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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Friday Estimates by Still The Hobbit Klady

Friday Estimates 2015-01-03 at 9.05.29 AM

The chart hasn’t changed much through the holiday weeks. Hobbit leads, holding in right around where the other films were. Into The Woods and Unbroken appear to be ungodly box office Siamese twins. The duo will pass Fury this weekend to take (and likely stay at) the #3 and #4 slots in terms of grosses for serious BP contenders.

The only real change in the top of the charts is that Exodus has exited. For the record, I thought it would be a huge Christian hit… and it was a big Christian flop. And no one else really cared very much to see it. My record guessing on where the Christian vote will go isn’t very good. Much better on the military, which will be out in force for American Sniper as it was for Lone Survivor.

The Imitation Game, which had added just a few screens, is holding beautifully. The Weinstein Company has a box office winner there.

The only new release is The Woman in Black 2, which is being rolled out by Relativity, not CBS Films this time. But that looks like a misstep by CBS. There was a sense that Daniel Radcliffe was the engine of the first film of the new franchise, but this one opened just 10% off of the first. So Relativity may have a nice profit center there.

And seeing its first weekend is A Most Violent Year, which should earn a most pleasant exclusive opening near $50k per screen.

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7 Responses to “Friday Estimates by Still The Hobbit Klady”

  1. HWK says:

    Apparently, Relativity only spent $1M to acquire TWIB2 so unless they spent a ton on marketing, it easily should be profitable for them.

    The first weekend in January is becoming the best weekend of the year to open a horror film, even moreso than any single weekend during October.

    Last year Texas Chainsaw 3D opened at #1 with 21.7M. The year before The Devil Inside made a whopping 33.7M.

    Next year because of New Year’s Day landing on Friday, nothing is scheduled for the first weekend but there are two horror films scheduled for the following weekend. One of the two should move to the first weekend as New Year’s Day is a strong moviegoing day because most people have it off.

  2. Pete B. says:

    Just out of curiosity, shouldn’t Exodus have been a big Jewish hit as well?

  3. chris says:

    Does anyone else think “Fury” is a “serious BP contender?”

  4. David Poland says:

    Are you commenting on the wrong entry, Chris?

  5. chris says:

    No, I was referring to the last sentence in your first paragraph. It just seems very unlikely to me.

  6. waterbucket says:

    Into the Woods is a huge Disney hit, why is it in so few theaters compared to the others?

  7. cadavra says:

    Pete: To paraphrase Letterman, we (meaning Jews) have THE TEN COMMANDMENTS, and we don’t need to see any other version. I did see EXODUS, and the best I can say for it is that it was competently made. But like Scott’s ROBIN HOOD, it appears that he watched the original classic and then decided to do the exact opposite of everything that made the earlier film so enduring, right down to desaturating the color to the point where it was almost B&W. Hell, he didn’t even let Moses say “Let my people go,” which is tantamount to staging JULIUS CAESAR and cutting “Et Tu, Brute?”

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So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

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