Posts Tagged ‘Star Trek’

December 9

Wednesday, December 9th, 2009
.……………………………………
x
1
1
Up in the Air
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
4
1
15
145
2
2
Precious
1
2
3
5
2
2
2
3
2
3
1
6
2
6
3
15
122
3
3
The Hurt Locker
3
3
4
3
7
3
3
2
5
2
4
3
3
2
2
15
116
4
4
Invictus
10
5
2
2
3
6
4
4
10
5
3
5
5
1
5
15
95
5
5
Up
4
4
5
8
8
5
6
5
3
7
6
8
7
5
4
15
80
6
6
An Education
7
8
6
9
4
4
9
9
4
4
9
4
3
7
14
68
7
7
Nine
5
13
8
4
7
5
6
6
8
7
4
6
10
10
13
57
8
9
Inglourious Basterds
6
9
7
6
8
7
8
8
9
5
7
11
8
6
13
51
9
8
Avatar
9
6
10
7
11
13
10
7
10
10
2
9
9
8
12
35
10
A Serious Man
11
9
5
12
12
11
12
6
9
8
7
12
6
22
10
The Lovely Bones
8
7
11
10
11
7
9
12
8
12
10
13
13
6
18
It’s Complicated
10
11
8
10
8
3
7
The Last Station
13
6
12
11
11
13
11
1
5
The Blind Side
10
9
13
11
1
2
The Road
12
9
13
1
2
Star Trek
12
10
13
12
1
1
Julie & Julia
10
1
1
A Single Man
13
13
11
500 Days of Summer
12
12
Crazy Heart
11
13
District 9
13
12
Fantastic Mr. Fox
11
The Young Victoria
12
This is It
13

Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Anthony Breznican
…… USA Today
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Mark Olsen
…….LA Times

David Poland
…… MCN
Steve Pond
…… The Wrap
Sasha Stone
…… AwardsDaily.com
Sean Smith
…… Entertainment Weekly
Kris Tapley
…… In Contention
Anne Thompson
…… Thompson On Hollywood
Susan Wloszczyna
…… USA Today

December 2

Wednesday, December 2nd, 2009
.……………………………………
x
1
1
Up in the Air
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
1
14
132
2
1
Precious
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
5
1
2
3
14
126
3
3
The Hurt Locker
4
4
6
5
3
3
3
8
3
3
2
3
5
2
14
100
4
4
Invictus
5
2
5
8
5
4
7
7
5
3
7
1
5
13
79
5
6
Up
6
5
7
7
4
8
7
4
5
7
10
6
7
4
14
67
6
5
An Education
9
6
9
3
5
9
9
3
4
6
8
5
6
7
14
65
7
7
Nine
8
4
6
4
6
6
8
8
4
4
9
10
12
55
8
10
Avatar
8
2
10
5
10
10
6
10
4
8
10
37
9
9
Inglourious Basterds
7
8
8
7
10
8
9
9
7
10
6
11
32
10
8
The Lovely Bones
3
10
9
6
5
10
9
9
8
9
30
A Serious Man
9
4
6
9
8
5
19
It’s Complicated
7
10
7
9
4
11
The Last Station
6
1
5
The Road
9
1
2
Fantastic Mr. Fox
10
1
1
Julie & Julia
10
1
1
Where the Wild Things Are
10
1
1
Falling Off The Chart
District 9
Crazy Heart
Bright Star
A Single Man
Star Trek
The Young Victoria


1
2
Kathryn Bigelow
The Hurt Locker
4
1
3
3
3
3
1
1
1
3
1
1
1
2
14
56
2
1
Jason Reitman
Up in the Air
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
2
2
2
3
1
13
55
3
4
Lee Daniels
Precious
2
3
2
1
2
4
2
4
4
3
10
37
4
James Cameron
Avatar
2
v
v
3
2
5
5
5
5
5
8
16
5
5
Rob Marshall
Nine
4
v
v
4
4
3
v
3
5
12
Quentin Tarantino
Inglourious Basterds
4
5
v
4
v
1
4
5
6
13
3
Clint Eastwood
Invictus
5
5
5
5
4
3
4
7
11
Joel Coen/Coen Brothers
A Serious Man
v
4
v
v
v
2
2
6
Lone Scherfig
An Education
v
5
5
5
4
v
4
5
Peter Jackson
The Lovely Bones
3
v
v
v
v
v
1
3
Falling Off The Chart
Wes Anderson
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Tom Ford
A Single Man
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
3
…..
1
2
Carey Mulligan
An Education
3
1
3
1
2
2
3
2
1
3
3
2
2
2
14
54
2
1
Meryl Streep
Julie and Julia
4
2
1
5
3
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
13
52
3
3
Gabourey Sidibe
Precious
2
4
2
2
1
3
1
4
1
2
3
3
3
13
47
4
4
Helen Mirren
The Last Station
5
3
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
11
23
5
5
Saoirse Ronan
The Lovely Bones
1
5
4
5
4
9
6
6
Abbie Cornish
Bright Star
5-
5
5
5
4
4
5
7
7
Sandra Bullock
The Blind Side
5
4
5
5
5
4
6
8
8
8
Marion Cotillard
Nine
3
5
4
3
6
9
Meryl Streep
It’s Complicated
1
1
5
10
Maggie Gyllenhaal
Crazy Heart
5
1
1
9
Vera Farminga
Up in the Air

10
Robin Wright Penn
Pippa Lee
Falling Off The Chart
Emily Blunt
The Young Victoria

……………………………….
1
1
George Clooney
Up in the Air
3
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
4
3
3
2
4
1
14
54
1
Jeff Bridges
Crazy Heart
1
1
2
2
5
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
1
54
3
2
Colin Firth
A Single Man
4
4
3
4
1
3
2
3
2
2
10
32
4
3
Morgan Freeman
Invictus
3
4
3
3
4
*
3
2
2
4
3
5
11
26
5
4
Jeremy Renner
The Hurt Locker
5
5
4
4
5
5
4
3
8
13
5
Viggo Mortensen
The Road
2
5
5
3
5
5
5
7
12
Daniel Day-Lewis
Nine
2
5
5
4
5
5
9
Falling Off The Chart
Matt Damon
Invictus
Matt Damon
The Informant!
Michael Stuhlbarg
A Serious Man

……………………………….
1
Christoph Waltz
Inglourious Basterds
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
14
65
2
Stanley Tucci
The Lovely Bones
2
2
3
2
2
3
4
3
1
9
32
3
Alfred Molina
An Education
3
4
4
2
4
4
2
3
4
4
2
11
30
4
Christopher Plummer
The Last Station
4
3
5
5
3
4
1
4
8
19
5
Matt Damon
Invictus
5
5
3
3
2
5
6
13
Alec Baldwin
It’s Complicated
3
2
4
5
3
5
6
14
Christian McKay
Me and Orson Welles
5
2
5
5
1
5
12
Peter Sarsgaard
An Education
4
2
3
3
9
Stanley Tucci
Julie and Julia
3
1
2
8
Woody Harrelson
The Messenger
4
5
5
3
4
Anthoney Mackie
The Hurt Locker
4
1
2
Paul Schneider
Bright Star
5
1
1

…..
1
Mo’Nique
Precious
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
14
70
2
Anna Kendrick
Up in the Air
2
5
3
2
4
3
2
5
2
2
2
3
2
13
37
3
Julianne Moore
A Single Man
5
3
2
3
2
2
5
2
3
4
3
4
4
13
36
4
Penelope Cruz
Nine
4
4
4
4
4
5
3
4
5
3
10
22
5
Vera Farmiga
Up in the Air

