MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

Good Knight and Good Luck

Movie going went batty as The Dark Knight exploded on the scene with an estimated $153.7 million in a record-breaking session. The frenzy almost obscured the feisty and impressive debut of Mamma Mia! that ranked second with $27.6 million while the monkey shines of Space Monkeys were largely ignored with a $7.3 million bow.

Specialized and limited openers included a good Bollywood circuit launch of Kismat Konnection of $260,000 and an encouraging $34,200 start on two for Transsiberian. Other exclusives ranged from good to poor with the best of the bunch repped by the French import Before I Forget that soloed to $8,600.

The enormity of The Dark Knight tracking was largely disbelieved within the industry with some initial estimates predicting slightly less than a $100 million opening weekend gross. However, as showtime loomed, the ante steadily climbed to a more representative range of between $140 million – $160 million. Advance ticket sales were moving at close to an all-time record with the picture representing a tad more than 80% of all pre-sales while the film itself corralled roughly 61% of the weekend box office tally.

Warner Bros. was projecting a marginally stronger 1% domestic start but regardless of what Monday actuals reveal, the margin should be sufficient to give the superhero sequel the best gross for both opening day and the biggest individual weekend debut. It also set an opening weekend high for Imax engagement of $6.2 million with those 94 engagements posting averages twice as potent as those at conventional sites. The studio is also anticipating that it will out-perform the previous Batman Returns in its first six days in domestic release.

Internationally The Dark Knight stepped out selectively in 20 Latin American and Austral-Asia nations to an estimated $40 million. Highlights included grosses of $13.5 in Australia, $5.7 million in Mexico and $3.5 million in Brazil. It also debuted in Hong Kong and Taiwan.

The potential potency of Mamma Mia! was signaled by international debuts in 12 countries last weekend that generated close to $25 million. Critics were grudgingly appreciative if derisive of the musical melodrama propelled by the sappy emotional beat of the bygone Abba repertoire. Regardless it proved to be effective counter-programming; drawing heavily on an older female crowd that failed to see the charm of Batman or The Joker.

Weekend box office ballooned to a record non-holiday tally of about $253 million. It was a 70% improvement from seven days earlier; 68% better than this frame last year; and 16% more than the prior peak set during the 2007 launch of The Pirates of the Caribbean finale. One year back the debut of I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry led all titles with $34.2 million while the debut of Hairspray ranked third with a Mamma Mia!-like bow of $27.5 million.

Space Chimps was also courting traction as a counter-programmer targeted at pre-teens and families. However, despite some positive critical response the result generated chump change.

The Dark Knight/Mamma Mia! wave only left hold over titles with 25% of the marketplace and that translated into most continuing titles experiencing more than 50% box office declines. Last weekend’s leader Hellboy II dipped a steeper 71% with niche titles such as Tell No One and The Wackness bucking the trend as they effectively orchestrated slow roll out strategies.

