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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Early Box Office Analysis

The Exorcism of Emily Rose, which the Friday estimate is actually a little high for, will be Sony

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24 Responses to “Early Box Office Analysis”

  1. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    Emily Rose definitely succeeded because it had a great trailer (that played on the exorcism part). And with a title like that blind movie goers (er, those that show up and pick what to see then) surely chose that over something a pathetically named like ‘The Man’ (even worse than ‘The Cave’!)
    The annoying thing about a performance like this of a movie like this is that all these people who love to talk about the slump won’t actually find a positive in this. They will instead talk about how it’s a crap movie and that it’ll drop a whole lot next weekend.
    Still, what a name for a movie. I love it.

  2. Josh Massey says:

    I had nightmares about “The Man” having “Bringing Down the House”-type numbers. Consider me relieved.
    I do hope Jackson and Levy enjoy the houses the movie bought them, though.

  3. martin says:

    i would hope virgin would pass more than $60 mill. this weekend considering it’s already made $77 mill.

  4. joefitz84 says:

    Wedding Crashers is an absolute juggernaut. 200 mill for a comedy that isn’t directed at kids. Wow.

  5. PandaBear says:

    With the way 40 Yr Old Virgin starter, 60 mill is not that good of a number for it. I was expecting at least 90-110 after the great first 2 weeks.

  6. Angelus21 says:

    The Constant Gardener is pretty much dead. Their marketing campaign and the time of release and the subject matter did it in.

  7. eoguy says:

    Are you sure 40 yr is only at $60 mil? Another site has it at $82.3 m

  8. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    Virgin is definitely at $82.3mil. I don’t know where you’re getting that $60mil number. It should reach $100mil by the end of it’s run.

  9. bicycle bob says:

    it was at 50 mill by week 2. everywhere else has the flick at 82 mill. could make a run at 100.

  10. Josh says:

    Are people that desperate for a first run movie that Emily Rose can make that much?

  11. Bruce says:

    I guess we can all forget about The Constant Gardener. Because I think its over. Award wise too.

  12. Terence D says:

    People like seeing opening week movies. Some more than others. Horror types always do really well week one.

  13. Angelus21 says:

    They really sold the hell out of Emily Rose. They earned that opening week gross.

  14. bicycle bob says:

    it has to be better than hitch. it has to be.

  15. LesterFreed says:

    What was wrong with Hitch? My man Will carried the day there. He is really a great actor. You may get a bad movie now and again from him but he always comes to play. Like Tom, Russel, Mel and Denzel. You know you’re getting their A games.

  16. Bruce says:

    The real story of Hitch, to me, is that Kevin james picked a real good vehicle to get into films with. Latching onto Will Smith’s coattails was a very smart move on his part. Beats Ray Romanos hitching his wagon to Gene Hackman.

  17. Mark Ziegler says:

    You’re going to see the numbers for Emily Rose take a big nosedive in week 2.

  18. Sanchez says:

    Wait a second. Emily Rose wasn’t a comedy??? What was I laughing at that whole time?

  19. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    Oy, MORE people demoaning the fact that a non-film nerd would prefer to see something like The Exorcism of Emily Rose (no matter the quality) than something like The Constant Gardener?
    Some people never grasp some things…

  20. bicycle bob says:

    it makes one a nerd to prefer constant gardener to emily rose? a good suspense movie from a pretty great director to a sub standard horror film?

  21. Josh says:

    I usually prefer good popcorn movies to fare like the Gardener. But not in this case. Rose wasn’t popcorn fare.

  22. BluStealer says:

    I usually really like horror movies. I saw The Exorcist of ER and I wasn’t too fond. It could have been much better. I have to say. The ads sold the movie.

  23. Mark Ziegler says:

    Once a movie like Constant Gardener drops, thats usually all she wrote for that movie. Hopefully the dvd life will renew peoples interest.

  24. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    Your typical teenager/date couple aren’t going to go see a movie like The Constant Gardener with a group of friends or on a date. They WILL see something like Exorcism of Emily Rose.
    It seems that some people can’t understand that not everyone has as highbrow tastes as many of the people on here do.

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It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon