Gurus o’ Gold: 9 Days From The Big Show
Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Argo Warner Bros |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 68 | |
2 | 2 |
Lincoln DreamWorks/Disney |
2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 55 | |
3 | 3 |
Silver Linings Playbook The Weinstein Company |
3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 41 | |
4 | 4 |
Life of Pi 20th Century Fox |
4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 29 | ||
5 | 5 |
Zero Dark Thirty Sony Pictures |
5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||||||||
7 | 6 |
Les Miserables Universal |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | ||||||||||
6 | 7 |
Amour Sony Classics |
5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
8 | 9 |
Beasts of the Southern Wild Fox Searchlight |
5 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Potential Surprise Winners | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emanuele Riva Best Actress |
* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 9 | 9 | ||||||||
Michael Haneke Best Director |
* | * | * | * | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||
Robert DeNiro Best Actor |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
David O. Russell |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
Sally Field Bst Supporting Actress |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
Ang Lee Best Director |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Quentin Tarantino Original Screenplay |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Beasts of the Southern Wild Best Adapted Screenplay |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Skyfall Best Sound Mixing |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Naomi Watts Best Actress |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Kon-Tiki Best Foreign Language |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
How To Survive A Plague Best Documentary Feature |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Miachel Haneke Best Original Screenplay |
* | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Personal Wishes For Upsets | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moonrise Kingdom Best Screenplay |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
Hugh Jackman Best Actor |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
Jessica Chastain Best Actress |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
Roger Deakins Skyfall |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
David O. Russell |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
Alan Arkin Argo |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
Zero Dark Thirty Best Picture |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
Sally Field Best Supporting Actress |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Phillip Seymour Hoffman Best Actor |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Joaquin Phoenix Best Actor |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Adam & Dog Best Animated Short |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Life of Pi Best Picture |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Ang Lee Best Director |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
No Best Foreign Language |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Naomi Watts Best Actress |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Amour Best Picture |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Quvenzhane Wallis Best Supporting Actress |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Amy Adams Best Supporting Actress |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Frankenweenie Best Animated Feature |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Emanuelle Riva Best Actress |
* | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Has Social Media Made The Season Better? | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Different |
* | * | * | * | * | * | 6 | 6 | ||||||||||
Better |
* | * | * | * | 4 | 4 | ||||||||||||
Worse |
* | * | * | * | 4 | 4 |
Rank | Last Chart | Should AMPAS Go BAck To 5 Best Picture Nominees? | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No |
* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 9 | 9 | |||||||
Yes |
* | * | * | * | * | 5 | 5 |
Rank | Last Chart | Should The Show Date Be... | Breznican | Ellwood | Feinberg | Hammond | Howell | Karger | Olsen | Poland | Pond | Stone | Tapley | Thompson | Whipp | Wloszczyna | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Same Time, Roughly |
* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 8 | 8 | ||||||||
Weeks Earlier |
* | * | * | * | 4 | 4 | ||||||||||||
Even Later |
* | * | 2 | 2 |
Oscar is already stale. Should be no later than January.
I like your top 3 choices for potentially upset surprise winners. At this point in time I would pick these 3 to win, too. All of them are film veterans, and it’s been over 30 years since DeNiro won his second Oscar. Let the upsets begin!
Argo
– Russell for surprise
– Deakens for personal
– Social Media only makes things “worse” if you participate, since I don’t, it makes things no different. Want to have twitter stop ‘making things worse?’ then get off twitter. Simple.
– more than 5 nominees is much better
– The Oscars should be the week between the end of playoffs and the superbowl.
Love these, we are so close to the Oscars now!
Argo no doubt has this won, it’s a shame it didn’t at least let Lincoln win one other award to keep the race close.
Potential upsets:
Riva is probably the biggest likely upset, although she is quickly becoming a strong chance and Chastain would surprise me a lot more than her. I guess the Supporting Actor category is still a lottery – but I’d be surprised to see anyone other than TLJ/Waltz win.
My personal wish for an upset is probably in a smaller category like Best Animated Film, I’d love to see Frankenweenie get up over Brave and Wreck-It Ralph, both films I didn’t really like.
I love the commentary on Social Media – have found some fantastic discussion on there. Agreed with movielocke above, if you aren’t enjoying Twitter’s impact on the Oscar’s I would simply get off Twitter.
More than 5 nominees I’m still unsure about, but at least there’s more of a chance of films I like getting in.
I’m fine with the current Oscar date, does give other countries (like Australia!) the chance to see all the films before the ceremony.