4
5
5
3
5
4
3
5
5
9
14
Melanie Laurent
Inglourious Basterds
4
5
4
5
4
6
Marion Cotillard
Nine
2
2
2
8
Judi Dench
Nine
5
2
2
5
Maggie Gyllenhaal
Crazy Heart
3
1
3
Sandra Bullock
The Blind Side
5
1
1
Sophia Loren
Nine
3
1
3
Susan Sarandon
The Lovely Bones
3
1
3

……………………………….
1
Mark Boal
The Hurt Locker
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
1
14
65
2
Pete Docter and Bob Peterson
Up
3
3
2
5
3
3
3
5
3
4
2
1
2
2
12
43
3
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
A Serious Man
4
5
1
5
2
2
3
2
4
3
1
3
12
37
4
Quentin Tarantino
Inglourious Basterds
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
3
3
4
5
4
12
29
5
Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber
500 Days of Summer
2
1
3
4
5
5
5
2
5
5
11
23
Nancy Meyers
It’s Complicated
3
4
4
3
7
Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
District 9
4
1
2
James Cameron
Avatar
5
1
1
Jane Campion
Bright Star
5
1
1
Alessandro Camon and Oren Moverman
The Messenger
5
1
1
Armando Iannucci & Armstrong, Blackwell, Roche, Martin
In The Loop
5
1
1

……………………………….
1
Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner
Up in the Air
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
4
1
1
3
2
14
60
2
Geoffrey Fletcher
Precious
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
5
3
1
4
3
4
3
14
54
3
Nick Hornby
An Education
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
1
1
5
2
2
1
1
14
48
4
Nora Ephron
Julie and Julia
4
4
4
5
5
4
6
10
5
Tom Ford
A Single Man
5
5
4
5
4
4
6
9
Anthony Peckham
Invictus
4
5
3
2
5
5
11
Armando Iannucci & Armstrong, Blackwell, Roche, Martin
In The Loop
4
5
5
3
4
Wes Anderson and Noah Baumbach
Fantastic Mr. Fox
2
2
8
Fran Walsh and Phillipa Boyens
The Lovely Bones
5
3
2
4
Spike Jonze and Dave Eggers
Where the Wild Things Are
4
4
2
4
Michael Hoffman
The Last Station
3
1
3
Michael Tolkin and Anthony Minghella
Nine
5
1
1
Quentin Tarantino
Inglourious Basterds
3
1
3

Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Anthony Breznican
…… USA Today
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Mark Olsen
…….LA Times


David Poland
…… MCN
Steve Pond
…… The Wrap
Sasha Stone
…… AwardsDaily.com
Sean Smith
…… Entertainment Weekly
Kris Tapley
…… In Contention
Anne Thompson
…… Thompson On Hollywood
Susan Wloszczyna
…… USA Today

November 25

Wednesday, November 25th, 2009
.……………………………………
x
1
1
Precious
1
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
2
4
1
2
1
4
1
15
138
1
2
Up in the Air
2
1
3
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
3
1
2
3
2
15
138
3
4
The Hurt Locker
4
4
4
7
6
3
3
3
9
3
5
3
3
2
14
95
4
3
Invictus
3
3
1
3
4
6
6
8
6
7
4
7
1
3
14
92
5
5
An Education
5
8
6
8
3
7
8
3
2
4
8
6
5
5
14
76
6
6
Up
6
7
5
5
6
9
7
4
5
2
5
6
4
13
72
7
7
Nine
7
9
5
5
5
4
6
8
10
5
4
9
10
13
56
8
8
The Lovely Bones
9
5
8
10
8
4
5
6
7
9
37
9
10
Inglourious Basterds
8
7
6
8
9
8
10
10
9
7
6
11
33
10
11
Avatar
6
4
10
5
10
8
6
9
10
9
10
33
9
A Serious Man
10
9
10
4
10
9
7
9
8
8
8
11
29
It’s Complicated
9
7
10
7
4
11
The Last Station
7
1
4
The Road
7
1
4
Fantastic Mr. Fox
9
1
2
A Single Man
9
1
2
Crazy Heart
10
1
1
Julie & Julia
10
1
1
Star Trek
10
1
1
Falling Off The Chart (as we go to 10 votes per guru and only 10 votes)
District 9
Where the Wild Things Are
Bright Star
The Young Victoria

Sharlto Copley No comment.
Best Actor: Optimus Prime Robot-Americans have too long gone unrecognized by the Academy.
Michelle Pfeiffer, Best Actress for “Cheri” One of her best performances in years that would have gotten much more attention if the movie was released in the fall than when it was dumped in June.
Michael Sheen Best Actor for “The Damned United.” This underrated actor just keeps getting screwed over for such remarkable portrayals it would be nice to see him finally recognized.
Pedro Almodovar, Best Director No comment.
Christian McKay, Best Actor nominee for Me and Orson Welles.
He looks remarkably like the young Orson Welles (it’s biology, not parody) and he effortlessly channels the man’s energy and charisma, demonstrating how one so demanding could be so loved.
Matt Damon for The Informant! No comment.
Paul Schneider, Bright Star – Best Supporting Actor In a role I might have thought a little beyond him, he did everything a great supporting performance should do and the film was better for his presence in it.
Jeremy Renner for The Hurt Locker By the time they vote for winners, he could be a frontrunner… but needs to get nominated 7 weeks earlier.
Sharlto Copley, best actor No comment.
Wes Anderson, Best Director, Fantastic Mr. Fox No comment.
Peter Capaldi for In the Loop Peter Capaldi for the In the Loop, or any recognition for that film at all, would be great – one of the best and underrated films of 2009.
Antichrist No comment.
Bright Star No comment.
Ed Asner in Up. Or Dakota Fanning for Coraline or Seth Rogen in Monsters vs. Aliens or George Clooney as Mr. Fox. Voice work is acting, too!!!

Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Anthony Breznican
…… USA Today
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Mark Olsen
…….LA Times



November 18

Wednesday, November 18th, 2009
.……………………………………
x
1
1
Precious
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
5
4
1
5
1
2
1
15
142
2
2
Up in the Air
2
1
4
1
2
1
3
2
3
1
8
1
2
4
2
15
128
3
4
Invictus
3
3
1
4
4
1
4
7
6
2
3
5
1
3
14
107
4
3
The Hurt Locker
4
5
3
6
4
3
5
3
8
2
5
4
3
3
4
15
103
5
5
An Education
5
8
6
11
5
5
5
2
3
9
8
7
5
6
13
69
6
6
Up
7
6
5
8
6
6
10
8
1
8
4
6
7
5
14
67
7
7
Nine
8
12
10
3
7
6
6
4
5
2
4
9
11
64
8
8
The Lovely Bones
6
4
9
9
9
4
7
11
10
3
10
8
8
8
13
48
9
10
A Serious Man
10
8
12
3
10
12
10
9
7
9
9
6
10
11
30
10
9
Inglourious Basterds
9
7
7
10
8
9
12
12
9
7
7
7
10
30
11
11
Avatar
12
7
5
7
11
6
10
6
10
10
9
8
29
12
It’s Complicated
10
10
8
11
3
5
13
A Single Man
11
9
10
12
2
3
One Vote Wonders
Fantastic Mr. Fox
6
1
5
12
Where the Wild Things Are
7
12
1
4
Bright Star
8
12
11
1
3
Star Trek
9
11
11
11
1
2
The Road
11
9
1
2
Titles In Waiting
Julie & Julia
12
11
12
District 9
12
12
Crazy Heart
11
11
11
The Young Victoria
The Last Station
12
Please Note: Votes for #11 & #12 are not counted in the numbers and are just offered for perspective on what films may be on the verge of joining the Top 10.


