour |
3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 33 | ||||
| 5 |
Quentin Tarentino Django Unchained |
3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 23 | |||||
|
Rian Johnson Looper |
5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
MIddle of Nowhere Ava DuVernay |
4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
|
Martin McDonagh Seven Psychopaths |
4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Flight John Gaitins |
1 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
|
The intouchables Olivier Nakache/Eric Toledano |
4 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Adapted Screenplay | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tony Kushner Lincoln |
1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 60 | |
| 2 |
Chris Terrio Argo |
3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 48 | |
| 3 |
David O. Russell Silver Linings Playbook |
2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 47 | ||
| 4 |
David Magee Life of Pi |
4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | |||||||
| 5 |
William Nicholson Les Miserables |
5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 19 | |||||||
|
Lucy Alibar, Behn Zeitlin Beasts of the Southern Wild |
5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | |||||||
|
Perks of Being A Wallflower Stephen Chbosky |
4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel Ol Parker |
5 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Thank you for dating this chart! It’s annoying when other sites post charts without dating them.
Ms Stone really has some out-there guesses.
Why isn’t Hammonds filled in? He is in the Les Mis camp, yes? So what does his #1 do? Move Les Mis into first postion? Thanks.
‘The Master’ seems to have lost lots of steam, I’m wondering if it will even get a best pic nod at this point. I guess it may inspire the most #1 votes.
That would be great if you had 10 nominees to honor what turned out to be a surprisingly good year in film. But still I guess the jury’s out on ‘Django Unchained’ … ? Could that upset the rhythm of the awards season thus far?
Does anybody even think ‘Django…’ is gonna make waves with AMPAS? I’m still excited for it (*especially* with all the talk of on-set turmoil), but does anyone have a sense of its greatness besides an escalating Weinstein FYC advertising campaign? (I guess he would be the guy to know if it can do well, but still…)
Here’s hoping ‘Amour’ can snag some semi-surprise nominations in the major categories…
Marion Cotillard should be in first place, she gave the best female performance of this year.
Pete isn’t on the chart because he submitted this morning after the chart went up. He’ll be added over the weekend.
Might wanna fix the Best Pic chart. The rows of Django and Flight are overlapped.
Does it strike anyone else as odd that after three Jackson/Tolkien adaptations being massive Oscar magnets nobody seems to be predicting anything for the next one? Is everyone just over it? Does that portend mediocre BO?
Been reading from recently published Kushner’s Lincoln screenplay and it only made me respect what he and Spielberg accomplished even more. The screenplay is fantastic (and a bit shorter than I expected) but there is a lot of very very clever directing going on. And the film is so directly transportive and such a balancing act in avoiding stagy-ness. Great, great film.
Way too much faith has been lost in “The Sessions,” at least I hope that’s the case.
LINCOLN did not happen for me – at all. A movie about equality, and equal parts had zero unification.
Glad to see Middle of Nowhere here. The best subversion of expectation I’ve experienced this year on screen. Read the script a couple days ago and she’s got chops.
Dave’s Best Pic list has no #8.
Weirdly, in a not-exactly-jam-packed-with-contenders year, I don’t think Barbra Streisand is out of the question on the best actress long list. She’s surprisingly subtle and moving in “The Guilt Trip” and she’s really the main character. (On the other hand, not sure if she has a favorable — or any — profile with Oscar voters nowadays.)
Saw The Guilt Trip yesterday and I think Streisand is a contender (if enough voters see her). This is some of the best acting she has ever done. The way she uses her eyes is amazing. Extremely moving performance.