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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Friday Estimates by Klady & Kladier To

Friday Estimates 2014-11-15 at 9.09.28 AM

So… there is clearly an audience for the return of the real D&D guys. Huzzah.

$20m+ second weekends for both Big Hero 6 and Interstellar. Good. Not game changing… but good.

Beyond The Lights is soft… though the outdoor is beautiful. The problem is, the pitch really made the film not only unlikely to draw white people, but a turn off to black men.

Nice holds throughout the Top 10, no one down more than 50%.

Birdman is seeing the top of the box office mountaintop, unless the awards push gives it a second life. And 85% increase in screens and an estimated 3% growth in box office tells us that there is a finite universe for the film. Searchlight went out earlier and has been much more aggressive than on, say, Slumdog Millionaire. I think they know there is a cap on the box office success of the film, are pushing to get a nice number, will narrow the screen count after Thanksgiving, then see what happens with awards.

Foxcatcher is the per-screen hero of the weekend with what looks like $35k or so on its 5 screens. The Homesman is chasing $10k per screen on 4. Decent numbers for both, but again, not thrillers. Sony Classics will keep building Fox and look for it to expand its base with awards wins.

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17 Responses to “Friday Estimates by Klady & Kladier To”

  1. movieman says:

    Does anyone know why “D&D To” is being released by Universal instead of (“D&D” distributer) New Line?

    Never thought there would be an audience for a 20-year-later sequel.
    Guess I was wrong.

  2. David Poland says:

    WB bailed on the project and Universal picked it up… pretty much because they never thought there’d be an audience for a 20-year-later sequel, I guess.

  3. doug r says:

    I am trying to talk my wife into D&D too, but since she saw the prequel, she ain’t biting.

  4. movieman says:

    Thanks for the info; I thought maybe New Line’s rights had lapsed in the intervening two decades.

  5. movieman says:

    Maybe my comedy tastes have changed since 1994.
    I remember loathing “D&D” (I didn’t become a Farrelly Bros. fan until “Kingpin”), but “To” struck me as pretty benign, even kind of sweet.
    It reminded me more of the Farrelly’s “Three Stooges” retread than the original “D&D.”

  6. YancySkancy says:

    doug r: Did you tell your wife that no one involved with the original was involved with the prequel?

    I just watched the original D&D for the first time a couple nights ago on Netflix Instant. Hit-and-miss, but some funny moments.

  7. Aaron Aradillas says:

    Smartest thing the brothers did with the sequel was not trying to top the original. They know comedy has become extreme, but they stay stubbornly sweet despite some of the gross-out humor. Thing is, their brand of gross-out humor is rather innocent. (Only THERE’S SOMETHING ABOUT MARY traffics in the Comedy of Pain.) There are some gags in DUMB AND DUMBER TO that are so dumb you find yourself laughing at yourself because you laughed at the gag.

  8. Bitplayer says:

    Beyond The Lights was actually a pretty light sweet romance movie. Kind of a shame the studio threw it into the thresher this weekend. I’m a black man and saw it Friday night in a theater with lots of teenage girls. It strains at points to the point of breaking but I think the movie sticks the landing. Ebert would have at least written about this. As it is the major critics are still debating Interstellar.

  9. Geoff says:

    Aaron to be fair to the ‘Brothers, they were kind of hamstrung by the PG-13 rating, they could NOT have gone as far as a 21 Jump Street or Ted-type movie. A lot of people forget that the original was PG-13 rated, though it was a rather HARD PG-13 rating….you had bare ass shots, hearts ripped out of chests, etc…..all in the name of comedy of course.

    Which brings up an interesting observation: do comedies now HAVE to be R-rated to hit the stratosphere nowadays??? Think about it: as good as this opening looks, it’s not nearly on the level of Ted nor Neighbors, and neither of those films were based on pre-sold brands. I’m wondering if the moviegoing public now EXPECTS a minimal number of F-bombs, naked boobs, and explicit dick jokes nowadays to really enjoy their comedies…think about it, when is the last time a PG-13 rated comedy which was NOT strongly marketed to families made some real bank? Anchorman 2 just last year did ok but probably hit the same walls that this will. I am wondering if the ratings systems has something to do this with: I STILL cannot understand why a pure middle-of-the-road romantic comedy like “It’s Complicated” had to be rated R!

  10. Hcat says:

    Wasn’t complicated rated R purely because of the pot use? Or maybe they simply let two fucks slip by

  11. Etguild2 says:

    Loved “Beyond the Lights.” I’m a sucker for Love and Basketball though.

  12. Bitplayer says:

    Anchorman 2 wasn’t nearly as funny or grounded as the first one. It seemed like these guys just fucking around and there was no story. Kind of sad actually since I loved the first one.

  13. cadavra says:

    No, the MPAA specifically said IT’S COMPLICATED was R-rated because two people were smoking pot without repercussions. The fact that they were both well over 50 was of no consequence to them.

  14. Christian says:

    It’s like the 1930’s all over again. “Any onscreen depiction of marijuana usage must be be followed by immediate legal and/or societal punishment.”

  15. Bulldog68 says:

    Ain’t it funny how Steve Martin and Meryl Streep smoking pot is more dangerous to society than Bond’s womanizing, or John McClane’s wise crack killing, or even Austin Powers’ groovy sex references to basically everything.

    I was a fan of D&D, and haven’t seen the sequel yet, but it still amazes me that in the trailers shown on TV, for general audiences, they included a scene where Jim Carrey has his hand up an old woman’s snatch, and after removing it he blows dust of his hand while she cries “You can cross that one of your bucket list.” It’s very obvious where his hand was. That passed the sensors to be fit to be shown to my nine year old while she’s watching YTV, but two adults smoking pot, that’s too much for her to handle with parental supervision.

  16. Geoff says:

    Excellent point Bulldog! I really had no idea it was just the marijuana use that got It’s Complicated that R-rating, I figured it was some nudity or a few uses of the F-word that I missed. I mean JEEZ it’s SUCH a benign movie….you have Streep snuggling up with her kids in that one scene to eat popcorn and watch The Graduate on VHS for christ sakes!

  17. cadavra says:

    Not to mention it wasn’t much of a draw for people under 30, much less 17.

    I just saw a green-band trailer for HORRIBLE BOSSES 2 in which Kevin Spacey says “shit.” I guess they really don’t even bother anymore.

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