1
Jason Reitman
Up in the Air
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
2
4
2
2
2
4
2
14
57
2
Kathryn Bigelow
The Hurt Locker
2
5
1
2
3
3
3
1
1
1
4
1
1
2
4
15
56
3
Clint Eastwood
Invictus
3
3
2
5
6
4
4
5
2
5
3
5
4
1
3
15
42
4
Lee Daniels
Precious
5
2
4
4
2
2
5
4
5
4
5
1
12
29
5
Rob Marshall
Nine
4
3
v
v
6
5
6
3
v
3
3
6
15
James Cameron
Avatar
4
v
v
3
3
6
6
6
3
8
Quentin Tarantino
Inglourious Basterds
5
6
5
6
v
2
6
3
6
Lone Scherfig
An Education
5
5
4
v
5
4
5
Peter Jackson
The Lovely Bones
6
6
6
v
v
2
v
v
6
5
2
5
Joel Coen/Coen Brothers
A Serious Man
4
v
v
v
3
2
5
Wes Anderson
Fantastic Mr. Fox
1
1
5
Tom Ford
A Single Man
v
v
6
v

. …..
1
Up
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
15
75
2
Coraline
3
4
2
2
2
3
4
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
15
53
3
Fantastic Mr. Fox
6
3
4
3
2
3
3
6
3
3
6
4
3
11
29
4
Ponyo
2
5
5
5
4
6
2
4
5
4
5
5
3
6
12
23
5
The Princess and the Frog
4
2
4
3
6
6
4
4
2
3
8
24
6
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
6
3
6
6
4
6
5
3
5
4
4
7
14
Mary and Max
5
5
6
5
3
3
A Christmas Carol
5
4
2
3
9
5
5
6
2
2
Monsters Vs Aliens
6
5
1
1


Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Anthony Breznican
…… USA Today
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Mark Olsen
…….LA Times


David Poland
…… MCN
Steve Pond
…… The Wrap
Sasha Stone
…… AwardsDaily.com
Sean Smith
…… Entertainment Weekly
Kris Tapley
…… In Contention
Anne Thompson
…… Thompson On Hollywood
Susan Wloszczyna
…… USA Today

Wilmington on DVDs: Star Trek, Gone with the Wind, The Exiles, Fight Club, Humpday and more…

Tuesday, November 17th, 2009

PICK OF THE WEEK: NEW

Star Trek (Three and a Half Stars)
U.S.; J. J. Abrams, 2009

The latest Star Trek movie, called simply Star Trek, is a genuine audience-pleaser, a film that (more…)

Star Trek’s on DVD Today!

Tuesday, November 17th, 2009

Star TrekMCN Review by Kim Voynar:  Having seen the new Star Trek now, I must admit that I was wrong, because J.J. Abrams, boldly going where others have gone before (and frequently failed), successfully reboots the franchise in this action-packed tweaking of the Trek universe.

MCN Review by David Poland: My central problem with the film is also what works about it, I think, for many audiences. It is a jack of all trades and a master of none. But it is so loaded with stuff… so anxious to please an audience… so busy… that if you don’t think about it too much, it feels like a reasonably entertaining summer movie ride.
The Posters Series is here.

Best Actress Chart

Thursday, November 12th, 2009
BEST ACTRESS
Actress – Film
Comment
Meryl Streep – Julie and Julia The unstoppable force.
Carey Mulligan – An Education The ingenue of the year.
Helen Mirren – The Last Station A role that could win her a second Oscar in just three years.
Marion Cotillard – Nine The other one.
Saoirse Ronan – The Lovely Bones Depends on the film
Abbie Cornish – Bright Star The nominee who would be Carey… but could still get there… if voters see her work
Sandra Bullock – The Blind Side It’s a mainstream piece of work, but very touching, and she is having a great year… a long shot, but not impossible
Emily Blunt – The Young Victoria Hard to get another period woman past cornish and Mirren
Shohreh Agdashloo – The Stoning of Soraya M Will they see the film?
Gabourey Sidibe – Precious
A much longer shot than some seem to think right now



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Actress – Film
Comment
Mo’Nique – Precious She may Eddie Murphy herself out of a possible win, but the one true category nomination lock
Judi Dench – Nine Long live the queen
Penelope Cruz – Nine A (recent) Oscar regular breaking out of her shell
Julianne Moore – A Single Man If the movie doesn’t catch on, could drop out… but a party of a perfomance.
Anna Kendrick – Up in the Air Supporting ingenue
Vera Farmiga – Up in the Air A really clean, strong role for an actress with a cult of critics and directors… could be the year
Kate Hudson – Nine A-Rod hit in the post-season… anything could happen!
Sophia Loren – Nine Apparently, she has a lot of time on screen… but maybe not for better… even for a legend

Best Actor Chart

Thursday, November 12th, 2009
BEST ACTOR
Actor – Film
Comment
George Clooney – Up in the Air Beloved, lovely, and looking for answers
Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine How could he not?
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station Could be the shock winner… lifetime achievement and a great role & performance.. and unlike some stage gods, he is a relentless charmer in person
Jeff Bridges – Crazy Heart Bridges biggest Oscar problem is that he is always good enough to win.
Morgan Freeman – Invictus Seems obvious, no?
Colin Firth – A Single Man A well-liked actor and man… fine performance
Jeremy Renner – The Hurt Locker The ambiguous center of one of the few truly great films of 2009
Peter Sarsgaard – An Education Is he lead or supporting… either way, he should be nominated for this complex, but slick work
Viggo Mortensen – The Road Sucha great performance… but will the voters watch this film… and how will it play on DVD?
Michael Stuhlbarg – A Serious Man Needs some push so as not to get lost
Matt Damon – Invictus Is he lead or supporting… either way, we won’t know until the film is seen.



BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Actor – Film
Comment
Stanley Tucci – Julie and Julia or The Lovely Bones I am sure he will get a nod, but will it be for the loving, supportive hubby or the murderous, creepy child molester?
Matt Damon – Invictus Is he lead or supporting… either way, we won’t know until the film is seen. but we’re guessing Supporting and that his stardom and good guy-ness will rule the day.
Christopher Walz – Inglourious Basterds The memorable performance
Alfred Molina – An Education Great guy, great performance, very likeable
Tobey Maguire – Brothers A brilliant turn… people will vote for him off the clips
Peter Capaldi – In The Loop So deserving… hard get for a guy from out of town without big bucks pushing him
Quinton Aaron – The Blind Side Would be the shocker of the season
Woody Harrelson – The Messenger His finest work… but getting eyeballs will be hard and he is an outsider in this game
Alec Baldwin – It’s Complicated When they run out of Emmys…
Paul Schneider – Bright Star One of the finest young character actors… maybe next year
Peter Sarsgaard – An Education Is he lead or supporting… either way, he should be nominated for this complex, but slick work

Best Picture Chart

Thursday, November 12th, 2009
BEST PICTURE
Picture
Studio
Director
Stars
Comment
The Frontrunners For Nomination
1
Dec 25
Nine
TWC
Marshall
Day-Lewis
Et al
The big buzz starts this weekend with the junket
2
open
Up
Disney
Docter
Petersen
Will the Disney turmoil put this in jeopardy?
4
Nov 13
Up In The Air
Par
Reitman
Clooney
Yeah… it’ll be there
5
open
An Education
SPC
Scherfig
Mulligan
Sarsgaard
1968 lives
6
Nov 6
Precious
LG
Daniels
Sidibe
Mo’Nique
Guilty displeasure
7
Dec 11
Invictus
WB
Eastwood
Freeman
Likely to be either great or ungainly… time will tell
3
Dec 18
Avatar
Fox
Cameron
?
The ground is rumbling
8
open
A Serious Man
Focus
Coens
Stuhlbarg
Kind
Hard to imagine it falling out… but needs to push
9
Nov
A Single Man
TWC
Ford
Firth
Right there at the edge
10
open
The Hurt Locker
Sum
Bigelow
Renner
If they see it, they will vote
?
The Last Station
Hoffman
Plummer
Giamatti
Could break into the 10… built for this audience
11
open
Inglourious Basterds
TWC
Tarantino
Waltz
Just waiting for some film to fall… a well-liked movie
12
Dec 25
The Lovely Bones
Par/DW
Jackson
Weiss
Ronan
Wahlberg
Tucci
Still waiting
13
open
Julie & Julia
Sony
Ephron
Streep
Adams
Quietly waiting for the chance to pounce
The Chasers (by release date)
open
District 9
Sony
Blomkamp
Copley
Needs Avatar to flop to even be in real play
Nov 25
The Road
TWC
Hillcoat
Theron
Mortensen
Tough, great movie
Dec 4
Brothers
Lions
Sheridan
Maguire
Gyllenhaal
Strong performances
Dec 16
Crazy Heart
FxSear
Cooper
Bridges
A performance film
Dec 25
Sherlock Holmes
WB
Ritchie
Downey
Par loves it… but the Ritchie hyperactivity keeps it suspect.
Dec 25
It’s Complicated
U
Meyers
Streep
Baldwin
Martin
Audiences enjoy Meyers’ work… Academy voters don’t seem to take it very seriously though
Falling Off My Chart
Dec 4
Everybody’s Fine
Mir
Jones
DeNiro
Nope.
Nov 20
The Blind Side
WB
Hancock
Bullock
Bates
Will outgross Precious, but critics will slap it for being too populist
Nov 20
Broken Embraces
SPC
Almodovar
Cruz
Quality film… not the kind of film that breaks awards ground
Nov 6
Men Who Stare At Goats
Over
Heslov
Clooney
Bridges
Nope.

18 Weeks To Go, The Golden Undies

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

This year’s season is slooooowly rolling out… which is ironic, given that all but four of the major contenders have been seen… and one of them, Nine, rolls out for junketeers this Friday. (more…)

November 11

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009
.……………………………………
x
1
2
Precious
1
5
2
2
1
2
2
1
6
2
1
2
1
2
1
15
134
2
1
Up in the Air
2
1
4
1
2
1
3
2
4
1
4
1
2
3
2
15
132
3
3
The Hurt Locker
4
3
3
5
3
3
5
4
8
3
9
3
3
1
4
15
103
4
4
Invictus
3
2
1
3
5
1
5
7
8
3
7
5
9
5
14
90
5
5
An Education
5
6
6
10
6
4
3
2
4
10
4
7
4
6
14
79
6
6
Up
6
7
5
9
5
6
8
7
1
5
6
6
6
3
14
74
7
7
Nine
7
4
10
4
7
6
6
3
10
11
5
4
12
11
51
8
8
The Lovely Bones
9
9
7
11
4
8
11
7
2
6
8
11
7
10
44
9
9
Inglourious Basterds
8
7
8
9
8
9
11
12
11
7
8
8
9
27
10
10
A Serious Man
10
12
8
4
9
11
9
9
6
9
9
5
9
32
11
11
Avatar
12
8
6
7
5
9
8
10
10
10
9
10
28
12
12
Where the Wild Things Are
7
5
2
10
Bright Star
8
8
2
6
Capitalism: A Love Story
1
4
Julie & Julia
11
12
12
7
11
1
4
District 9
10
9
12
11
2
3
A Single Man
12
12
10
10
2
2
The Road
11
10
12
12
1
1
Star Trek
10
11
1
1
The Messenger
10
1
1
It’s Complicated
12
12
12
Crazy Heart
11
11
The Young Victoria
11
1
The Last Station
12
Please Note: Votes for #11 & #12 are not counted in the numbers and are just offered for perspective on what films may be on the verge of joining the Top 10.


1
Mo’Nique
Precious
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
15
75
2
Anna Kendrick
Up in the Air
3
2
2
4
2
6
3
2
2
2
3
6
2
4
2
13
45
3
Julianne Moore
A Single Man
5
3
2
3
3
2
6
5
3
2
3
2
5
12
34
4
Penelope Cruz
Nine
4
1
4
6
4
4
3
5
4
6
4
9
21
5
Susan Sarandon
The Lovely Bones
2
5
3
5
6
3
5
6
13
6
Melanie Laurent
Inglourious Basterds
4
4
4
2
3
5
13
7
Vera Farmiga
Up in the Air
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
3
10
13
8
Samantha Morton
The Messenger
5
3
v
6
6
2
4
9
Paula Patton
Precious
4
6
1
2
10
Mariah Carey
Precious
3
6
6
1
3
11
Sophia Loren
Nine
3
4
2
5
12
Judi Dench
Nine
3
4
6
2
5
13
Patricia Clarkson
Whatever Works
5
1
1
14
Rachel Weisz
The Lovely Bones
4
1
2
15
Maggie Gyllenhaal
Crazy Heart
5
1
1
Cara Seymour
An Education
2

. …..
1
Christopher Walz
Inglourious Basterds
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
1
1
3
1
4
1
15
65
2
Alfred Molina
An Education
3
2
5
2
5
2
4
5
2
3
6
4
1
4
14
60
3
Stanley Tucci
The Lovely Bones
2
2
3
3
3
1
2
1
3
9
34
4
Matt Damon
Invictus
4
4
1
3
4
2
5
5
2
10
25
5
Peter Sarsgaard
An Education
5
3
2
2
4
2
5
14
6
Christopher Plummer
The Last Station
5
4
2
5
5
2
6
12
7
Christian McKay
Me and Orson Welles
3
3
10
8
Alec Baldwin
It’s Complicated
4
4
5
5
5
6
9
Stanley Tucci
Julie and Julia
3
6
4
3
3
4
11
10
Anthony Mackie
The Hurt Locker
6
4
6
6
1
2
11
Paul Schneider
Bright Star
3
6
6
6
1
3
12
Stanley Tucci
Julie and Julia
3
1
3
13
Richard Kind
A Serious Man
5
1
1
14
Woody Harrelson
The Messenger
5
6
1
1
15
James Gandolfini
Where the Wild Things Are
6
16
Zack Galifianakis
The Hangover
4
5
1
1
17
Brian Geraghty
The Hurt Locker
5
1
1
18
Brad Pitt
Inglourious Basterds
6
19
Jude Law
Sherlock Homes
6


Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Anthony Breznican
…… USA Today
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Mark Olsen
…….LA Times


David Poland
…… MCN
Steve Pond
…… The Wrap
Sasha Stone
…… AwardsDaily.com
Sean Smith
…… Entertainment Weekly
Kris Tapley
…… In Contention
Anne Thompson
…… Thompson On Hollywood
Susan Wloszczyna
…… USA Today

November 4, The Season Begins

Wednesday, November 4th, 2009
.……………………………………
x
Up in the Air
1
4
1
3
1
3
1
3
1
6
1
2
4
1
14
122
8.71
Precious
5
3
2
2
5
2
2
2
2
1
4
1
2
2
14
119
8.5
The Hurt Locker
3
2
4
1
6
5
4
9
3
11
5
5
1
3
14
92
6.57
Invictus
2
1
3
8
1
5
7
5
5
2
4
6
5
13
89
6.85
An Education
6
6
11
5
2
3
4
4
9
7
5
6
12
64
5.33
Up
7
5
8
6
4
8
6
5
6
8
6
4
12
59
4.92
Nine
4
7
5
10
6
7
1
11
10
3
3
11
12
13
54
4.15
The Lovely Bones
9
12
7
9
4
8
8
3
8
8
10
9
12
38
3.17
Inglourious Basterds
8
6
9
3
9
12
10
10
4
9
10
31
3.10
A Serious Man
12
9
4
11
11
11
8
7
6
10
3
11
12
30
2.5
Avatar
8
7
10
6
9
7
7
9
9
8
10
30
3
Where the Wild Things Are
7
2
2
13
6.5
Bright Star
8
7
2
7
3.5
A Single Man
11
12
9
12
8
5
5
1
Capitalism: A Love Story
7
1
4
4
Julie & Julia
9
11
11
10
12
5
3
0.6
District 9
10
10
12
11
4
2
0.5
It’s Complicated
12
12
10
3
1
0.3
The Road
10
12
12
3
1
0.3
Star Trek
10
11
2
1
0.5
The Young Victoria
10
1
1
1
Un Prophete
12
1
Crazy Love
11
1
The Last Station
12
1
Please Note: Votes for #11 & #12 are not counted in the numbers and are just offered for perspective on what films may be on the verge of joining the Top 10.

……………………………….
George Clooney
Up in the Air
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
3
2
2
3
4
1
14
59
4.21
Colin Firth
A Single Man
2
3
2
*
1
2
2
1
4
1
3
11
43
3.9
Morgan Freeman
Invictus
3
2
3
4
3
1
4
1
2
*
10
31
3.1
Jeremy Renner
The Hurt Locker
1
*
4
4
5
*
*
4
3
*
3
4
12
20
1.67
Viggo Mortensen
The Road
4
3
5
3
4
5
4
5
8
15
1.87
Daniel Day-Lewis
Nine
4
4
2
*
3
2
6
15
2.5
Matt Damon
Invictus
2
1
2
9
4.5
Matt Damon
The Informant!
*
5
6
*
5
5
2
6
7
1.16
Michael Stuhlbarg
A Serious Man
5
3
*
5
4
7
1.75
Jeff Bridges
Crazy Heart
3
1
3
3
Sharlto Copley
District 9
5
4
*
3
3
1
Brad Pitt
Inglourious Basterds
5
5
2
2
1
Peter Sarsgaard
An Education
5
1
1
1
Robert DeNiro
Everybody’s Fine
5
1
1
1
Michael Sheen
The Damned United
*
1
1
1
Hal Holbrook
That Evening Son
*

…..
Meryl Streep
Julie and Julia
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
14
60
4.31
Carey Mulligan
An Education
2
1
3
1
1
2
1
2
1
3
2
1
1
2
14
59
4.21
Gabourey Sidibe
Precious
1
3
2
3
4
3
3
3
1
3
3
4
3
13
42
3.23
Helen Mirren
The Last Station
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
3
5
9
17
1.89
Saoirse Ronan
The Lovely Bones
5
5
4
5
5
6
5
5
4
9
10
1.11
Abbie Cornish
Bright Star
6
4
5-
3
6
6
5
6
6
1
Penelope Cruz
Nine
4
4
2
4
2
Marion Cotillard
Nine
6
5
3
6
6
5
4
0.8
Vera Farminga
Up in the Air

5
6
2
1
0.5
Sandra Bullock
The Blind Side
5
1
1
1
Robin Wright Penn
Pippa Lee
5
1
1
1
Penelope Cruz
Broken Embraces
*
*
*
Emily Blunt
The Young Victoria
*
*

…….
Up
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
14
42
3
Coraline
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
*
13
25
1.92
Fantastic Mr. Fox
3
*
2
*
*
3
*
3
*
*
2
11
7
0.64
Ponyo
*
*
3
3
3
*
3
3
8
5
0.63
Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs
3
*
3
*
3
5
3
0.6
A Christmas Carol
2
1
2
1
The Princess and the Frog
3
3
2
2
1
9
*
Mary and Max
*

Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Anthony Breznican
…… USA Today
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Mark Olsen
…….LA Times


David Poland
…… MCN
Steve Pond
…… The Wrap
Sasha Stone
…… AwardsDaily.com
Sean Smith
…… Entertainment Weekly
Kris Tapley
…… In Contention
Anne Thompson
…… Thompson On Hollywood
Susan Wloszczyna
…… USA Today

Best Picture Chart

Friday, October 30th, 2009
BEST PICTURE
Picture
Studio
Director
Stars
Comment
The Frontrunners For Nomination
1
Dec 25
Nine
TWC
Marshall
Day-Lewis
Et al
With all the trouble, still looking like the pedigree choice
2
open
Up
Disney
Docter
Petersen
Just have to keep reminding people that its okay to vote animated
3
Dec 18
Avatar
Fox
Cameron
?
Could still come up way short… but could also come up Rings
4
Nov 13
Up In The Air
Par
Reitman
Clooney
Solid contender
5
open
An Education
SPC
Scherfig
Mulligan
Sarsgaard
Old School fave
6
Nov 6
Precious
LG
Daniels
Sidibe
‘Nique
Media loves it
7
Dec 11
Invictus
WB
Eastwood
Freeman
Is it Mandela Time yet?
8
open
A Serious Man
Focus
Coens
Stuhlbarg
Kind
Some Jewish pushback, but with 10, a strong pick
9
Nov
A Single Man
TWC
Ford
Firth
Right there at the edge
10
open
The Hurt Locker
Sum
Bigelow
Renner
Will there be enough push to get the votes it deserves?
11
open
Inglourious Basterds
TWC
Tarantino
Waltz
Could be damaged by an Avatar surge
12
Dec 25
The Lovely Bones
Par/DW
Jackson
Weiss
Ronan
Wahlberg
Tucci
In-house word of mouth improved… we’ll know when we see it.
13
open
Julie & Julia
Sony
Ephron
Streep
Adams
Could easily sneak in
The Chasers (by release date)
open
District 9
Sony
Blomkamp
Copley
Sony wants to believe it
Nov 6
Men Who Stare At Goats
Over
Heslov
Clooney
Bridges
Nov 20
Broken Embraces
SPC
Almodovar
Cruz
Nov 25
The Road
TWC
Hillcoat
Theron
Mortensen
Nov 20
The Blind Side
WB
Hancock
Bullock
Bates
Dec 4
Brothers
Lions
Sheridan
Maguire
Gyllenhaal
Dec 4
Everybody’s Fine
Mir
Jones
DeNiro
Dec 25
Sherlock Holmes
WB
Ritchie
Downey
Dec 25
It’s Complicated
U
Meyers
Streep
Baldwin
Martin
?
The Last Station
Hoffman
Plummer
Giamatti

20 Weeks To Go, The Rules Of Ten

Friday, October 30th, 2009

The most often considered issue of this year’s Oscar race is, “How will having ten nominees change the game?”

