April 27, 2024
The Hot Blog
amit on: Review: Frozen 2 (spoiler-free)
movieman on: BYOB Fall Back, Film Forward
Christian on: BYOB Fall Back, Film Forward
movieman on: Review: Marriage Story (spoilers only in the broadest sense)
movieman on: BYOB Fall Back, Film Forward
movieman on: Review: Frozen 2 (spoiler-free)
YancySkancy on: Review: Little Women (no spoilers)
Hcat on: Why You Should Be Afraid Of The End Of The Paramount Decree
movieman on: BYOB Fall Back, Film Forward
movieman on: I Should Be Doing Box Office
Review: Little Women (no spoilers)
Why You Should Be Afraid Of The End Of The Paramount Decree
Review: Frozen 2 (spoiler-free)
Review: Marriage Story (spoilers only in the broadest sense)
| Friday | Screens | % Chg | Cume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Title | Gross | Thtr | % Chgn | Cume |
| Venom | 33 | 4250 | NEW | 33 |
| A Star is Born | 15.7 | 3686 | NEW | 15.7 |
| Smallfoot | 3.5 | 4131 | -46% | 31.3 |
| Night School | 3.5 | 3019 | -63% | 37.9 |
| The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls | 1.8 | 3463 | -43% | 49.5 |
| A Simple Favor | 1 | 2408 | -50% | 46.6 |
| The Nun | 0.75 | 2264 | -52% | 111.5 |
| Hell Fest | 0.6 | 2297 | -70% | 7.4 |
| Crazy Rich Asians | 0.6 | 1466 | -51% | 167.6 |
| The Predator | 0.25 | 1643 | -77% | 49.3 |
| Also Debuting | ||||
| The Hate U Give | 0.17 | 36 | ||
| Shine | 85,600 | 609 | ||
| Exes Baggage | 75,900 | 62 | ||
| NOTA | 71,300 | 138 | ||
| 96 | 61,600 | 62 | ||
| Andhadhun | 55,000 | 54 | ||
| Afsar | 45,400 | 33 | ||
| Project Gutenberg | 36,000 | 17 | ||
| Love Yatri | 22,300 | 41 | ||
| Hello, Mrs. Money | 22,200 | 37 | ||
| Studio 54 | 5,300 | 1 | ||
| Loving Pablo | 4,200 | 15 |
| 3-Day Estimates | Weekend | % Chg | Cume |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Good Dead | 24.4 (11,230) | NEW | 24.4 |
| Dolphin Tale 2 | 16.6 (4,540) | NEW | 16.6 |
| Guardians of the Galaxy | 7.9 (2,550) | -23% | 305.8 |
| Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles | 4.8 (1,630) | -26% | 181.1 |
| The Drop | 4.4 (5,480) | NEW | 4.4 |
| Let's Be Cops | 4.3 (1,570) | -22% | 73 |
| If I Stay | 4.0 (1,320) | -28% | 44.9 |
| The November Man | 2.8 (1,030) | -36% | 22.5 |
| The Giver | 2.5 (1,120) | -26% | 41.2 |
| The Hundred-Foot Journey | 2.5 (1,270) | -21% | 49.4 |
Review: Little Women (no spoilers) - The Hot Blog
Box Office First Look - The Hot Blog
Why You Should Be Afraid Of The End Of The Paramount Decree - The Hot Blog
I was more interested by milestones this weekend…
Looks like $1 billion international is assured for FATE. It’s gonna be close in its quest to crack the Top 5 all-time overseas, ahead of JW.
BEAUTY’s bejeweld legs look like they’ll hold off FATE worldwide. Now $90 million behind FROZEN, it looks like a better and better bet to catch it with $500 million domestic a lock now.
GET OUT burst back on the worldwide stage, and is going to surpass PA3 to become Blumhouse’s #2 worldwide after all…it’s about a million behind LEGO domestically now.
I think it’s going to be close between ‘Beauty and F8 but F8 will probably beat it worldwide – domestically obviously not since Beast is likely to more than double what F8 makes.
‘Guardians 2 isn’t getting to a billion nor does it need to but if I had to guess the other four films that will do so until Episode VIII: Jedis Last Forever will be Pirates 5, Transformers 5, Despicable Me 3, and Justice League.
And where the hell did The Boss Baby come from?!?! It might get to $500 million worldwide – guess Dreamworks Animation still might have a few tricks under their sleeve.
The reason FATE has a very uphill climb in catching BEAST is how Disney movies play in Japan vs action movies. BATB could very easily do another $60-70 million in Nippon. That means FATE would need to scrounge up another $120 million worldwide in order to top it, and it’s going to start shedding marketplaces.
Too early to write off a billion for GUARDIANS (if it plays like WINTER SOLDIER it ends just above….CIVIL WAR well below) and I’d be really really cautious in overestimating other movies this summer given how virtually everything on the high end underperformed overseas last summer. Currency exchange rates continue to erode, and the shift of tentpoles earlier in the year may harken a new normal where May and June releases almost never reach a billion.
I agree that BOSS BABY is a surprise….if it had a Chinese release it might get to $500, but Fox appears uninterested. It’s likely profitable enough to justify an 11th Netflix cartoon at least.
Kinda sad about COLOSSAL, but it’s so narratively uncommercial, the result isn’t that surprising.
Wow I didn’t realize that Boss Baby had gotten this far without China.
Yeah DreamWorks originals haven’t done well there in quite awhile–TROLLS straight up bombed and the three before that underperformed–so I assume Fox just decided it wasn’t worth the effort (the way they’re treating CAPTAIN UNDERPANTS reinforces that).
It’s a shame, because it feels like the type of movie that could play there. It’ll have to be content with #2…well behind CROODS but well ahead of HOME…for Fox era originals.
Ethan, I don’t honestly think a Dreamworks Animation film has truly BOMBED since Mr. Peabody and Shermon more than three years ago – I’m not a particular fan of their stuff and they’re certainly not making Illumination or Disney numbers, but in just the past three years you have had three films top $500 million worldwide (‘Dragon 2, Kung Fu Panda 3, Rio 2) and two more top $400 million worldwide (Ice Age…Eight??, The Boss Baby)…that’s not bad at all. Not sure if Trolls, Home, or Penguins of Madagascar broke even or made profit but they each came pretty close. I think Sony Animation would gladly kill for these kind of numbers….Warners Animation too….
I was meaning bombed in China not bombed overall, haha. But not sure why Sony or anyone would kill for these numbers (WB is in its relative infancy). Other than this SMURFS 3 sequel, Sony’s reduced costs mean they hit profitability at about $100 million less than DreamWorks. So while BOSS BABY looks like a nice hit, EMOJI could do $350 and be a better investment for the studio.
Despite years of promising to reduce costs, DWA has barely done so, while Illumitation, WB, Sony and even Blue Sky to an extent have slashed cost to a degree where it helps the bottom line. It’s why a movie like SING is as profitable as DreamWorks near their peak (Shrek The Third). It’s why despite the fact BOSS BABY is a nice surprise, it’ll only be #8 this year in terms of profit by the end of this weekend and may not end the year in the top 20.