– Leonard Klady


Weekend Finals – July 18-20, 2008

Title Distrib Weekend % Change Theaters Cume Wks
1 New The Dark Knight WB 158,411,483 4366 158,411,483 1
2 New Mamma Mia! Uni 27,751,240 2976 27,751,240 1
3 2 Hancock Sony 14,040,178 -56% 3776 191,543,979 3
4 3 Journey to the Center of the Earth WB 12,340,435 -41% 2830 43,504,712 2
5 1 Hellboy II: The Golden Army Uni 10,117,815 -71% 3212 56,526,885 2
6 4 Wall-E BV 10,070,396 -46% 3310 182,732,709 4
7 New Space Chimps Fox 7,181,374 2511 7,181,374 1
8 5 Wanted Uni 5,072,805 -57% 2433 123,322,635 4
9 6 Get Smart WB 4,125,021 -43% 2135 119,608,695 5
10 8 Kung Fu Panda Par 1,860,854 -58% 1505 206,616,381 7
11 7 Meet Dave Fox 1,659,424 -68% 3011 9,398,409 2
12 11 Indiana Jones & Kingdom of Crystal Sk Par 955,846 -58% 757 312,569,461 9
13 10 Kit Kittredge: An American Girl Picturehouse 951,358 -59% 769 13,769,304 5
14 12 Sex and the City WB 721,152 -55% 515 149,870,455 8
15 9 The Incredible Hulk Uni 626,515 -73% 656 131,767,165 6
16 14 Iron Man Par 451,838 -52% 375 314,376,968 12
17 22 Tell No One Music Box 400,947 61% 55 1,057,050 3
18 13 You Don’t Mess with the Zohan Sony 365,667 -66% 261 97,736,720 7
19 New Kismat Konnection UTV 282,122 62 282,122 1
20 16 Mongel Picturehouse 257,411 -52% 195 4,867,490 7
21 18 Cruising Bar 2 Alliance 170,554 -39% 78 2,563,784 4
22 26 Sea Monsters: A Prehistoric Adventure nWave 168,658 -6% 46 16,011,239 42
23 20 What Happens in Vegas Fox 167,027 -37% 252 79,516,406 11
24 17 The Happening Fox 165,770 -63% 242 63,736,525 6
25 19 The Visitor Overture 160,251 -40% 133 8,817,732 15
26 23 The Wackness Sony Classics 150,676 -31% 34 742,785 3
27 21 Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian BV 140,139 -46% 167 139,640,838 10
28 28 Gonzo: Life & Work of Hunter Thomps Magnolia 121,748 -24% 57 679,262 3
29 24 Asterix aux jeux Olympiques Alliance 119,914 -44% 63 627,711 2
30 29 Speed Racer WB 112,698 -30% 200 43,740,375 11
31 25 The Strangers Uni/Alliance 103,670 -42% 192 52,534,295 8
32 33 Dolphins and Whales 3-D 3D Entertainment 87,278 -11% 13 3,261,094 23
33 15 The Love Guru Par 86,466 -84% 183 31,805,527 5
34 32 Brick Lane Sony Classics 83,330 -25% 48 547,649 5
35 30 Baby Mama Uni 77,240 -32% 150 60,269,340 13
36 34 Nim’s Island Fox 74,945 -18% 127 47,825,500 16
37 31 Made of Honor Sony 67,111 -41% 191 46,676,555 12
38 38 The Last Mistress IFC 66,579 -8% 26 392,896 4
39 35 Encounter at the End of the World Thinkfilm 65,900 -17% 39 479,501 6
40 27 Jaane Tu Ya Jaane Na UTV 57,122 -65% 29 539,857 3
41 39 Horton Hears a Who Fox 54,939 -22% 122 154,300,828 19
42 36 Forbidden Kingdom Lions Gate 54,715 -25% 145 52,896,830 14
43 50 U2 3D nWave 52,690 20% 8 8,880,139 26
44 47 Magnificent Desolation Imax 47,802 -3% 3 24,648,845 148
45 45 College Road Trip BV 47,665 -15% 72 45,527,847 20
46 43 Edge of Heaven Metropole 46,063 -21% 17 693,119 12
47 42 Roman de Gare IDP 45,564 -22% 30 1,448,734 13
48 37 Forgetting Sarah Marshall Uni 42,994 -41% 92 63,096,733 13
49 48 Space Station 3D Imax 40,429 -9% 3 75,879,676 327
50 41 The Fall Roadside Attract. 36,076 -48% 39 2,099,067 11
51 46 Up the Yangtze KinoS/Zeitgeist 35,299 -29% 18 1,084,185 24
52 New Transsiberian First Look 34,615 2 34,615 1
53 53 Deux jours a tuer Seville 32,526 -19% 8 102,642 2
54 59 Roving Mars BV 30,425 21% 6 9,231,686 130
55 44 Then She Found Me Thinkfilm/TVA 29,476 -48% 36 3,660,690 13
56 54 Before the Rains Roadside Attract. 29,168 -46% 22 860,325 11
57 49 Young@Heart Fox Searchlight 26,938 -39% 47 3,829,186 15
58 40 When Did You Last See Your Father Sony Classics 24,829 -64% 32 686,545 7
59 58 Deep Sea 3-D WB 21,076 -18% 8 35,750,996 125
60 61 Elsa & Fred Mitropoulos 20,447 -10% 15 92,394 4
61 64 Ready Tollywood 20,161 -2% 9 332,479 5
62 52 The Children of Huang Shi Sony Classics 18,818 -55% 29 691,581 9
63 51 Priceless IDP 18,119 -58% 29 1,793,558 17
Source: MCN/EDI