And the definitive answer is, “Ask me next April.”

Well, even that may be a little blurry.

What I can tell you is what has happened so far, which is still very much at the beginning of the journey as far as actual awards voters are concerned.

What we don’t see so far is an earnest effort by the “big movies” to get slots in the BP10… except for Up, which Disney has out there on parade early and often. All the sky-is-falling whining about Star Trek and The Hangover and Harry Potter as Best Picture contenders has been followed by Paramount and Warner Bros shrugging their campaigning shoulders and not spending a dime or more than a minute of effort moving the bar in that direction. Wisely.

Besides Up, on the commercial side, there is a Supporting Actress push going on for The Proposal, some hints that Sony is going to push District 9 out there, and The Weinsteins may find some real BPO traction for Inglourious Basterds. That means that there are two possible movies in the BP race from the Top 20 domestic grossers to date.

But quietly – amazingly quietly – Avatar is becoming a serious Best Picture player. Fox isn’t pushing it. They aren’t advertising it. They are doing what they have done for years… sell the movie and if awards come, so be it. And no matter the media response to the teaser trailer, you can feel the ground rumbling under the earth’s crust for this one now. The movie is going to be very, very big.

Even if it fails by some standards, it is almost impossible to imagine the film grossing less than $500 million worldwide. That would put it with Potter 6, Ice Age 3, and Trannies 2 (in that order… do people realize that IA3 has outgrossed Tr2 worldwide?) in that financial category. This is very rarified air for a title that is neither a sequel, animated or based on a literary work that defined the box office future of the title… you know, what grandpa used to call “an original.”

There are sixty-seven $500m worldwide grossers in history and only Ghost, The Day After Tomorrow, Forrest Gump, Armageddon, Night At The Museum, I Am Legend, Hancock, The Sixth Sense, Star Wars, ET, and Jurassic Park qualify in that rarified grouping. Five of the eleven were Best Picture nominated. Only one won. But still…

The two tip-top contenders that have not been seen – Nine and Invictus – remain on the top of many lists, though we are still weeks away from seeing the goods (or the bads).

But the lists have filled up with some titles that wouldn’t quite be borderline in years past, whether Precious or A Single Man or A Serious Man. A movie like The Hurt Locker would have a very hard road, no matter how good it is, because of its lackluster box office run. Inglourious Basterds would have been dismissed by now as too commercial and fun.

Still, all five films, seen as favorites by most to secure BP slots, are not advertising yet… not fighting to get out ahead of the late-coming big dogs… biding their time, perhaps waiting for critics to give them a lift.

The most heavily pushed “small” film so far, amongst actual voters and not just the press, is An Education… which is now benefiting from an air of inevitability. The film isn’t world beating. But the movie is loveable, the performances are loveable, and all of a sudden, borderline contenders like Alfred Molina are real contenders for nomination because Academy members are being asked early and often for their consideration.

The question at the end of the day will be, “What was the great idea that got these movies nominated?” And every year, we are reminded that there is no hard and fast rule. And this year, even more so.

I predict that as obvious as the floorplan seems to be this season, there will be a major surprise or two in which films didn’t get nominated… because so many are laying back, thinking they can foist themselves on the voters late in the game. There are too many studios trying to play this game and someone’s going to go home with their balloon crushed (and it isn’t like to be Disney).

On the other hand, it seems to me that we are already down to fifteen or fewer serious contenders for nomination, even without having seen five of them. So that is the shading in which the contending marketers are operating. There will be some happy surprises as well.

As risky as I see a strategy like The Hurt Locker’s as being, I am also quite conscious that the film will certainly be amongst the best five, by most standards of quality, in that group of fifteen. So no matter how little is spent or how late it is spent, aren’t they likely to be in the group of nominees? Isn’t there a constituency that will just joke on quality and feel that a nomination vote spent there is not a wasted vote?

The most interesting thing so far is that it is already November and so little has really happened. Toronto came and went… NYFF after that… and very little has changed. Most of the horses are in the gate, kicking and squealing, but not allowed to really race. They are just biding their time, waiting for the industry to put together enough money to pay for the dirt to be laid out on the track, lest the horses run on concrete and break their dainty legs.

And when they are let loose, it will surely seem more intense than ever. But it may actually be just the opposite… no time for much to happen but for people to see the movies and to vote their hearts and not their heads.

Come February, there is no way of knowing how distributors will behave either. Will, like last year, one or two films become the obvious frontrunners and send everyone else into “it’s lovely to be nominated” mode or will there be a battle royale amongst ten contenders who all feel viable as every one of them has fatal flaws and winning strengths?

Ask me in April.

– David Poland
October 30, 2009

Star Trek: The Deleted Scene

Wednesday, October 28th, 2009


Star Trek – DVD Bonus Footage

Best Picture Chart

Wednesday, September 30th, 2009
BEST PICTURE
Picture
Studio
Director
Stars
Comment
The Nomination 90% Locks (in alphabetical order)
Dec 25
Nine
TWC
Marshall
Day-Lewis
Et al
In a thin year, getting over the post-production fights, looking like the front-runner
May
Up
Disney
Docter
Petersen
Could the first animated film to get a BP nod in a year with an animated category get the win?
The Nomination 80% Locks (in alphabetical order)
Dec 11
Invictus
WB
Eastwood
Freeman
The Waiting Game…
Nov 13 Up In The Air
Par
Reitman
Clooney
Very well liked already… a reflective comedy
Nov 6
Precious
LG
Daniels
Sidibe
‘Nique
The race race
Toronto Contenders Looking Likely
Oct 9
An Education
SPC
Scherfig
Mulligan
Sarsgaard
Belle Of The Ball
Oct 2
A Serious Man
Focus
Coens
Stuhlbarg
Kind
It’s the Jewish Precious… but funny!
Nov
A Single Man
TWC
Ford
Firth
It’s the Gay Precious… but pretty!
Serious Contenders To Fill The Last 3 Slots(in alphabetical order)
June
The Hurt Locker
Sum
Bigelow
Renner
A great movie… will Summit spend to play?
August
Inglourious Basterds
TWC
Tarantino
Waltz
A more commercial film… but looking better and better as the “contenders” slide
Sept 25
Coco Before Chanel
SPC
Fontaine
Tautou
The strong small film for women…. could push out Streep’s Julia Child… or not
Nov 13
The Fantastic Mr Fox
Fox
Anderson
Fox Searchlight on it now!
Dec 18 Avatar
Fox
Cameron
?
Is it a gamebreaker?
The Still Blurry, Waiting For Focus
Dec 25?
The Lovely Bones
Par/DW
Jackson
Weiss
Ronan
Wahlberg
Tucci

Will get a late, limited release
Nov 6
A Christmas Carol
Dis
Zemeckis
Carrey
Oldman
A breakthrough?
Damaged Goods
Oct 2
Capitalism: A Love Story
Over
Moore
Folks are trying to get excited, but privately are dissapointed
Aug 7 Julie & Julia
Sony
Ephron
Streep
Adams
A modest hit… seen as all about Streep… could rise if others fall
Nov 25
The Road
TWC
Hillcoat
Theron
Mortensen
Not as problematic as righties claimed, but hard road for Oscar
The Walking Dead Since July’s Chart
June
Tetro
AmZ
Coppola
Gallo
Ehrenreich
People heard something was coming… didn’t know it landed
June
Cheri
Mir
Frears
Pfeiffer
Commerical miss
Aug 28
Taking Woodstock
Focus
Lee
Commerical miss
Sept 18 The Burning Plain
Mag
Arriaga
Theron
Too heavy for a theatrical…
Sept
Bright Star
BB
Campion
Whishaw
Cornish
DOR – Dead On Release
2010
Shutter Island
Par
Scorsese
DiCaprio
Moved to 2010
2010
Green Zone
U
Greengrass
Damon
2010
The Commercial Chasers (by release date)
May
Star Trek
Par
Abrams
Urban
Bloom off the rose with #4 summer finish
July
Public Enemies
U
Mann
Depp
Mann’s #2 high grosser ever has been tagged “a flop”
Feb
Coraline
Focus
Selick
Fighting the notion of 2 animated nominees
Sept
The Informant!
WB
Soderbergh
Damon
Tone is throwing some off
Nov 20 The Blind Side
WB
Hancock
Bullock
Bates
Could be a surprise
Dec 25
Sherlock Holmes
WB
Ritchie
Downey
Not likely… Guy Ritchie
Dec 25
It’s Complicated
U
Meyers
Streep
Baldwin
Martin
Could well be the surprise
The Arthouse Chasers (by release date)
Oct 23
Amelia
FxSch
Nair
Swank
No one is excited
Nov 20 Broken Embraces
SPC
Almodovar
Cruz
Excellent… but not a ground breaker
Dec 4
Brothers
Lions
Sheridan
Maguire
Gyllenhaal
It wasn’t at TIFF… how will it find wings with Precious as LGF’s true love?
Dec 4
Everybody’s Fine
Mir
Jones
DeNiro
Remake of a Tornatore classic
Dec?
Men Who Stare At Goats
Over
Heslov
Clooney
Bridges
Liked, not loved.
Dec 25 The White Ribbon
SPC
Hanaeke
Fine art
Unlikely To Race This Year (in alphabetical order)
Biutiful
U/Foc
Gonzalez-
Inarritu
Bardem
Coco Chanel & Igor Stravinsky
SPC
Kounen
Mikkelsen
Intrigues At Tire-Larigot (Micmacs)
WB
Jeunet
The Last Station
Hoffman
Plummer
Giamatti
Love Ranch
Think
Hackford
Mirren
Ondine
Jordan
Bachleda-Curus
Shanghai
TWC
Håfström

Cusack
Yun-Fat
Li

A Pre-Toronto Look at the 2009/10 Field

Thursday, September 3rd, 2009

The Gurus each picked 15 contenders, each giving 3 gold stars for being the most likely.
Then each Guru picked one underdog actor and actress who might surprise with a nomination.

.……………………………………
x

Invictus
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
10
3
13
Nine
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
6
7
13
The Hurt Locker
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
5
9
14
Up in the Air
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
5
7
12
An Education
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
5
6
11
Up
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
3
10
13
Precious
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
3
10
13
The Lovely Bones
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
3
9
12
Bright Star
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
9
10
A Serious Man
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
8
9
The Road
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
10
8
Amelia
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
9
9
Capitalism: A Love Story
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
9
9
Avatar
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
9
9
The Informant!
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
7
7
Inglourious Basterds
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
7
7
Julie & Julia
*
*
*
*
*
*
6
6
District 9
*
*
*
*
*
5
5
Where the Wild Things Are
*
*
*
*
*
5
5
Star Trek
*
*
*
*
4
4
The Tree of Life
*
*
*
*
4
4
500 Days of Summer
*
*
2
2
The Fantastic Mr Fox
*
*
2
2
One Vote Wonders
Creation
*
Leaves of Grass
*
Chloe
*
Ondine
*
The Men Who Stare At Goats
*
It’s Complicated
*
The Hangover
*
Sin Nombre
*
Harry Potter 6
*
Brothers
*
Public Enemies
*

.……………………………………………………

Sharlto Copley
District 9
*
*
Jeremy Renner
The Hurt Locker
*
*
Matt Damon
The Informant!
*
Hal Holbrook
That Evening Son
*
Tobey Maguire
Brothers
*
Alfred Molina
An Education
*
Viggo Mortensen
The Road
*
Liam Neeson
Chloe
*
Peter Sarsgaard
An Education
*
Paul Schneider
Bright Star
*
Michael Sheen
The Damned United
*

……………………………………………………

Abbie Cornish
Bright Star
*
*
*
Gabourey Sidibe
Precious
*
*
*
Robin Wright Penn
Pippa Lee
*
*
Catalina Saavedra
The Maid
*
Mélanie Laurent
Inglourious Basterds
*
Carey Muligan
An Education
*
Natalie Portman
Brothers
*
Charlize Theron
The Burning Plain
*
Shohreh Aghdashloo
The Stoning of Soraya M
*

Scott Bowles
…… USA Today
Sheigh Crabtree
—-
Greg Ellwood
——–HitFix
Pete Hammond
…… LAT Envelope
Eugene Hernandez
…… indieWIRE
Peter Howell
…… The Toronto Star
Dave Karger
…… Entertainment Weekly
Lou Lumenick
…… New York Post

Mark Olsen
…….LA Times
David Poland
…… MCN
Steve Pond
…… The Wrap
Sasha Stone
…… AwardsDaily.com
Sean Smith
…… Entertainment Weekly
Kris Tapley
…… In Contention
Anne Thompson
…… Thompson On Hollywood
Susan Wloszczyna
…… USA Today



35 Weeks To Go The Next Oscars Will Be Rated X

Thursday, July 9th, 2009

Okay… so all the chatter is about the 10 nominees. Emotional responses… been there, done that.

That said… it’s interesting that studios are facing a widening base of pressure to pursue Best Picture nominations at the very same time they are facing very tough economic realities. (Isn’t in funny – not ha ha – that all those people who were screaming about every film being profitable and the studios being indestructible have shut up now that the DVD problem some of us were writing about 3 years ago has become an on-the-record problem? Beware people who don’t want to hear about what’s next, only what bubbles into the mainstream.) Not only that… Oscar dollars are marketing dollars… and marketing is the area that screams for cutbacks more than any other. (Have you driven around L.A. lately… notice the empty buildings that were massive billboards a couple of years ago?)

It also strikes me, when laying out the season to come, is that the expansion that we all knee-jerked into being such a very big deal seems to be falling into some pretty traditional patterns. Paramount and Warner Bros. have the most pictures in play. Sony Classics has a number of titles, all of which have more muscle in categories other than Best Picture. And everyone else tends towards one-offs.

But as you’ll see… even with the contenders being bunched, the resulting nominations could be quite unexpected.

One publicist brought up an angle that I hadn’t yet considered… what about the movies that don’t get in, even with 10 slots open. How much more pressure will that put on the situation?

But most importantly, how will 10 nominees change the dynamic of desperate efforts to spin trend stories? How can it be The Year Of… anything with such inevitable diversity?

It could, I guess, be The Year of Matt Damon, who has Invictus, The Informer!, the animated Miyazaki film, Ponyo, and maybe even Green Zone coming out.

