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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Weekend Estimates by Tardy Klady

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22 Responses to “Weekend Estimates by Tardy Klady”

  1. Joe Leydon says:

    I keep seeing headlines about the “boxoffice slump” and imagining David getting progressivsely more pissed until steam issues from his ears.

  2. berg says:

    theres an article on yahoo where George Sluzier says he’s going to complete Dark Blood, the last film of River Phoenix that was never released

  3. bulldog68 says:

    Just watched the trailer for Silver Linings Playbook, and had a WTF moment. Chris Tucker is still alive. After nothing but Rush Hour movies since 1998, that’s right, 3 movies in 14 years, he shows up in critically acclaimed Oscar bait. I guess he’s the acting version of Terrence Malick.

  4. etguild2 says:

    There’s no slump, but Hollywood may have a revenue problem. Foreign box office is down about $500 million over last year thru August, and while this was to be expected due to the Olympics and EuroCup, it does eventually become an issue.

    Nice to see that Joaquin Phoenix has his first $5 million grosser in 5 years.

  5. David Poland says:

    What’s most frustrating to me, Joe, is that this idiotic spin has become a meme for the ignorant… but not just the stupid.

    There are real issues about the box office and the future of theatrical that are worth discussing, but I spend so much time resetting the table on simple facts that there’s not time for more subtle, complex conversation.

    Just think of how many people still want to claim that going into Iraq was a good idea, not even just (inaccurately) legitimate.

  6. bulldog68 says:

    We shouldn’t let those goddam fact-checkers get in the way of our slump campaign, now should we.

    Even though 2012 is up 3.6% over last year and is 2nd by about $15m to the best box office run up to Sept 23rd which is currently held by 2010, we should ignore these statistics because they do not match our beliefs and value systems. The new definition for the word FACTS is what FITS, not what IS.

  7. etguild2 says:

    PROMETHEUS is closing in on $400 million worldwide, which is pretty unbelievable overseas at least. I guess the sequel is justified.

  8. movieman says:

    I’ve already said this till I’m blue in the face, but “Curve” would have opened bigger if WB had given it their vacated “Gangster Squad” slot on Sept. 7th.
    But did anyone really expect “Watch” to open as big as, say, “Training Day” 11 years ago? Gyllenhaal and Pena together don’t make one Denzel b.o.-wise. That’s a perfectly respectable opening weekend salvo for a very good movie that Open Road can (hopefully) build on.
    Sure, maybe “Street”–loathe the movie nearly as much as I hate its generic, “sounds-like-a-crappy-1981-slasher movie” title–could have done five million more at a different point in time. Perhaps discretionary teen income is one part of the economic equation blues that financial pundits haven’t dissected to death yet.
    And why did anyone ever think that “Dredd,” as cool as it is in so many ways, would ever move beyond its Comic Com/geekiest possible fanboy niche? It’s not like Will Smith or Channing Tatum is playing the titular Judge, people.
    Ehhh expansion for “The Master.” But again, who realistically thought that film would play (“could ever play” is the better question) to the great unwashed multiplex masses? That’s like expecting “Once Upon a Time in Anatolia” or “The Turin Horse” to pack ’em in at the Mall of America megaplex.
    The “big” story of the weekend is that snazzy limited “Wallflower” bow.
    Very curious to see how its fortunes progress–or not–in the coming weeks.
    Sure hope that Summit learned a thing or two from Focus’ cloddish bungling of “It’s Kind of a Funny Story” two years ago, and don’t make the same mistakes.

  9. etguild2 says:

    “Once Upon a Time in Anatolia”….ugh. I love “Climates” but that movie was so inert it was like time itself stopped.

  10. movieman says:

    Don’t say that to J. Hoberman, Et, lol.

  11. LexG says:

    I am a huge PTA fan and “Boogie Nights” is nearly my favorite movie of the last 20 years… but in all honesty, I enjoyed “Dredd,” “End of Watch” AND Clint more than “The Master.”

    For better or worse, for the situation with something like “The Master” check all the tweets from LAST weekend– all these journos, junketeers and LA hipsters glowingly 4Squaring their “I’m at the DOME, audience in RAPT SILENCE AND PRAYER WAITING FOR THE MASTER TO BEGIN” like it was some religious communal L.A./NYC experience…

    A week later it’s playing in mall multiplexes and you search Twitter for it, there’s one “master was borin” “master sucked hard, critics are stupid” reaction after another, some dude even saying it was the worst filmmaking he’d ever seen. There’s ALWAYS that disconnect between critics and normal people, but especially with this coming out SO EARLY in the Oscar season, I think it’ll be way in the rearview when other, more populist stuff starts coming out.

  12. chris says:

    He has already finished “Dark Blood,” berg. There’s a story in the current EW about it.

  13. sanj says:

    The Master seemed to be designed to get Joaquin Phoenix an oscar nomination or Amy Adams … sure the critics like it
    but the main problem is that its hard for normal critics to discuss this in high detail on tv …

    last year it was the Help – Viola Davis got an oscar nomination and yet the big oscar bloggers stopped talking
    about this movie a long time ago … remember Emma Stone and Jessica Chastain also in it …

    Looper has at 97% on RT right now …. get an oscar nomination …Jennifer Lawerence is getting great reviews
    for Silver Linings Playbook ..get an oscar nom …but K-Stew isn’t getting huge buzz for On the Road ..sorry LexG.

  14. arisp says:

    sanj – what are your thoughts on McDonald’s?

  15. berg says:

    sanj – whaT ARE YOUR THOUGHT ON SITTING THROUGH A five hour thirty-minute version of Bertoluccis’ 1900 …. with a 15- hour … intermission

  16. sanj says:

    Bertoluccis’ 1900 – no idea

    mcdonalds has good coffee they should put that inside theatres.

  17. tbunny says:

    Wilmington on Dredd, making me laugh:

    “I don’t know if any of you have had deranged fantasies of running around a 200-story vertical slum in a stiff black mask, dodging gun battles and massacres and periodically going into slow-motion attacks, or being hurled out of windows or whatever and dropping slowly to the street. But, if you have, this movie will almost certainly satisfy them all, perhaps forever.”

  18. Don R. Lewis says:

    I don’t see how Amy Adams gets an Oscar nom, her best scene was, err, not really “Oscar Material” if you know what I mean. I’m still processing THE MASTER as well. I liked it alot, not sure I loved it. It was definitely a unique film, unlike any film I’ve ever seen so that’s a huge plus.

    Was it just me not watching the right channels or was DREDD 3D horrrrribly marketed?? I didn’t even know it was opening this weekend and don’t recall seeing a single trailer or ad for it on TV. And I watch mostly sports which seems like a good market for that one.

  19. etguild2 says:

    Man there were some inflated estimates this weekend. THE MASTER only did 4.3 million, not 5 million, HOUSE AT THE END OF THE STREET was wildly pumped up to create the impression of a box office tie, and TROUBLE WITH THE CURVE was even more of a disaster than reported yesterday.

  20. cadavra says:

    Adams’ performance in MASTER is a superb example of “not acting.” Mostly she just sits there, sometimes passive, often glaring, yet you always know exactly what’s going on in her head–and it’s kinda frightening. Actors respect that sort of intuitive acting, because it’s so darn tough to do.

  21. Don R. Lewis says:

    I loved her and agree with you totally, cadavra. Plus a third “powerhouse” in that movie would have upset the balance.

  22. cadavra says:

    An excellent point, Don.

The Hot Blog

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4