Reflecting the Grammys and a few last guild votes before Oscar voting closes, consensus arrives in a few categories under the watching eyes of the Gurus, notably in the acting categories, and a sweep in Best Adapted Screenplay for BlacKkKlansman.
The Gurus remain unconvinced of a Bohemian Rhapsody surge, but there’s love for Rami Malek.
Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Roma |
1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 83 | ||
2 | 2 |
Green Book |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 79 | ||
3 | 3 |
BlacKkKlansman |
5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 53 | ||
4 | 4 |
The Favourite |
2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 48 | ||
6 | 5 |
Black Panther |
8 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 48 | ||
5 | 6 |
A Star Is Born |
6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 42 | ||
7 | 7 |
Bohemian Rhapsody |
3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | ||
8 | 8 |
Vice |
7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 14 |
Rank | Last Chart | Original Song | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Shallow A Star Is Born |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 60 | |
2 | 2 |
All The Stars Black Panther |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 43 | |
3 | 3 |
I'll Fight RBG |
4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 35 | |
4 | 4 |
The Place Where Lost Things Go Mary Poppins Returns |
3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 29 | |
5 | 5 |
When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings The Ballad of Buster Scruggs |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Original Screenplay | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
The Favourite |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 55 | ||
2 |
Green Book |
5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 44 | ||
3 |
Roma |
1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 37 | ||
4 |
First Reformed |
3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 24 | ||
5 |
Vice |
4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Adapted Screenplay | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BlacKkKlansman |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 60 | |||
If Beale Street Could Talk |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 44 | |||
Can You Ever Forgive Me? |
4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 34 | |||
A Star is Born |
3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 29 | |||
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 |
Rami Malek Bohemian Rhapsody |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 58 | |
2 | 1 |
Christian Bale Vice |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 49 | |
3 | 3 |
Bradley Cooper A Star Is Born |
4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 35 | |
4 | 4 |
Viggo Mortensen Green Book |
3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25 | |
5 | 5 |
Willem Dafoe At Eternity's Gate |
5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Mahershala Ali Green Book |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 59 | |
2 | 2 |
Richard E. Grant Can You Ever Forgive Me? |
4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 44 | |
3 | 3 |
Sam Elliott A Star Is Born |
2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 39 | |
4 | 4 |
Adam Driver BlacKkKlansman |
3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | |
5 | 5 |
Sam Rockwell Vice |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 13 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Glenn Close The Wife |
1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 58 | |
2 | 2 |
Olivia Colman The Favourite |
2‹ | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 44 | |
3 | 3 |
Lady Gaga A Star Is Born |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 38 | |
4 | 4 |
Yalitza Aparicio Roma |
4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | |
5 | 5 |
Melissa McCarthy Can You Ever Forgive Me |
5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Laffly | Morales | Patterson | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Regina King If Beale Street Could Talk |
3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 56 | |
2 | 3 |
Rachel Weisz The Favourite |
2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 43 | |
3 | 2 |
Amy Adams Vice |
1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 38 | |
4 | 4 |
Marina de Tavira Roma |
5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 26 | |
5 | 5 |
Emma Stone The Favourite |
4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 |
The Gurus, At Your Service
Thelma Adams: Author, Critic, Oscar Expert
Robyn Bahr: Freelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian)
Gregory Ellwood: The Playlist
Peter Howell: Toronto Star
Mark Johnson: Awards Circuit
Dave Karger: TCM, IMDb
Tomris Laffly: Freelance (RogerEbert.com, Time Out New York, Film Journal International)
Wilson Morales: BlackFilm.com
Michael Patterson: Michael’s Telluride Film Blog; Twitter; Facebook
Steve Pond: The Wrap
NathanielR: The Film Experience
Sasha Stone: Awards Daily
Jeff Sneider: Collider