It could be The Year Of Not Bio-Pics, in spite of the Nelson Mandela film from Eastwood, Invictus, and Meryl Streep invoking Julia Child.

Some will try to make it The Year of The Woman, with Nine leading the way for such hopefuls as Julie & Julia, Bright Star, Precious, An Education, Broken Embraces, the 2 SPC Coco Chanel movies, Amelia, Cheri, and even the female director of The Hurt Locker. And maybe they will have a point… there could be 5 nominations in that group.

Or not.

What is truly shocking to me – and readers will have to have faith that it is purely a coincidence – is that as I laid out the chart to go with this column, my current Top 10 contenders… gulp… are from 10 different distributors.

And I don’t even have any tables to sell.

Obviously, a July list is going to change a lot. Universal, for instance, has a Paul Greengrass film that may or may not be ready for release into this season. If it is, then it probably leaps into that Top 10 projection. But today… it’s just a bill. (FYI… see Schoolhouse Rock if you don’t understand).

But for now, in my first 10 are The Weinstein Company, Summit, Lionsgate, and Overture… and though Lionsgate has been there with Crash, still… 4 stand-alone indies. This is a good reason to have the 10 nominations, no? Not to mention that its been a decade since Disney/non-Miramax has had a Best Picture nomination. Plus Sony Classics and Focus.

That’s only 4 slots for major studios after all the talk about The 10 being a boon primarily for big, less effete commercial pictures. (Like Invictus, right?)

Of course, change, as I wrote, is very likely. Paramount isn’t in my Top 10 right now… but has 3 films on the launching pad, any of which or all of which could end up being nominated.

Even more so, there are a bunch of movies that no one has seen that are obvious possibilities. (Watch out for that “Oh, people are seeing that… they aren’t very excited” buzz, which is already ramping up on the dubious highway against The Lovely Bones and Avatar.) Shutter Island, A Christmas Carol, Star Trek, and The Lovely Bones are the top of that list, with three Oscar-winning directors and a surprise smash hit that people really liked.

Precursors be damned. Sundance didn’t help much. Precious and An Education were the two BP potential films emerging, though the first will be driven by a “it’s important for you” campaign and the second is a classic Euro coming of age piece that will race on old school elegance and the emergence (and gentle British charm) of Cary Mulligan. (Also, look for heavy screenplay chatter around Humpday). Cannes was pretty much an Oscar bust, though a few titles will be discussed. And the commercial cinema has been enormously uninteresting this year, though we may have seen a couple of films in The Ten that have already been released… but really, only because it’s ten.

In other words, it’s very, very early in what promises to be a very long Oscar season. Next stop, Toronto.

– David Poland
July 9, 2009

Best Picture Chart

Thursday, July 9th, 2009
BEST PICTURE
Picture
Studio
Director
Stars
Comment
The Nomination 90% Locks (in alphabetical order)
Dec 11
Invictus
WB
Eastwood
Freeman
When Eastwood Met Apartheid
Nov 25
Nine
TWC
Marshall
Day-Lewis
Et al
Lots of beloved actors dance and sing a forgettable score based on an unforgettable movie
May
Up
Disney
Docter
Petersen
A truly great movie that will get enough support to break out of the animated ghetto
The LeadIng Contenders To Fill The 10 Slots (in alphabetical order)
Oct 9
An Education
SPC
Scherfig
Mulligan
Saasgard
A charmer.
Dec 18

Avatar
Fox
Cameron
?
The big muscle movie that is embraced as The Future?
Oct 2
Capitalism: A Love Story
Over
Moore
If it’s up to Moore’s past
June
The Hurt Locker
Sum
Bigelow
Renner
A masterwork of humanity and explosions
Aug 7

Julie & Julia
Sony
Ephron
Streep
Adams
This year’s Prada?
Nov 6
Precious
LG
Daniels
Sidibe
‘Nique
Another test of how much The Academy likes Black people
Oct 2
A Serious Man
Focus
Coens
Stuhlbarg
Kind
The Coens, right?
The Commercial Chasers (by release date)
May
Star Trek
Par
Abrams
Urban
A surprise box office win now looking like a #4 slot for the summer will likely return it to “it’s tv” notion
July
Public Enemies
U
Mann
Depp
Critics more in love than people
Oct 2
Shutter Island
Par
Scorsese
DiCaprio
A out and out thriller, but so was Cape Fear and with 10, it would have made it
Feb
Coraline
Focus
Selick
A glorious film… will the older voters watch it?
Oct 9
The Informant!
WB
Soderbergh
Damon
How broad the comedy?
Oct 23
Amelia
FxSch
Nair
Swank
Looks fogged in
Nov 6
A Christmas Carol
Dis
Zemeckis
Carrey
Oldman
Another visual breakthrough… will the script match?
Dec 4
Brothers
Lions
Sheridan
Maguire
Gyllenhaal
Great actors piece… but can it get real movement?
Dec 11
The Lovely Bones
Par/DW
Jackson
Weiss
Ronan
Wahlberg
Sarandon

We’ll know when we see it.
The Arthouse Chasers (by release date)
June
Tetro
AmZ
Coppola
Gallo
Ehrenreich
Masterful, but tiny.
June
Cheri
Mir
Frears
Pfeiffer
Seems more liked than loved
Sept 25
Coco Before Chanel
SPC
Fontaine
Tautou
We’ll see
Nov 20

Broken Embraces
SPC
Almodovar
Cruz
Not as hot as expected out of Cannes
Dec 25

The White Ribbon
SPC
Hanaeke
Critics film?
???
Bright Star
BB
Campion
Whishaw
Cornish
Brand new distributor… but Berney has been here before
Could Join The Racers (by release date)
Aug 28
Taking Woodstock
Focus
Lee
More light than Oscar
Sept 18 The Burning Plain
Mag
Arriaga
Theron
A tough, tough, brilliant little film… if no nod for Theron, cops should be called
Sept 25
Fame
MGM
Tancharoen
The original had that feeling
Oct 16
The Road
TWC
Hillcoat
Theron
Mortensen
Cormac McCarthy again… from the brilliant director of The Proposition
Nov 13
The Fantastic Mr Fox
Fox
Anderson
Fox is serious about this film
Nov 20

The Blind Side
WB
Hancock
Bullock
Bates
Would be a shock, but good material
Dec 25
Sherlock Holmes
WB
Ritchie
Downey
Not really going to happen… but one must bow to Downey’s popularity
Dec 25
Nancy Meyers Comedy
FoxS
Nancy
Streep
Baldwin
Martin
Could ascend in a hurry when we see it.
Will They Race This Year? (in alphabetical order)
???
Biutiful
U/Foc
Gonzalez-
Inarritu
Bardem
???
Coco Chanel & Igor Stravinsky
SPC
Kounen
Mikkelsen
Dec?
Green Zone
U
Greengrass
Damon
Most likely to move up fast if the movie is ready for release… much harder for indies
???
Intrigues At Tire-Larigot
WB
Jeunet
???
The Last Station
?
Hoffman
Plummer
Giamatti
???
Love Ranch
Think
Hackford
Mirren
Dec?
Men Who Stare At Goats
Over
Heslov
Clooney
Bridges
Dec?
Ondine
ParV
Jordan
Bachleda-Curus
Dec? Up In The Air
Par
Reitman
Clooney
2010? Shanghai
TWC
Håfström

Cusack
Yun-Fat
Li



Star Trek Posters

Saturday, May 9th, 2009