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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Friday Estimates by Moby Len

Friday Estimates 2015-12-12 at 10.17.48 AM

Another fabulously weak weekend!!!

David Carr used to love “King of the Midgets” as a descriptor. Never more appropriate than in what should be In The Heart of the Sea‘s #1 weekend. The marketing campaign is very pretty, but it’s unclear about the human side of the story, which limited the upside.

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 has pretty much caught up with Mockingjay 1 (day-vs-day) domestically, for those keeping count. International is a bit harder to get a handle on, but it Mock 2 may end up closer to Mock 1 than people thought when it launched.

Creed is holding, but not at a high level. The Academy just got the discs yesterday and today, so now it’s up to WB to get the discs into the DVD players or to get voters into theaters. The situation is recoverable, but if WB works it as hard as Paramount worked Selma in December of that year, they can overcome.

The big new entry is The Big Short, which will have an excellent $75k per screen on eight this weekend. But as Universal found out on Steve Jobs, these big exclusive numbers can be deceptive. To Paramount’s benefit, they have a lot of male movie star talent. This film’s box office is one of the more interesting stories to come this month. Could be shockingly high… or disappointingly low. We will only really know when it goes wide… and then it will be by December standards, not Star Wars standards.

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10 Responses to “Friday Estimates by Moby Len”

  1. BoulderKid says:

    What a tire fire “In the Heart of the Sea” is. Warners did everything they could to obfuscate the human story of survival in favor of flashing money shots of the whale. I read the book but will probably not see the film until it hits streaming. If everyone involved in the film wanted to bypass the second half of the book in which the survivors of the sinking waste away and result to canibalism why didn’t they just do a straight “Moby Dick” adaptation? At least that film would have been an easier sell with a strong POV character, an iconic character (Ahab), and no need to mangle the source material in order to suit the aims of marketers.

    Just a giant head scratcher all around…

  2. Popcorn Slayer says:

    A straight adaptation of MOBY DICK these days would run the risk of being taken for an unfavorable documentary about Moby.

  3. dinovelvet says:

    What happened to LEGEND? I thought that was supposed to be going wide this weekend.

  4. movieman says:

    And for a movie that was purportedly moved from March to December to take advantage of an “Awards Season” release date, WB did absolutely nothing to promote “Sea” for said awards.
    At least that I could see.
    Didn’t they realize when they switched the date last winter that it was never going to be a legitimate awards contender?
    It’s all very pretty and “artistic,” but the damn thing put me into a narcoleptic stupor.
    And what was up w/ Hemsworth’s “chow-duh” accent? I would’ve thought New Englanders in the early 19th century would have sounded more like the cast of “Turn” than dress extras from “The Town.”
    A big disappointment for me, esp. since Ron Howard was coming off my favorite Howard movie ever (“Rush” starring the same Marvel super hero).

  5. Nick Rogers says:

    “Awards Season” is code for “different quarter than ‘Jupiter Ascending’.”

  6. movieman says:

    “Jupiter Ascending.”
    Ahhhhhhh.
    Still my favorite head trip of 2015.
    One of the few movies in recent history where you can actually see every nickel of its mega budget on the screen.

  7. Pete B. says:

    Too bad that mega budget got wasted on Milla Kunis in the lead role.

  8. Nick Rogers says:

    Like you, movieman, I was bummed by how mediocre Sea was after Rush, which was one of my favorites that year.

  9. movieman says:

    Mila was fine.
    It was Eddie Redmayne who stunk up the scream.
    He was howlingly terrible.
    Really surprised it didn’t have a “Norbit”effect on his Oscar chances last year.
    But Academy voters would have had to actually seen “Jupiter Ascending.”

  10. EtGuild2 says:

    Eddie Redmayne gave my favorite comedic performance of 2015 in “Jupiter Ascending!”

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