By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com
Best Picture Chart
BEST PICTURE
|
|||||
Picture
|
Studio
|
Director
|
Stars |
Comment
|
|
The Nomination 90% Locks (in alphabetical order) | |||||
Dec 25
|
Nine |
TWC
|
Marshall
|
Day-Lewis
Et al |
In a thin year, getting over the post-production fights, looking like the front-runner |
May
|
Up |
Disney
|
Docter
Petersen |
–
|
Could the first animated film to get a BP nod in a year with an animated category get the win? |
The Nomination 80% Locks (in alphabetical order) | |||||
Dec 11
|
Invictus |
WB
|
Eastwood
|
Freeman
|
The Waiting Game… |
Nov 13 | Up In The Air |
Par
|
Reitman
|
Clooney
|
Very well liked already… a reflective comedy |
Nov 6
|
Precious |
LG
|
Daniels
|
Sidibe
‘Nique |
The race race |
Toronto Contenders Looking Likely | |||||
Oct 9
|
An Education |
SPC
|
Scherfig
|
Mulligan
Sarsgaard |
Belle Of The Ball |
Oct 2
|
A Serious Man |
Focus
|
Coens
|
Stuhlbarg
Kind |
It’s the Jewish Precious… but funny! |
Nov
|
A Single Man |
TWC
|
Ford
|
Firth
|
It’s the Gay Precious… but pretty! |
Serious Contenders To Fill The Last 3 Slots(in alphabetical order) | |||||
June
|
The Hurt Locker |
Sum
|
Bigelow
|
Renner
|
A great movie… will Summit spend to play? |
August
|
Inglourious Basterds |
TWC
|
Tarantino
|
Waltz
|
A more commercial film… but looking better and better as the “contenders” slide |
Sept 25
|
Coco Before Chanel |
SPC
|
Fontaine
|
Tautou
|
The strong small film for women…. could push out Streep’s Julia Child… or not |
Nov 13
|
The Fantastic Mr Fox |
Fox
|
Anderson
|
–
|
Fox Searchlight on it now! |
Dec 18 | Avatar |
Fox
|
Cameron
|
?
|
Is it a gamebreaker? |
The Still Blurry, Waiting For Focus | |||||
Dec 25?
|
The Lovely Bones |
Par/DW
|
Jackson
|
Weiss
Ronan Wahlberg Tucci |
Will get a late, limited release |
Nov 6
|
A Christmas Carol |
Dis
|
Zemeckis
|
Carrey
Oldman |
A breakthrough? |
Damaged Goods | |||||
Oct 2
|
Capitalism: A Love Story |
Over
|
Moore
|
–
|
Folks are trying to get excited, but privately are dissapointed |
Aug 7 | Julie & Julia |
Sony
|
Ephron
|
Streep
Adams |
A modest hit… seen as all about Streep… could rise if others fall |
Nov 25
|
The Road |
TWC
|
Hillcoat
|
Theron
Mortensen |
Not as problematic as righties claimed, but hard road for Oscar |
The Walking Dead Since July’s Chart | |||||
June
|
Tetro |
AmZ
|
Coppola
|
Gallo
Ehrenreich |
People heard something was coming… didn’t know it landed |
June
|
Cheri |
Mir
|
Frears
|
Pfeiffer
|
Commerical miss |
Aug 28
|
Taking Woodstock |
Focus
|
Lee
|
–
|
Commerical miss |
Sept 18 | The Burning Plain |
Mag
|
Arriaga
|
Theron
|
Too heavy for a theatrical…
|
Sept
|
Bright Star |
BB
|
Campion
|
Whishaw
Cornish |
DOR – Dead On Release |
2010
|
Shutter Island |
Par
|
Scorsese
|
DiCaprio
|
Moved to 2010 |
2010
|
Green Zone |
U
|
Greengrass
|
Damon
|
2010 |
The Commercial Chasers (by release date) | |||||
May
|
Star Trek |
Par
|
Abrams
|
Urban
|
Bloom off the rose with #4 summer finish |
July
|
Public Enemies |
U
|
Mann
|
Depp
|
Mann’s #2 high grosser ever has been tagged “a flop” |
Feb
|
Coraline |
Focus
|
Selick
|
–
|
Fighting the notion of 2 animated nominees |
Sept
|
The Informant! |
WB
|
Soderbergh
|
Damon
|
Tone is throwing some off |
Nov 20 | The Blind Side |
WB
|
Hancock
|
Bullock
Bates |
Could be a surprise |
Dec 25
|
Sherlock Holmes |
WB
|
Ritchie
|
Downey
|
Not likely… Guy Ritchie |
Dec 25
|
It’s Complicated |
U
|
Meyers
|
Streep
Baldwin Martin |
Could well be the surprise |
The Arthouse Chasers (by release date) | |||||
Oct 23
|
Amelia |
FxSch
|
Nair
|
Swank
|
No one is excited |
Nov 20 | Broken Embraces |
SPC
|
Almodovar
|
Cruz
|
Excellent… but not a ground breaker |
Dec 4
|
Brothers |
Lions
|
Sheridan
|
Maguire
Gyllenhaal |
It wasn’t at TIFF… how will it find wings with Precious as LGF’s true love? |
Dec 4
|
Everybody’s Fine |
Mir
|
Jones
|
DeNiro
|
Remake of a Tornatore classic |
Dec?
|
Men Who Stare At Goats |
Over
|
Heslov
|
Clooney
Bridges |
Liked, not loved. |
Dec 25 | The White Ribbon |
SPC
|
Hanaeke
|
–
|
Fine art |
Unlikely To Race This Year (in alphabetical order) | |||||
Biutiful |
U/Foc
|
Gonzalez-
Inarritu |
Bardem
|
||
Coco Chanel & Igor Stravinsky |
SPC
|
Kounen
|
Mikkelsen
|
||
Intrigues At Tire-Larigot (Micmacs) |
WB
|
Jeunet
|
–
|
||
The Last Station |
–
|
Hoffman
|
Plummer
Giamatti |
||
Love Ranch |
Think
|
Hackford
|
Mirren
|
||
Ondine |
–
|
Jordan
|
Bachleda-Curus
|
||
Shanghai |
TWC
|
Håfström
|
Cusack |