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David Poland

By David Poland

Klady's Friday Estimates – 3/25/06

Okay… get this… the Friday estimate for Spike Lee

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19 Responses to “Klady's Friday Estimates – 3/25/06”

  1. jeffmcm says:

    I’m assuming those dogs must have more personality than Paul Walker (because they’d have to).
    I don’t expect V for Vendetta to uptick much…seems like it’ll top out around $60?
    And as David Spade said, shouldn’t they have called it “Larry the Health Inspector”?

  2. Tofu says:

    Pretty much a given that Inside Man was going to open higher than Vendetta. Vendetta hopefully upticks to a 40-something% drop. $70 million is the likely landing point here.
    I’m actually on the team that thinks Disney didn’t expose Eight Below enough. Like any Miyazaki movie, it just could’ve found even more of an audience but Disney doesn’t take the bait.
    The question now is if Vendetta or Stay Alive will be #2. I’m siding with Vendetta because of last week’s Saturday rise, Horror movies going all over the place on Saturday’s, and personal bias. Hehehehe.

  3. Jimmy the Gent says:

    Mr. Poland,
    Which’ll be remembered in a decade, Vendetta or Brokeback? Thought I’d just stir up some debate.

  4. James Leer says:

    Oh, no. Can’t they both be?
    There’s plenty of other debate in the thread “The First Gay Superhero Movie,” Jimmy. Sink your teeth into it.

  5. martin says:

    agreed, 8 Below did a lot of money with very little advertising support outside the core demo. That was $125-150 money maker that they took the quick and cheap approach with. THe film never had much buzz and still made a ton of cash.

  6. martin says:

    probably neither, the public seems to be over the love affair with Brokeback and Vendetta just hasn’t caught on outside the trades.

  7. jeffmcm says:

    What makes you say the public seems to be over Brokeback? Just because it’s not in the headlines anymore?

  8. martin says:

    i think the ugly oscar loss confirmed what a lot of the public thought about brokeback – that it was overrated. Between the two though, I’d say Brokeback has a better shot at being remembered in 10 yrs. “Gay cowboy movie” is going to be harder to get out of public conciousness than “fey anarchy flick”.

  9. jeffmcm says:

    And what is your source for your notion that the public thought it was overrated? It’s in the top 250 on IMDB (granted, just barely, but still).

  10. Crow T Robot says:

    Go Spike!

  11. jeffmcm says:

    Yeesh, I didn’t realize that Malcolm X was his highest-grossing movie ever, with $48m…Inside Man will easily pass that after next weekend or so.

  12. Joe Leydon says:

    R.I.P. Richard Fleischer at age 89. I know he’ll likely be remembered best for “20,000 Leagues Under the Sea” and “Fantastic Voyage,” but I must admit that “The Last Run” will always have a more important place in my heart. If you’ve ever seen it, you’ll know what I mean. Especially when George C. Scott tells Trish Van Devere, after she tells him she won’t run off with him: “Well, I never really thought you were going to…”

  13. Sam says:

    Clive Owen is plural now?

  14. Lota says:

    wow. nice one, Spike.

  15. palmtree says:

    Yeah, that movie totally worked and was also a continuation of Spike’s cultural explorations. Hope he does more great stuff now that he has some more box office validity.

  16. Crow T Robot says:

    I agree. Inside Man is genetically as much of a Spike Lee film as Do The Right Thing, and even when character motivations fly off the tracks, there’s never an uninteresting moment in the film. The whole way through I got the sense my theater’s intelligence levels were being met and challenged.
    When his indulgences are put in check, Lee can work wonders.

  17. Josh Massey says:

    How many people, though, do you think saw “Directed by Spike Lee” in the opening credits and were surprised? The ads ran like hell from promoting the fact Lee was behind it.

  18. Cadavra says:

    A brilliant move on their part. Does anyone really think it would’ve opened to 29 mill with Spike’s name plastered all over the ads? (And props to Spike for recognizing that fact and agreeing to it.)

  19. KamikazeCamelV2.0 says:

    The fact that Denzel and Jodie were in it practically sealed it’s fate no matter who directed it. Add in Clive Owen and, yes, Spike Lee and you got success. Seriously, I love that Jodie Foster is still one of the movie-worlds most consisted draws.

Quote Unquotesee all »

It shows how out of it I was in trying to be in it, acknowledging that I was out of it to myself, and then thinking, “Okay, how do I stop being out of it? Well, I get some legitimate illogical narrative ideas” — some novel, you know?

So I decided on three writers that I might be able to option their material and get some producer, or myself as producer, and then get some writer to do a screenplay on it, and maybe make a movie.

And so the three projects were “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep,” “Naked Lunch” and a collection of Bukowski. Which, in 1975, forget it — I mean, that was nuts. Hollywood would not touch any of that, but I was looking for something commercial, and I thought that all of these things were coming.

There would be no Blade Runner if there was no Ray Bradbury. I couldn’t find Philip K. Dick. His agent didn’t even know where he was. And so I gave up.

I was walking down the street and I ran into Bradbury — he directed a play that I was going to do as an actor, so we know each other, but he yelled “hi” — and I’d forgot who he was.

So at my girlfriend Barbara Hershey’s urging — I was with her at that moment — she said, “Talk to him! That guy really wants to talk to you,” and I said “No, fuck him,” and keep walking.

But then I did, and then I realized who it was, and I thought, “Wait, he’s in that realm, maybe he knows Philip K. Dick.” I said, “You know a guy named—” “Yeah, sure — you want his phone number?”

My friend paid my rent for a year while I wrote, because it turned out we couldn’t get a writer. My friends kept on me about, well, if you can’t get a writer, then you write.”
~ Hampton Fancher

“That was the most disappointing thing to me in how this thing was played. Is that I’m on the phone with you now, after all that’s been said, and the fundamental distinction between what James is dealing with in these other cases is not actually brought to the fore. The fundamental difference is that James Franco didn’t seek to use his position to have sex with anyone. There’s not a case of that. He wasn’t using his position or status to try to solicit a sexual favor from anyone. If he had — if that were what the accusation involved — the show would not have gone on. We would have folded up shop and we would have not completed the show. Because then it would have been the same as Harvey Weinstein, or Les Moonves, or any of these cases that are fundamental to this new paradigm. Did you not notice that? Why did you not notice that? Is that not something notable to say, journalistically? Because nobody could find the voice to say it. I’m not just being rhetorical. Why is it that you and the other critics, none of you could find the voice to say, “You know, it’s not this, it’s that”? Because — let me go on and speak further to this. If you go back to the L.A. Times piece, that’s what it lacked. That’s what they were not able to deliver. The one example in the five that involved an issue of a sexual act was between James and a woman he was dating, who he was not working with. There was no professional dynamic in any capacity.

~ David Simon