Estimates – July 18-20, 2008

Title Distributor Gross (averag % change Theaters Cume
The Dark Knight WB 153.7 (35,200) 4366 153.7
Mamma Mia! Uni 27.6 (9,260) 2976 27.6
Hancock Sony 14.2 (3,770) -56% 3776 191.7
Journey to the Center of the Earth WB 11.8 (4,180) -44% 2830 43
Hellboy II Uni 10.0 (3,120) -71% 3212 56.4
Wall-E BV 9.7 (2,940) -48% 3310 182.4
Space Chimps Fox 7.3 (2,910) 2511 7.3
Wanted Uni 5.0 (2,050) -58% 2433 123.2
Get Smart WB 4.0 (1,870) -45% 2135 119.5
Kung Fu Panda Par 1.8 (1,190) -60% 1505 206.5
Meet Dave Fox 1.6 (540) -59% 3011 9.4
Indiana Jones Par .97 (1,280) -57% 757 312.6
Kit Kittredge Picturehouse .89 (1,160) -61% 769 13.7
Sex and the City WB .73 (1,420) -54% 515 149.9
The Incredible Hulk Uni .61 (930) -74% 656 131.7
Iron Man Par .47 (1,250) -50% 375 314.4
Tell No One Music Box .34 (7,560) 38% 45 1
Kismat Konnection UTV .26 (3,990) 64 0.26
Don’t Mess with the Zohan Sony .25 (960) -76% 261 97.6
Mongol Picturehouse .25 (1,300) -52% 195 4.9
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $249.90
% Change (Last Year) 68%
% Change (Last Week) 70%
Also debuting/expanding
The Wackness Sony Classics .15 (3,710) -30% 41 0.74
The Visitor Overture .13 (1,340) -53% 94 8.8
Transsiberian First Look 34,200 (17,100) 2 0.03
Before I Forget Strand 8,600 (8,600) 1 0.01
Lou Reed’s Berlin Weinstein Co. 7,100 (3,550) 2 0.01
Kenny Xenon 4,400 (1,100) 4 0.01
Mad Detective IFC 2,500(2,500) 1 0.01
A Very British Gangster Anywhere Road 2,400 (1,200) 2 0.02

Domestic Market Share – To July 17, 2008

Distributor (releases) Gross Market Share
Paramount (12) 1103.6 20.90%
Warner Bros. (17) 762.8 14.40%
Fox (14) 663.7 12.60%
Sony (16) 660.5 12.50%
Universal (13) 627.1 11.80%
Buena Vista (10) 587.3 11.10%
Lions Gate (8) 204.1 3.90%
Fox Searchlight (5) 150.8 2.80%
Par Vantage (9) 71.9 1.40%
New Line (4) 61.8 1.10%
Focus (5) 60.1 1.10%
Miramax (5) 48.1 0.90%
MGM (9) 46.5 0.90%
Summit (2) 34.9 0.70%
Picturehouse (6) 30.4 0.60%
Overture (3) 29.5 0.60%
Other * (186) 146 2.70%
* none greater than 0.45% 5289.1 100.00%

Top Global Grossers – To July 17, 2008

Title * Distributor Gross
Indiana Jones & Kingdom of the Cryst Par 756,652,895
Iron Man Par/Marvel 567,050,743
Kung Fu Panda Par 449,997,246
Sex and the City WB/New Line 375,541,490
Hancock Sony 373,128,638
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Casp BV 355,733,143
Horton Hears a Who Fox 294,347,236
I Am Legend * WB 270,507,723
10,000 B.C. WB 269,309,372
National Treasure: Book of Secrets * BV 263,704,304
The Incredible Hulk Uni/Marvel 233,462,399
Jumper Fox 212,990,344
Bienvenue Chez les Ch’tis Pathe 210,523,187
What Happens in Vegas Fox 208,354,768
Wall-E BV 206,396,441
Wanted Uni 204,848,549
Juno * Fox/Mandate 202,277,218
The Bucket List WB 173,937,499
Alvin and the Chipmunks * Fox 172,113,649
Cloverfield Par 170,533,544
The Spiderwick Chronicles Par 162,824,435
Get Smart WB 162,702,730
27 Dresses Fox/Spyglass 159,179,479
21 Sony 157,751,876
Vantage Point Sony 151,609,342
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Klady

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It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon